A Winning Day at the Races!

February 4th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9013/13672, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5974/13672. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 Not Phar now 1-1                     16 1st $2.90
#7 Black Irish 5-2                           15
#5 Me ‘n Sap 2-1                            14 scratched
#1 Simbasalltrouble 15-1             12 2nd $8.40

Race 2 :

#1a Hardcore Folklore 6-5           28 2nd $3.80
#6 Mills 7-5                                     28 4th
#1 Playwright 6-5                          27 scratched
#3 Classy Papa 8-1                         26 3rd $3.40

Race 3 :

#1 Chaysenbryn 2-1                       30
#5 Magnetique 3-1                         29 2nd $4.10
#2 Cousin Basil 4-1                        28 3rd $4.00
#6 New York Star 9-2                     27 4th

Race 4 :

#3 Social Group 3-1                         28 3rd $3.20
#4 Open Lengths 7-2                       27 2nd $5.80
#2 Judge Alexander 6-1                   26
#8 Amistad 4-1                                 25 4th

Race 5 :

#5 Sunny Ridge 3-1                          34 4th
#3 Mad Munnys 7-2                          33
#1 Dreams Untold 8-5                      32 2nd
#4 Tatweej 5-2                                   31 1st

Race 6 :

#1 Jake Rocks 3-1                               29
#5 Montauk Daddy 8-5                     28 4th
#6 Somebody 9-2                               27 1st
#2 Knockout Punch 10-1                  26

Race 7 :

#1 Jemography 5-2                             32 1st
#6 Instinctive Rhythm 9-5                32
#4 Inscom 6-1                                      31
#3 Rejected Again 8-1                        30 3rd

Race 8 :

#3 Big Luther 4-1                                18
#9 Bingo John 9-2                               17
#8 Street Culture 6-1                          17
#5 Full Moon Fever 3-1                      16

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  6,7,5  *5 scratched using 6,7,1 6

Race 2 :  1a/1,6 x

Race 3 :  1,5,2 x

Race 4 :  3,4,2 x

Race 5 :  5,3,1

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  1a/1,6,3 x

Race 3 :  1,5,2,6 x

Race 4 :  3,4,2,8 x

Race 5 :  5,3,1

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 3 :  1,5,2 x

Race 4 :  3,4,2,8 x

Race 5 :  5,3,1,4

Race 6 :  1,5

Race 7 :  1,6

Race 8 :  3,9,8

$.20 Ticket :  $115.20

Late Pick 5 :

Race 4 :  3,4,2,8 x

Race 5 :  5,3,1,4

Race 6 :  1,5

Race 7 :  1,6

Race 8 :  3,9,8

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 5 :  5,3,1,4 4

Race 6 :  1,5,6 6

Race 7 :  1,6,4 1

Race 8 :  3,9,8,5

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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