A Winning Day at the Races!

August 22nd , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9761/14835, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6541/14835. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Please visit the “Membership Page” for a One DayTwo Day or a Full Meet Pass…

*Saratoga Meet Pass for the remainder of the 2021 Spa Meet $79.99

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#1 Everyoneloveslinda 6-1             20 2nd $6.30
#3 Time for Cupid 2-1                     20
#6 Goddess of Fire 3-1                     19 1st $6.00
#4 Dover Dreams 9-2                       18 3rd $4.70

Race 2 :

#3 Fortineno (IRE) 5-2                    19 1st $4.40
#10 Five Prizes 10-1                         18
#7 Decree of Love 8-1                      17 4th
#5 Miss You Ella 3-1                         17

Dirt Selections

#8 Seduce 10-1
#4 Penny Saver 8-5
#6 Madamoussepousse 8-1
#2 Pacific Grove 12-1
#10 Five Prizes 10-1

Race 3 :

#5 Strolling 3-1                                  29 2nd $4.00
#2 Bronzed 6-1                                   29 4th
#1 Eagle Pass 7-2                               28 3rd $2.70
#4 Clench 9-5                                     27 1st $8.90 Spr $391

Race 4 :

#8 Lilly Simone 3-1                           30
#2 Jades Gelly 7-2                              29
#4 Mopolka 6-1                                  28
#1 Corey Scores 8-1                           27

Dirt Selections

#6 Shesadirtydancer 2-1 4th
#3 Khali Magic 12-1 scratched
#10 Mia Bea Star 3-1 2nd $4.90
#5 Athwaaq 15-1 scratched

Race 5 :

#3 Cazilda Fortytales 3-1                 28 3rd $3.40
#8 Quantitativbreezin 4-1                27 2nd $6.00
#2 Baba 5-1                                          27 1st $13.20 Tri $264
#1 Miss Peppina 5-2                           26 4th Spr $847

Race 6 :

#4 Lady Milagro 3-1                           17 4th
#2 Opening Night 7-2                        16 3rd $2.60
#6 No Nannette No 6-1                     15
#3 Shanghai Shamrock 5-2               15 1st $4.90

Race 7 :

#1 Rhythm Section 9-2                       31 2nd $4.00
#5 Box N Score 9-5                              30 1st $7.10 Ex $29
#3 Mud Pie 5-2                                     29 3rd $2.10 Tri $41
#4 Actuary (GB) 6-1                             28 4th Spr $108

Dirt Selections

#8 Angkor 7-5
#7 Mister Winston 12-1
#9 Mystery Bank 12-1
#2 Mr. Fidget 50-1

Race 8 :

#2 Lyrical Poet 9-2                                30
#3 Ahead of Plan 4-1                            29
#4 Tomato Bill 6-1                                 28
#8 Montauk Daddy 8-1                         28

Dirt Selections

#14 Fast Break 4-1
#4 Tomato Bill 6-1
#8 Montauk Daddy 8-1 1st $6.50
#13 Colormepazzi 5-2 scratched
#12 Devious Mo 6-1 3rd $3.90

Race 9 :

#2 Horologist 2-1                                   34 1st $4.20
#4 Gibberish 7-2                                     33 4th
#3 Dunbar Road 5-2                               32
#1 So Darn Hot 12-1                               31 3rd $3.80

Race 10 :

#8 Voter Protection 9-2                         16
#2 Empire Attraction 10-1                    15
#4 Leading West 6-1                               14
#5 Tallis 9-2                                              14

Dirt Selections

#4 Leading West 6-1 1st $11.80
#16 Rudy Rod 5-2 2nd $3.30 Ex $42.20
#5 Tallis 9-2 4th
#8 Voter Protection 9-2 Dbl $25.60

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  1,3,6 6

Race 2 :  3,10,7,5 Dirt : 8,4,6,2 3

Race 3 :  5,2,1 x

Race 4 :  8,2 Dirt : 6,3,10 x

Race 5 :  3,8,2 2

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,10,7,5 Dirt : 8,4,6,2 3

Race 3 :  5,2,1,4 4

Race 4 :  8,2,4 Dirt : 6,3,10 x

Race 5 :  3,8,2 2

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  3,8,2 2

Race 6 :  4,2 x

Race 7 :  1,5,3 Dirt : 8,7,9 5

Race 8 :  2,3,4 Dirt : 14,4,8 8

Race 9 :  2 2

Race 10 : 8,2 Dirt : 4,16 4

$1.00 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  4,2,6,3 3

Race 7 :  1,5,3 Dirt : 8,7,9 5

Race 8 :  2,3,4 Dirt : 14,4,8 8

Race 9 :  2,4 2

Race 10 : 8,2,4 Dirt : 4,16,5 4

$.50 Ticket :  $108 $321

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  1,5,3,4 Dirt : 8,7,9,2 5

Race 8 :  2,3,4 Dirt : 14,4,8 8

Race 9 :  2,4 2

Race 10 : 8,2,4,5 Dirt : 4,16,5,8 4

$.50 Ticket :  $48 $86.37

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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