August 18th , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• August 18, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Up To Date Website Stats Since Launch Last July :

• Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 1801/2674.
• Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1185/2674.

*Update 9:15, picks will be adjusted once changes are in.

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :         Strength Variable :

#3 Pinchbeck 3-1                              27
#1 Table for Six 2-1                          26
#11 Bareeqa 4-1                                23
#6 Eighth Commandment 6-1        21

Off-Turf :

#13 Jcs American Dream 9-5
#14 Kate Is a Ten 4-1
#6 Eighth Commandment 6-1
#9 Tiz a Kitten 8-1

Race 2 :

#7 Tug of War 2-1                              26
#1 Special Jo 5-2                                24
#4 Risetotheoccasion 12-1               22
#6 Saltine Warrior 5-1                       20

Race 7 :

#4 Tommy T 5-2                                26
#1 Fully Vested 3-1                           25
#2 Distorted Admiral 4-1                 25
#6 Arch Daddy 8-1                             21

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  4,1,2,6

Race 8 :  6,3,5,1

Race 9 :  4,9,6,8 Off-Turf : 9,3,5

Race 10 : 2

$.50 Ticket :  $32

Monmouth Selections

Race 4 :

#7 Empty Prize 3-1                          24
#4 Callant 9-2                                   22
#5 Eloy Rod 3-1                                 20
#2 Fifty Eight O G 9-5                      20

Race 8 :

#3 Mr Brix 3-1                                   26
#5 Perfect Cover 5-2                         25
#4 Peak Performance 4-1                 22
#6 Sixbits 4-1                                      21

Race 9 :

#4 Jermyn Street 2-1                         27
#7 Music Babe 4-1                              23
#3 Sweet Yare N Dira 10-1                20
#1 Tevere 4-1                                       19

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.