August 7th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• August 6, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,354/23,665 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,930/23,665. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Middle Pick 4 for us last Friday at Saratoga…$377.75 on a $48 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$1,102.50 on a $144 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 (3-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$1,527.25 on a $144 ticket…

*Middle Pick 4 (4-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$413.25 on a $54 ticket…

 *Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Otto Nipoti 9-2                    16
#4 Kavanaugh 7-5                     15 3rd $2.40
#6 Reaction 5-1                         15 2nd $6.70
#3 Cyberbeast 8-1                     14 4th

Race 2:

#7 Hedge Ratio 4-1                   19
#8 Teddy’s Rocket 2-1              18 1st $6.10
#1 Our Magical Moon 12-1      17 3rd $3.70
#4 Noble Dynasty 7-2               17 2nd $4.00

Race 3:

#3 Ready for Trouble 9-2         30 4th
#1 Golden Degree 4-5               29 3rd $3.40
#2 Talkin in Cursive 6-1           28
#1a Proud Foot 4-5                    28 scratched 

Race 4:

#1 Vive Veuve 2-1                      34 1st $3.90
#8 Breath Away (GB) 5-2          33
#6 Alluring Angel (GB) 9-2       32
#2 Immensitude (FR) 4-1          31 2nd $5.30

Race 5:

#1 Fiscal Drag 5-2                      17 3rd $2.30
#3 The Closer 3-1                       16 1st $4.80
#5 The Crowley Cup 7-2            16
#6 Shadow Surge 4-1                 15 scratched 

Race 6:

#10 Hoops Rivalry 4-1              18
#11 Beach of Dreams 10-1       17 scratched 
#6 Simone 3-1                             16
#5 Op Overlord 20-1                  15

Race 7:

#2 Regalton (GB) 8-1                33
#5 Silsbee 6-1                             32 4th
#11 Love Cervere 7-2                32 3rd $2.80
#8 Roja 6-1                                  31 scratched 

Race 8:

#3 Aelfgar 8-1                             29
#6 Iron Dome 7-5                       28 1st $2.90
#4 Toga Dan 8-1                         27 4th
#1 First Pitch 20-1                     26

Race 9:

#7 Valuation Metric 9-2            31 4th
#11 Winnebago (IRE) 8-1          31 3rd $6.30
#4 Maui Strong 7-2                     30 scratched
#8 Solo Venturi 10-1                  29
#1 States’ Rights 3-1                  29

Race 10:

#7 Soho Nights 8-1                    17
#8 Princess Summer 5-2           16
#2 Saratoga Snow 6-1                15
#1 Mizty Fog 8-1                         15

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4,6

Race 2:  7,8,1,4

Race 3:  3,1/1a

Race 4:  1,8

Race 5:  1,3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,8,1,4

Race 3:  3,1/1a

Race 4:  1,8,6,2

Race 5:  1,3,5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64:

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  3,1/1a,2

Race 4:  1,8

Race 5:  1,3,5,6

Race 6:  10,11,6 *11 scratched using 10,6,5

Race 7:  2,5,11

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  1,8

Race 5:  1,3,5,6

Race 6:  10,11,6,5 *11 scratched using 10,6,5,3

Race 7:  2,5,11,8 *8 scratched using 2,5,11,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  1,3

Race 6:  10,11,6 *11 scratched using 10,6,5

Race 7:  2,5,11

Race 8:  3,6

Race 9:  7,11,4 *4 scratched using 7,11,8

Race 10: 7,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  10,11,6 *11 scratched using 10,6,5

Race 7:  2,5,11

Race 8:  3,6,4

Race 9:  7,11,4,8 *4 scratched using 7,11,8,1

Race 10: 7,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,5,11,8 *8 scratched using 2,5,11,12

Race 8:  3,6,4

Race 9:  7,11,4,8 *4 scratched using 7,11,8,1

Race 10: 7,8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.