A Winning Day at the Races!

December 11th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,112/15,400, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,821/15,400. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will continue to be posted here on the Free Page through December…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#7 Mister J T 7-2                          15
#6 Sutton Valley 5-1                   14 scratched
#9 Romantic Man 6-1                 13 2nd $6.10
#8 Motion to Strike 9-2              12 4th

Race 2 :

#4  True Gold 6-1                         29 2nd $9.60
#10 Bad Guy 4-1                           28 3rd $3.40
#3 Just Right 7-2                           27
#8 Manifest Destiny 9-2              27

Race 3 :

#7 Good Morning Angel 7-2       19 *Best Bet
#6 Senseofexcellence 6-1            18
#1 Mischievous Diane 1-1           18 1st $2.90
#2 Jacko’s Day Out 9-2                 17 2nd $4.60

Race 4 :

#10 Trash Talker 5-2                    30
#1 Rudy Rod 7-2                            29
#5 Him She Kisses 20-1               28
#4 Hoopla 10-1                              27 3rd $13.60

Race 5 :

#12 Leeloo 10-1                              16 1st $12.60
#5 Celine the Queen 5-2               15
#2 Royal Currency 5-1                   15 scratched
#1 Raymond Road 8-1                   14

Race 6 :

#6 Breakfastatbonnies 5-2           31 1st $4.90 Dbl $33.40
#4 Vacay 7-2                                    30
#10 Fair Regis 12-1                        29
#1a Honey Money 9-2                   29 4th

Race 7 :

#9 Mexican Wonder Boy 4-1        32 1st $6.90 Dbl $18.40
#8 Daddy Knows 6-1                      31
#7 Hammerin Aamer 3-1              30 2nd $3.80
#1 Musical America 6-1                29 Pk 3 $125.50

Race 8 :

#7 Song River 7-2                            33
#4 Just Read It 20-1                        32
#2 Glass Ceiling 6-5                        32 1st $5.30
#5 Starfront 4-1                               31

Race 9 :

#6 Bustinmygroove 8-1                   27
#7 Tellaperfecttale 10-1                  26
#13 Shining Colors 4-1                    25
#2 Bella Principessa 5-1                  25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5

Race 1 :  7,6,9,8 x

Race 2 :  4,10,3,8 x

Race 3 :  7,6 x

Race 4 :  10,1 x

Race 5 :  12,5,2 *2 scratched using 12,5,1 12

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,10,3,8 x

Race 3 :  7,6 x

Race 4 :  10,1,5,4 x

Race 5 :  12,5,2,1 12

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  10,1 x

Race 5 :  12,5,2 *2 scratched using 12,5,1 12

Race 6 :  6 6

Race 7 :  9,8 9

Race 8 :  7,4,2 2

Race 9 :  6,7,13 *7 & 13 scratched using 6,2,14

$1.00 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  12,5,2,1 12

Race 6 :  6,4,10,1a/1 6

Race 7 :  9,8,7 9

Race 8 :  7 x

Race 9 :  6,7,13,2 *7 & 13 scratched using 6,2,14,11

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  6,4 6

Race 7 :  9,8,7 9

Race 8 :  7,4,2,5 2

Race 9 :  6,7,13,2 *7 & 13 scratched using 6,2,14,11

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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