A Winning Day at the Races!

February 17th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66%  of the time 11,978/18,284, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,336/18,284. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Visit the “Membership Page” to purchase a “Weekend Pass” for Full Access to Saturday’s Aqueduct & Fair Grounds, Sunday’s Aqueduct & Monday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…4 Cards for $24.99

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Stormandy 3-1                          14 2nd $4.40
#2 Sounds Spooky 4-5                  13 1st $3.40
#6 Steady Progress 4-1                 13 3rd $2.60
#1 Disturbed 8-1                            12

Race 2:

#7 It’s Cold in Dehere 6-1            27 4th
#3 Blue Paynt 5-2                          26 3rd $2.70
#5 Mariah’s Fortune 4-1               26 1st $15.20
#2 Vallarand 7-2                             25

Race 3:

#6 Squid Gamer 10-1                     16
#1 Olympic Dreams 10-1              15 3rd $5.20
#3 Spirit of St Louis 2-1                14 1st $6.80
#2 Central Pride 6-1                       14 4th

Race 4:

#6 Fromanothamutha 6-1             28 2nd $4.30
#1 Complete Agenda 8-5               27 3rd $2.50
#2 Doctor Love 5-2                         27 4th
#5 Breadman 6-1                             26 scratched

Race 5:

#8 Spelterini 5-2                             16 2nd $2.70
#7 Fabulously Funny 2-1               16 1st $5.70 Ex $16
#6 Balentina 6-1                              15
#4 Swanson Lake 4-1                      14

Race 6:

#7 Majority Partner 3-1                 29 1st $9.30
#8 Excellent Timing 2-1                28
#5 Writer’s Regret 5-1                    27
#3 Whittington Park 8-1                27 scratched

Race 7:

#9 Downtown Mischief 7-5           29 *Best Bet 1st $3.30
#7 Midtown Lights 5-2                   27 2nd $2.80
#3 Luna Loca 5-1                             27 scratched
#4 Queens Masterpiece 12-1         26 4th

Race 8:

#8 Bad Connection 7-2                   16
#7 War Museum 10-1                      15
#12 Flattering Gal 9-2                     15
#1 Fuligni 6-1                                   14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,2,6 2

Race 2:  7,3,5 5

Race 3:  6,1,3,2 3

Race 4:  6,1,2 x

Race 5:  8,7 7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,3,5,2 5

Race 3:  6,1,3,2 3

Race 4:  6,1,2 x

Race 5:  8,7,6 7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 3:  6,1,3,2 3

Race 4:  6,1 x

Race 5:  8,7 7

Race 6:  7,8 7

Race 7:  9

Race 8:  8,7,12

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  6,1,2 x

Race 5:  8,7,6,4 7

Race 6:  7,8 7

Race 7:  9,7 9

Race 8:  8,7,12

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  8,7,6,4 7

Race 6:  7,8,5 7

Race 7:  9,7 9

Race 8:  8,7,12,1

$.50 Ticket:  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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