A Winning Day at the Races!

February 2nd, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66%  of the time 11,914/18,184, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 8,283/18,184. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Nice day for us last Saturday… Aqueduct Pick 6 $6192.50 on a $162 ticket…Late Pick 5 $2410.75 on a $108 ticket…Late Pick 4 $485.50 on a $48 ticket…Oakawn Pick 5 $1157 on a $216 ticket…Early Pick 4 $421.20 on a $64 ticket…Aqueduct *Best Bet “Repo Rocks” $22.40

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1a Reserve Currency 1-1           18 1st $2.90 
#3 Vodka Mardini 9-5                  17
#1 Systemic Change 1-1              17 2nd $2.70
#2 Mistical Curlin 7-2                  16

Race 2:

#4 Star Attitude 9-5                     13 1st $4.90
#2 Second and Reed 7-2              12 4th
#6 Saratoga Strong 6-1                11
#5 Steady Progress 8-1                10 2nd $6.40

Race 3:

#6 Reed Kan 6-5                             27 4th
#3 Magnificent Chrome 10-1       27
#2 Standup 6-1                               26
#5 Breaking Stones 7-2                 25 2nd $4.80

Race 4:

#2 Mad Magic 5-1                           16 3rd $2.30
#1 Omerta Code 3-5                       15
#3 Stjames 12-1                              13 2nd $9.50
#1a Smoke and Heat 3-5               12 1st $3.00

Race 5:

#1 Just a Nyquist 8-5                     15 1st $3.90
#3 Flattering Girl 3-1                    14
#7 Spooky Lady 4-1                       13 4th
#5 Tonight We Love 5-1                12 2nd $7.50

Race 6:

#2 Buckingham Prince 3-1           28
#1 Lord Gatling 6-1                        28
#4 Big Venezuela 5-2                     27
#7 Drink the Wind 3-1                   26

Race 7:

#6 Kinetic Sky 3-1                          33
#2 Unbridled Bomber 3-1             32
#1 Southern District 4-1               31
#3 War Stopper 9-2                        30

Race 8:

#7 Shasi 6-1                                     27
#1 Lady Shylock 3-1                       27
#8 Fancy Azteca 5-1                       26
#4 Bustin Hot 6-1                            25

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1a/1,3,2 1a

Race 2:  4,2,6 4

Race 3:  6,3,2 x

Race 4:  2,1/1a,3 1a

Race 5:  1,3 1

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,2,6,5 4

Race 3:  6,3,2,5 x

Race 4:  2,1a/1,3 1a

Race 5:  1,3 1

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 3:  6,3,2 x

Race 4:  2,1a/1 1a

Race 5:  1

Race 6:  2,1

Race 7:  6,2 *2 scratched using 6,1

Race 8:  7,1,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  2,1a/1,3 1a

Race 5:  1,3,7 1

Race 6:  2,1,4

Race 7:  6,2 *2 scratched using 6,1

Race 8:  7,1,8

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  1,3 1

Race 6:  2,1,4,7

Race 7:  6,2,1,3

Race 8:  7,1,8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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