August 24th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,235/17,131, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,718/17,131. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Fast Vision (FR) 8-1
#6 Theocrat (IRE) 5-1
#1 Freddy Flintshire 5-2
#7 Scorpion’s Revenge (IRE) 3-1

Race 2:

#5 Maddie’s Grace 7-2 16
#7 August Bloom 5-1 15
#2 In Good Trouble 10-1 15
#1 Sweet Blush 9-2 14 4th

Race 3:

#4 Built to Last 1-1 17
#5 Sharp Sensation 5-2 15
#8 Brennan’s War 5-1 14
#2 My Slick Nick 8-1 13

Dirt Selections

#12 Tommy Gun 9-5 3rd $2.10
#9 Gimmebackmybullets 9-2
#13 Full Complement 5-1 4th
#11 Kingstown 8-1 2nd $5.30

Race 4:

#4 Cole Spur 3-1 27
#2 Brawndo 4-1 26 3rd $4.10
#5 Zen Master 3-1 25 4th
#6 Silipo 8-1 25

Race 5:

#6 Kinetic Sky 8-5 31 scratched
#5 Roderick 9-5 30 1st $3.50
#1a Al’s Prince 6-1 28 3rd $2.30
#3 Good Culture 5-1 27 4th

Race 6:

#5 King Angelo 3-1 34
#6 Thin White Duke 7-2 33
#3 Under Oath 6-1 32
#1 Basso 20-1 31

Dirt Selections

#3 Under Oath 6-1 1st $3.30
#11 Overbore 10-1 2nd $3.00
#13 Risk Profile 6-1 3rd $2.30
#9 His Time 8-1 4th

Race 7:

#8 The Prince’s Spur 8-5 17
#5 Provin Hope 5-1 16
#9 Drakon 6-1 15
#6 Gut Feeling 6-1 15

Dirt Selections

#8 The Prince’s Spur 8-5 1st $4.40
#5 Proven Hope 5-1
#7 Secret Cargo 9-2 4th
#9 Drakon 6-1

Race 8:

#6 Lastchanceatglory 9-5 30 2nd $2.70
#4 Mount Travers 6-1 29 1st $14.80 Ex $30.20
#3 Boldish 3-1 28 3rd $2.80 Tri $94
#2 Crypto Cash 5-2 27 4th Spr $179.40

Race 9:

#4 Oceans Map 5-2 33
#5 Sa’ad (FR) 7-2 32
#3 Tide of the Sea 2-1 31
#2 Bluegrass Parkway 3-1 30

Dirt Selections

#3 Tide of the Sea 2-1
#2 Bluegrass Parkway 3-1
#6 Hieroglyphics 12-1

Race 10:

#8 Control Function 3-1 29
#2 Mia At Midnight 8-1 28
#5 Stella Mars 5-1 27
#11 Dreamful 7-2 27

Dirt Selections

#13 Chaysenbryn 3-1
#12 Kerik 9-2
#14 Maybe Later 5-2
#1a Mariah’s Fortune 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2: 5,7,2,1 x

Race 3: 4,5 Dirt: 12,9 *9 scratched using 12,13 x

Race 4: 4,2,5,6 x

Race 5: 6,5,1a/1,3 5

Race 6: 5,6,3 Dirt: 3,11,13 3

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 3: 4,5 Dirt: 12,9 *9 scratched using 12,13 x

Race 4: 4,2,5,6 x

Race 5: 6,5,1a/1,3 5

Race 6: 5,6,3,1 Dirt: 3,11,13,9 3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 6,5 *6 scratched using 5,1a/1 5

Race 6: 5,6 Dirt: 3,11 3

Race 7: 8 Dirt: 8 8

Race 8: 6,4,3 4

Race 9: 4,5 Dirt: 3,2

Race 10: 8,2,5 Dirt: 13,12,14

$1.00 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,6,3 Dirt: 3,11,13 3

Race 7: 8,5,9,6 Dirt: 8,5,7,9 8

Race 8: 6,4,3,2 4

Race 9: 4,5 Dirt: 3,2

Race 10: 8,2,5 Dirt: 13,12,14

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 8,5,9,6 Dirt: 8,5,7,9 8

Race 8: 6,4,3,2 4

Race 9: 4,5 Dirt: 3,2

Race 10: 8,2,5,11 Dirt: 13,12,14,1a

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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