August 6th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• August 5, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,351/23,656 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,926/23,656. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday at Saratoga…$377.75 on a $48 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$1,102.50 on a $144 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 (3-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$1,527.25 on a $144 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 (4-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$413.25 on a $54 ticket…

 *Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

*I have thrown out every ML favorite in each race today…I have done it in the past with success on occasion, this appeared to be a good card to try it once again…So keep this in mind when looking at the choices…

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Swaggish 7-2                       30 4th
#2 Castle Island 4-1                29 3rd $3.10
#1 Tabeguache 3-1                  28 1st $7.20
#4 Curlin’s Malibu 9-2            28 2nd $3.00 Spr $54.40

*3 Costa Terra 2-1 (ML Fav excluded) scratched

Race 2:

#3 Royal Bobbie 5-2                28 1st $6.80
#4 Capital Gal 8-1                    27 2nd $16.20 Ex $99.00
#2 Sweet Anniversary 2-1      26
#1 Cara’s Dreamweaver 8-1   25 3rd $3.20

*5 Summer Whirl 9-5 (ML Fav excluded) 4th

Race 3:

#1 Whistler’s Style 2-1           27 2nd $2.60
#7 Follow Your Arrow 6-1      26
#1a Miss Lao 2-1                      25 scratched 
#6 Lika Rolling Stone 8-1       24 3rd $3.70

*3 Mursal 9-5 (ML Fav excluded)

Race 4:

#5 Bobby M’s Girl 9-2             29
#8 Red Burgundy 2-1              28 4th
#1 Slightly Busy 5-1                27 2nd $6.50
#4 Snowy Evening 8-1            26

*3 Brocknardini 9-5 (ML Fav excluded) 1st $5.20

Race 5:

#9 Lollipops 3-1                      26 2nd $3.00
#1 Another Cleeshay 7-2       25 3rd $2.10
#4 Ragtime Sizzle 8-1            25 scratched 
#5 Anointed of God 6-1         24 scratched

*8 Best Impression 5-2 (ML Fav excluded) 1st $4.30

Race 6:

#10 Great Actress 4-1             16
#9 Oscar’s Encore 7-2             15 1st $9.60
#8 Raynham Hall 10-1            15
#7 Imminent Risk 6-1             14 3rd $4.90

*2 Devilish Grin 5-2 (ML Fav excluded) 2nd $3.50

Race 7:

#6 Digital Ops 3-1                   37 *Best Bet 2nd$4.00
#4 Lambeth 5-2                        36 4th
#3 Game Warden 9-2              35 3rd $2.70
#5 Time for Trouble 12-1       34

*2 Parchment Party 7-5 (ML Fav excluded) 1st $3.80

Race 8:

#6 Atarah 6-1                           29
#5 Midway Memories 3-1      28
#3 So Darn Pretty 6-1             27
#4 Sol d’Oro 5-1                       27

*7 Griselda (FR) 5-2 (ML Fav excluded)

Race 9:

#6 I Rest My Case 9-2             17
#9 Luciana’s Honor 15-1        16
#4 Setting Sun 5-2                   16
#10 St. Brigid’s Cross 3-1        15

*11 Trading Trouble 9-5 (ML Fav excluded)

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,2,1,4

Race 2:  3,4,2

Race 3:  1/1a,7

Race 4:  5,8,1

Race 5:  9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,4,2,1

Race 3:  1/1a,7

Race 4:  5,8,1,4

Race 5:  9,1,4,5 *4,5 scratched using 9,1,6,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1/1a,7,6

Race 4:  5,8,1

Race 5:  9,1

Race 6:  10,9,8,7

Race 7:  6,4

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,8

Race 5:  9,1,4,5 *4,5 scratched using 9,1,6,8

Race 6:  10,9

Race 7:  6

Race 8:  6,5,3

Race 9:  6,9,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  9,1,4,5 *4,5 scratched using 9,1,6,8

Race 6:  10,9,8,7

Race 7:  6,4

Race 8:  6,5,3

Race 9:  6,9,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  10,9,8,7

Race 7:  6,4

Race 8:  6,5,3,4

Race 9:  6,9,4,10

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.