A Winning Day at the Races!

December 18th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,134/15,435, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,834/15,435. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will continue to be posted here on the Free Page through December…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Gulfstream Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#7 Early Voting 5-2                      18 1st $3.90
#4 Matt Doyle 3-1                        17 2nd $3.00
#5 My Brother Cam 7-2               16
#1 Sul Pharoah 6-1                       15

Race 2 :

#6 Sound Money 6-5                    29 scratched
#9 Forest Spirit 10-1                    27 3rd $4.90
#2 Make It in Ny 8-1                    27
#7 Great Workout 9-2                  26 1st $8.20

Race 3 :

#6 St. Lukes 8-5                            14 1st $5.60
#9 Illustrious 5-2                          13 3rd $2.70
#1a Nova Loves a Fight 10-1      12
#4 Principality 6-1                        11

Race 4 :

#8 Chestertown 10-1                    33 *Best Bet 3rd $2.50
#1 Happy Medium 1-1                  32 1st $3.20
#6 Wudda U Think Now 3-1        31 2nd $3.00
#4 Foolish Ghost 12-1                  30

Race 5 :

#6 Bert Bert Bert 8-1                     17
#7 Bold Journey 1-1                       17 1st $3.00
#5 Bench Walk 10-1                       16
#3 Golden Code 9-2                       16 2nd $3.90

Race 6 :

#7 Hoboken Jack 15-1                   29
#6 Geno 9-2                                     29 1st $18.80
#9 Iron Lion in Zion 8-1                28
#8 Stirdapot 10-1                            27

Race 7 :

#9 Royal Realm 3-1                         28 3rd $2.30
#1 Blake B. 7-2                                 27
#2 Blu Grotto 6-1                             26 2nd $7.00
#5 Altered 15-1                                26

Race 8 :

#6 Morning Matcha 8-5                 31 2nd $2.70
#5 Yo Cuz 9-2                                   29 1st $8.00 Ex $28.80
#3 Laoban’s Legacy 8-1                  28
#9 Bank On Anna 8-1                      27

Race 9 :

#5 Johnny Fontaine 20-1               29
#9 Mo Crazy Blues 15-1                  28
#2 Uncle George 7-2                        28
#6 No Salt 10-1                                 27 1st $16.60

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  7,4,5 7

Race 2 :  6,9,2 *6 scratched using 9,2,7 7

Race 3 :  6,9 6

Race 4 :  8,1 1

Race 5 :  6,7,5 7

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,9,2,7 7

Race 3 :  6,9,1a/1,4 6

Race 4 :  8,1 1

Race 5 :  6,7,5,3 7

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  8,1 1

Race 5 :  6,7 7

Race 6 :  7,6,9 6

Race 7 :  9,1 x

Race 8 :  6 x

Race 9 :  5,9,2 x

$1.00 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  6,7,5,3 7

Race 6 :  7,6,9 6

Race 7 :  9,1 x

Race 8 :  6,5 5

Race 9 :  5,9,2

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  7,6,9,8 6

Race 7 :  9,1,2,5 x

Race 8 :  6,5,3 5

Race 9 :  5,9,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Gulfstream Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Bourbon Ready 5-2                   19
#10 Icing 6-1 AE                             18 4th
#8 Mogalu 3-1                                 18 1st $9.60
#9 Jinxed (IRE) 9-2                         17 2nd $7.80
#5 Straight Time 15-1                    16

Race 2 :

#2 Ukiyo 6-5                                     14 1st $3.40
#7 Mountain Bellatrix 6-1             12
#6 Only Time 5-2                             11 2nd $2.80
#5 Keen Kingdom 15-1                   10 4th

Race 3 :

#6 Large 7-2                                      27
#4 Doo Wop Don 5-2                       25 1st $2.80
#1 Wicked Temptations 3-1           24 scratched
#3 Personal Meadow 9-2                24 3rd $2.40

Race 4 :

#4 Knights Bird 7-2                          12
#2 Inner Wave 8-1                            11
#5 Bourbon Over Ice 5-2                 10 4th
#7 Valiant Avenger 3-1                    10 1st $8.20

Race 5 :

#7 Alms 4-1                                        34
#10 Sweet Melania 6-1                     33 1st $15.60
#3 Shifty She 3-1                               32 2nd $4.40
#2 In a Hurry 5-1                               32 3rd $4.20

Race 6 :

#4 Queen Nekia 3-1                          33 4th
#6 Dream Marie 9-5                          32
#3 Dance d’Oro 7-2                           32 1st $6.80
#1 Allworthy 4-1                                31 3rd $2.40

Race 7 :

#7 Allegedly Perfect 5-2                    29
#2 Sovereign Warrior 20-1                29
#11 Hurricane Hill 5-1                       28
#5 Marcelino 9-2                                 27 3rd $7.80

Race 8 :

#5 Center Aisle 2-1                             32 1st $6.20
#4 Loriloupies 10-1                             31
#7 Bronx Beauty 6-1                           30 3rd $2.80
#3 Frank’s Rockette 9-5                      30 2nd $2.60

Race 9 :

#6 Fearless 8-5                                    35 1st $3.20
#1 Mighty Heart 9-5                           33 3rd $2.60
#5 South Bend 4-1                              32 2nd $4.00
#2 Blue Steel 10-1                               31 4th

Race 10 :

#2 L’Imperator 5-2                              34
#8 Analyze It 4-1                                 33
#11 Atone 12-1                                    32 2nd $17.20
#4 English Bee 20-1                            32 3rd $10.80

Race 11 :

#9 Ridley’s Major 5-2                          18
#6 Mifflin 2-1                                        18
#10 Hail to Thee 5-1 AE                      17
#5 Misbehaved 2-1                               16
#1 Immokalee 9-2                                 16

Gulfstream Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,10,8,9 8

Race 2 :  2 2

Race 3 :  6,4,1 4

Race 4 :  4,2,5 x

Race 5 :  7,10,3 10

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,7 2

Race 3 :  6,4,1,3 4

Race 4 :  4,2,5,7 7

Race 5 :  7,10,3 10

$.50 Ticket :  $48 $79.45

Pick 6 :

Race 6 :  4,6,3 3

Race 7 :  7,2,11,5 x

Race 8 :  5,4,7 5

Race 9 :  6,1 6

Race 10 : 2,8

Race 11 :  9,6,10,5 *10 scratched using 9,6,5,1

$.20 Ticket : $115.20

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  7,2,11,5 x

Race 8 :  5,4,7,3 5

Race 9 :  6,1 6

Race 10 : 2,8,11

Race 11 :  9,6

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  5,4,7,3 5

Race 9 :  6,1 6

Race 10 : 2,8,11,4

Race 11 :  9,6,10,5 *10 scratched using 9,6,5,1

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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