A Winning Day at the Races!

December 6th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8769/13250, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5794/13250. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will continue to be posted here on the Free Page through this weekend…

*8 on top winners Saturday between the Aqueduct & Gulfstream Cards 8/21…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 Speechin N Teachin 10-1         15
#2 Bellagio 5-2                                 14 4th
#3 Blue Grotto 9-2                          13 2nd $3.70
#7 Bourbonic 7-5                             13 1st $4.80

Race 2 :

#3 Princess in Charge 5-2               27
#6 Stretchthestory 5-1                    26
#5 I Dare U 9-5                                  25 scratched
#2 Queendom 12-1                           25 3rd $7.90

Race 3 :

#5 Hardcore Folklore 8-5                28 1st $7.30
#2 Deep Sea 6-1                                27
#7 Playwright 5-2                             27 2nd $3.90
#8 Scarf It Down 3-1                        26

Race 4 :

#7 Berenice 12-1                                 18 1st $32.60
#5 Seaside Retreat 4-1                       17 2nd $8.10 Ex $227
#3 Dovima 6-5                                     16 4th Dbl $98.50
#1 Lucky Girl 20-1                               15

Race 5 :

#5 Chestertown 9-5                             33 1st $4.40
#1a Yankee Division 3-1                     31 scratched
#2 Six Percent 2-1                                30 3rd $2.20 Dbl $65
#3 Pategory One 10-1                          29 4th Pk 3 $210

Race 6 :

#1 Gray Destiny 5-2                             30
#11 Laobanonaprayer 9-5                   29 1st $4.00
#8 Pop the Bubbly 12-1                       28 4th
#4 Jill’s a Hot Mess 20-1                      27 2nd $8.40

Race 7 :

#7 Honey I’m Good 3-1                        32 2nd $4.50
#5 Honor Way 3-1                                  31 1st $7.50 Ex $32
#4 Pacific Gale 10-1                               30 3rd $3.10 Tri $94
#1 Lady Ninja 2-1                                   30

Race 8 :

#11 Uno 5-2                                            31 scratched
#7 Dreamer’s Disease 8-5                    30
#6 Market Alert 12-1                             28 3rd $5.10
#2 It’s Gravy 12-1                                   28 2nd $7.10

Race 9 :

#4 Kitten’s Romance 4-1                      14 1st $5.20
#1 Miss Moon Pie 7-2                            13 scratched
#9 Hot Button 3-1                                  12
#8 Celestial Dream 6-1                          11

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,2,3,7 7

Race 2 :  3,6,5 *5 scratched using 3,6,2 x

Race 3 :  5,2,7 5

Race 4 :  7,5,3 7

Race 5 :  5,1a *1a scratched using 5,2 5

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,6,5,2 x

Race 3 :  5,2,7 5

Race 4 :  7,5,3 7

Race 5 :  5,1a *1a scratched using 5,2 5

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  7,5,3 7

Race 5 :  5,1a,2 *1a scratched using 5,2,3 5

Race 6 :  1,11 11

Race 7 :  7,5,4 5

Race 8 :  11,7 *11 scratched using 7,6 x

Race 9 :  4,1,9 *1 scratched using 4,9,8 4

$.20 Ticket :  $64.80

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 : 5,1a,2 5

Race 6 : 1,11 11

Race 7 :  7,5,4 5

Race 8 :  11,7 *11 scratched using 7,6 x

Race 9 :  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,9 4

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  1,11,8,4 11

Race 7 :  7,5,4 5

Race 8 :  11,7,6 *11 scratched using 7,6,2 x

Race 9 :  4,1,9 *1 scratched using 4,9,8 4

$.50 Ticket :  $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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