December 14th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• December 13, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,073/20,026, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,198/20,026. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Still dealing with complications from Covid, hope to have Aqueduct Picks/Plays available all week…

*4 on top winners last Thursday at Aqueduct…$10.40…$13.80…$14.00…$9.70

*Late Pick 5/4 last Thursday at Aqueduct…Pick 5 $2,699 on a $144 ticket…Pick 4 $724 on a $72 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Remember the Name 1-1      16 1st $2.70
#1 Pappou’s Laugh 9-2                14
#6 Laser Sharp 4-1                        13 2nd $5.60
#4 Don Vino Vici 7-2                    12 3rd $2.20

Race 2:

#7 Beautiful Karen 7-2                 27 4th
#1 Saint Eros Girl 5-2                   27 1st $5.80
#4 Customerexperience 6-1        26 3rd $4.20
#3 Left Leaning Lucy 12-1           25

Race 3:

#2 P Mutter Pickle 6-5                 28 2nd $2.90
#6 Bernietakescharge 6-1            27 1st $6.20 Ex $20
#4 Alley’s Song 8-1                       26
#1 Concerti 4-1                              26

Race 4:

#7 She’s Awesome 8-5                 29 2nd $2.50
#2 Roman Goddess 9-2                28 3rd $2.30

 

#1 Queens Over Threes 10-1      27
#4 Icy Reply 3-1                             27 1st $8.50

Race 5:

#2 Everyoneloveslinda 3-1         28 3rd $3.30
#7 Timed Out 6-1                         27
#5 I’m Buzzy 5-1                           27
#1 Solib 10-1                                  26

Race 6:

#1 Ain’t Broke 9-5                       32 1st $6.90
#5 Give Me Kisses 5-2                 30
#2 Mursal 12-1                             29 3rd $4.70
#7 Gunfyre Gal 8-1                      28

Race 7:

#4 Bernt Again 4-1                      28 1st $7.50 Dbl $30.60
#5 Smokie Eyes 7-2                     27 2nd $7.60 Ex $55.50
#6 Berning Honor 10-1               26
#1 Just a Nyquist 5-1                   25

Race 8:

#2 Clever Forever 8-5                 16 2nd $2.80
#3 Refuah 5-1                               15 1st $10.60 Ex $24
#8 Domination 4-1                      14
#5 Twirling Vine 12-1                 14 3rd $5.10

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2

Race 2:  7,1,4,3

Race 3:  2,6,4,1

Race 4:  7,2,1,4

Race 5:  2,7,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,1

Race 3:  2,6,4,1

Race 4:  7,2,1,4

Race 5:  2,7,5,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  2,6,4,1

Race 4:  7,2,4,1

Race 5:  2,7,5,1

Race 6:  1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  2

Race 4:  7,2

Race 5:  2,7,5

Race 6:  1,5

Race 7:  4,5,6

Race 8:  2,3,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  7,2,1,4

Race 5:  2,7,5

Race 6:  1,5

Race 7:  4,5

Race 8:  2,3,8,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  2,7,5,1

Race 6:  1,5

Race 7:  4,5,6,1

Race 8:  2,3,8,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.