A Winning Day at the Races!

August 23rd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,786/19,564, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,969/19,564. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Awakened 6-1 1st $14.40
#2 Jimmy P 6-1 2nd $7.70 Ex $90.50
#9 McTigue (IRE) 7-2 3rd $3.20 Tri $343
#4 Theocrat (IRE) 8-1

Race 2:

#4 Perfect Munnings 1-1               32 1st $4.20 Dbl $28.20
#3 Bustin Shout 5-2                        29 3rd $2.30
#5 Bronx Bomber 10-1                   28 2nd $7.30 Tri $43.40
#6 Lohengrin Two 8-1                    27

Race 3:

#6 Bring Me a Check 9-2                35 3rd $5.10
#1a Cazadero 5-1                             34
#3 High Front 2-1                            34
#8 Thin White Duke 7-2                 33 4th

Race 4:

#5 Slapintheface 5-2                        19 2nd $4.00
#8 Laurel Valley 5-1                         18 1st $7.60 Ex $23
#1 Mission Hill 7-2                           17 3rd $4.00 Tri $93.48
#9 Lt. Mitchell 9-2                            17 4th Spr $220.40

Race 5:

#1 April Antics 7-2                            27 1st $6.50
#4 Kara Para 10-1                              26 2nd $7.20 Ex $44
#7 Charge Nurse 8-1                         26 scratched
#3 Disruption 5-2                              25 3rd $2.50 Tri $116

Race 6:

#6 Skyler’s Starship 12-1                 17 1st $16.80 Dbl $94
#3 Mischief Joke 9-5                         16 2nd $2.70 Ex $47
#8 B D Saints 7-2                               15 3rd $3.00 Tri $136.48
#2 Benzodini 5-1                               15

Race 7:

#1 Good Skate 10-1                            36 3rd $3.40
#4 Pioneering Spirit 5-2                    35 scratched 
#8 Sy Dog 5-1                                       34 2nd $4.00
#6 Tawny Port 9-2                               33 1st $7.40 Tri $66.48

Race 8:

#4 Rockstar Red 7-2                            18 2nd $3.90
#11 Strapped 9-2                                 17
#9 Sixwillberich 8-1                            16
#2 Into It 12-1                                      16 1st $30.00

Race 9:

#6 Radio Red 7-2                                 33 3rd $3.20
#1 Straight Arrow 8-1                         32 2nd $6.30
#4 Aggregation 9-2                              31
#3 Zeebear 8-1                                      31 scratched

Race 10:

#8 Negra Gata 9-2                                 16
#11 Accept the Outcome (IRE) 7-2    16
#5 Love Mami Love 5-1                        15 3rd $4.60
#6 Quiescent 12-1                                 15

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  4,3,5 4

Race 3:  6,1a/1,3,8 x

Race 4:  5,8,1 8

Race 5:  1,4,7 *7 scratched using 1,4,3

Race 6:  6,3,8

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  6,1a/1,3,8 x

Race 4:  5,8 8

Race 5:  1,4,7,3

Race 6:  6,3,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,8,1,9 8

Race 5:  1,4,7,3

Race 6:  6,3,8,2

Race 7:  1,4,8

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 5:  1,4,7,3

Race 6:  6,3,8

Race 7:  1,4,8

Race 8:  4,11

Race 9:  6

Race 10: 8,11

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  6,3,8,2

Race 7:  1,4,8

Race 8:  4,11,9

Race 9:  6,1,4

Race 10: 8,11

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  1,4,8,6

Race 8:  4,11,9,2

Race 9:  6,1,4,3

Race 10: 8,11

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

  

 


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