August 25th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• August 24, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,798/19,584, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,981/19,584. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Friday & Sunday will be here on the Free Page…Visit the Membership Page to Purchase a “Saratoga Saturday Pass”…$12.99 for Full Access to Saturday’s Saratoga Travers Day Picks/Plays…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Inherent Promise 10-1         20
#2 The Hero Code 8-1                19
#9 Sheriff Joe 12-1                      18
#4 Feltrinelli 5-1                         18

Dirt Selections

#16 Global Perspective 8-5 1st $3.50
#2 The Hero Code 8-1 scratched
#9 Sheriff Joe 12-1
#7 Tireless 6-1 scratched
#5 Walley World 4-1 scratched

Race 2:

#4 Our Rosie Diamonds 5-1       26
#3 Vax 5-2                                      25 1st $5.30
#2 La Aguililla 6-1                        25
#5 Trust the Numbers 2-1           24 2nd $3.30

Race 3:

#5 Roses for Debra 1-2                39 1st $2.70
#4 Poppy Flower 5-1                    37 scratched
#3 Train to Artemus 10-1           36 3rd
#2 Bubble Rock 3-1                      35 2nd $2.50

Dirt Selections

#8 Bluefield 9-5
#7 Self Isolation 7-5
#2 Bubble Rock 3-1

Race 4:

#5 Landbiscuit 3-1                        32 *Best Bet
#7 Speedy Hans 8-1                      30
#3 Original 8-1                               29
#1 Microsecond 6-1                       28

Dirt Selections

#11 Truculent 4-1 1st $11.60
#13 Dust Devil 2-1
#14 H P Moon 7-2 scratched
#9 Styner 10-1 2nd $6.20

Race 5:

#6 Joking Way 6-1                        30
#3 Alternate Reality 8-1              29
#5 Thunderian 6-1                        29 4th
#1 Prove Right 3-1                        28

Race 6:

#2 Anchises 6-1                             19
#6 Fierceness 2-1                           18 1st $4.20
#5 Change of Command 8-1        18 4th
#1 Air of Defiance 5-2                   17 2nd $5.10

Race 7:

#3 Headland 8-5                             34 2nd $2.30
#7 First to Act 8-1                          32
#5 Hydra 15-1                                  31
#1 You Look Cold 4-1                     30 3rd $2.10

Race 8:

#1 Avenue Niel (IRE) 2-1              30
#4 Anatolian 3-1                             29
#1a Olkovskha (FR) 2-1                 28
#6 Sweet Dutchess 7-2                   28

Dirt Selections

#10 Peak Popularity 9-5
#11 She Caught My Eye 2-1
#7 Modern Love 12-1
#4 Anatolian 3-1

Race 9:

#5 Nest 4-5                                       39
#1 Idiomatic 3-1                              38
#6 Clairiere 5-2                                37
#4 Sixtythreecaliber 15-1               35

Race 10:

#10 Arrasou 9-2                               19
#1 Frau Diablo 10-1                        18
#11 Millie Jean 15-1                        17
#2 Cowichan (IRE) 3-1                    17

Dirt Selections

#10 Arrasou 9-2
#12 White Chocolate 5-2
#1 Frau Diablo 10-1
#8 We Shall See 15-1
#7 Going the Distance 15-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,2,9,4 Dirt: 16,2,9,7

Race 2:  4,3,2,5

Race 3:  5,4 Dirt: 8,7 *4 scratched using 5,3

Race 4:  5 Dirt: 11,13

Race 5:  6,3,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,3,2,5

Race 3:  5,4 Dirt: 8,7 *4 scratched using 5,3

Race 4:  5,7,3 Dirt: 11,13,14 *14 scratched using 11,13,9

Race 5:  6,3,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,7 Dirt: 11,13

Race 5:  6,3,5,1

Race 6:  2,6,5,1

Race 7:  3,7,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  6,3,5

Race 6:  2,6

Race 7:  3

Race 8:  1/1a,4 Dirt: 10,11

Race 9:  5,1

Race 10: 10,1,11,2 Dirt: 10,12,1,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  2,6,5,1

Race 7:  3,7,5,1

Race 8:  1,4 Dirt: 10,11

Race 9:  5,1

Race 10: 10,1,11,2 Dirt: 10,12,1,8

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  3,7,5,1

Race 8:  1/1a,4,6 Dirt: 10,11,7,4

Race 9:  5,1

Race 10: 10,1,11,2 Dirt: 10,12,1,8

$.50 Ticket:  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.