
A Winning Day at the Races!
February 13th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,641/22,532 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,388/22,532. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#6 She’s Wicked Smart 5-2 15 2nd $4.10
#3 Yo Leven 2-1 14 3rd $2.10
#4 Scarborough Fair 6-1 14 1st $12.40 Tri $112
#5 Lumenique 7-2 13 4th Spr $229.40
Race 2:
#2 Union Suit 7-5 26 1st $4.30
#5 La Grotte 9-2 25 scratched
#3 Karen’s Honor 4-1 25 2nd $4.20 Ex $15.00
#1 Lady Laoban 5-2 24
Race 3:
#4 Aint No Joke 1-1 27 scratched
#1 Camm’ Duke 2-1 26 2nd $2.40
#6 Alpha Sonny 10-1 25 3rd $2.90
#5 Noble Huntsman 8-1 25
Race 4:
#3 J D Factor 8-5 28 2nd $2.50
#2 Neuschwanstein 3-1 27 3rd $2.20
#6 Muazarah 5-1 26 1st $12.80 Tri $38.60
#1 Java Buzz 8-1 25
Race 5:
#1 Lucky and Gorgeous 7-2 25 1st $7.80
#5 Hayes Bay 4-1 24 4th
#2 Barstool Babe 3-1 23
#3 Looking for Ginny 9-2 23 2nd $7.30
Race 6:
#3 Alternate Reality 5-2 28 1st $7.30 Dbl $51.00
#2 Unbridled Bomber 2-1 27 4th
#1a Certified Loverboy 8-5 26 2nd $2.30
#6 Bold Victory 6-1 25 3rd $2.90 Spr $143.40
Race 7:
#6 Floge 8-1 27 2nd $4.10
#7 Willful Desire 7-5 27 scratched
#2 My First Love 4-1 26 3rd
#4 Will Be Famous 8-1 25 1st $6.70
Race 8:
#4 Blue Eyed Scout 4-5 16 1st $2.60
#6 Observer 9-2 15
#8 Mary in the Irons 12-1 13 3rd $2.70
#9 Lady of Mercia 20-1 12 4th
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 6,3
Race 2: 2,5,3,1
Race 3: 4,1 *4 scratched using 1,6
Race 4: 3,2
Race 5: 1,5,2
$.50 Ticket: $48
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,5,3,1
Race 3: 4,1 *4 scratched using 1,6
Race 4: 3,2,6
Race 5: 1,5,2
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 6:
Race 3: 4 *4 scratched using 1
Race 4: 3,2
Race 5: 1,5,2
Race 6: 3,2,1a/1
Race 7: 6,7,2 *7 scratched using 6,2,4
Race 8: 4
$1.00 Ticket: $54
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 3,2
Race 5: 1,5,2,3
Race 6: 3,2,1a/1
Race 7: 6,7,2,4
Race 8: 4,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 1,5,2,3
Race 6: 3,2,1a/1
Race 7: 6,7,2,4
Race 8: 4,6
$.50 Ticket: $48
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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