A Winning Day at the Races!

February 20th , 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,407/15,877, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,044/15,877. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Carbon 3-5                               14 scratched
#4 Boca Kitten 6-1                       12 3rd $2.10
#1 Closing Deals 7-2                    11 1st $4.40
#3 Easy Play 9-2                            9 2nd $2.60

Race 2:

#2 Road to Success 1-5                27 1st $2.80
#5 Coach Bahe 8-1                        25 3rd $3.10
#3 Mr. Fidget 4-1                           24 4th
#6 Bellamy Dolce 20-1                 23

Race 3:

#2 King of Hollywood 7-5             13 1st $4.80
#3 Empire Ridge 5-1                      12 scratched
#7 Rvindicated 4-1                         11 2nd $2.60
#1 Good Tip 5-2                              10

Race 4:

#3 Ragtime Blues 7-2                     26 3rd $3.50
#2 Mr. Pete 8-5                                25 2nd $3.70
#7 Joycee Haz Pizzaz 5-1               25 1st $8.10 Tri $140.48
#5 Tale of Mist 4-1                          24

Race 5:

#7 Corkman 9-5                                27 3rd $2.10
#3 Mandatory Payout 8-1               26
#5 Famished 8-5                               25 1st $4.60
#1 Bingo John 20-1                           24 2nd $7.20

Race 6:

#5 Bustin Timberlake 9-5                30 3rd $2.90
#7 Daddy Knows 7-2                         29 1st $8.20
#4 Double Shot 6-1                           28 scratched
#3 Our Man Mike 5-1                        27

Race 7:

#5 Barbara’s Bank 10-1                      25 scratched
#3 Viradia 2-1                                      25
#2 Prairie Fire 9-5                               24 1st $6.80
#7 Ancient Brown 8-1                        24

Race 8:

#4 More Graytful 8-5                          32 3rd $2.30
#5 Seven Lilies 2-1                              31 2nd $3.00
#1 Bustin Shout 6-1                            30 scratched
#3 Whistling Birds 8-1                        29 1st $22.00 Tri $175

Race 9:

#5 Trash Talker 5-2                             29 *Best Bet 1st $4.20
#2 Texas Basin 9-2                               27
#3 Air Show 7-2                                    26 4th
#7 Masked Marauder 6-1                    25 3rd $4.30

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,4,1,3 1

Race 2:  2,5,3 2

Race 3:  2

Race 4:  3,2 x

Race 5:  7,3,5 5

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,5,3,6 2

Race 3:  2,3,7,1 2

Race 4:  3,2,7 7

Race 5:  7,3 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3,2 x

Race 5:  7,3,5 5

Race 6:  5,7 7

Race 7:  5,3,2 *5 scratched using 3,2,7 2

Race 8:  4,5 x

Race 9:  5

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,3,5 5

Race 6:  5,7,4,3 7

Race 7:  5,3,2 *5 scratched using 3,2,7 2

Race 8:  4,5 x

Race 9:  5,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,7,4,3 7

Race 7:  5,3,2,7 2

Race 8:  4,5,1 *1 scratched using 4,5,3 3

Race 9:  5,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $306.25

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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