February 8th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,621/22,503 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,373/22,503. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 4 for us Thursday at Aqueduct…$284.25 on a $48 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Tampa Bay Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1a Forever to Go 7-5 16 2nd $2.10
#3 Miss American Pie 2-1 15 1st $5.40 Ex $10.80
#6 St. Addie 5-1 15 4th
#5 Moonlight Ready 8-1 14

Race 2:

#2 Sand Devil 2-5 33 1st $2.40
#5 National Identity 7-2 32 2nd $2.40
#4 Fireballin 10-1 30 4th
#1 Soontobeking 4-1 29 3rd $2.10

Race 3:

#1 Naive Melody 6-5 30 3rd $2.20
#2 Boston’s Phinest 9-5 29 4th
#4 Bernieandtherose 3-1 28 1st $9.80
#5 Straca 6-1 27

Race 4:

#2 Prince of Truth 7-2 29
#8 On the Hill 3-1 28 3rd $2.40
#5 Kid Billy 5-2 27 2nd $3.80
#4 Heavyweight Champs 9-2 27 1st $12.00

Race 5:

#5 Stimuli 7-2 15 3rd $3.10
#3 Sweet Julian 6-1 14 scratched
#10 Gorzo 9-2 13
#1 Solomini’s Legacy 20-1 12

Race 6:

#11 She’s Complicated 4-1 18
#8 Delaware Devil 5-1 17
#2 Paula’s a Star 7-2 17
#1 Maxaluna 10-1 16

Race 7:

#9 Ariana Rye 3-1 29
#4 La Banquera 8-5 28
#1 Poseidon’s Mist 12-1 27
#6 Top of the Table 5-1 27

Race 8:

#11 Treaty Obligation 9-2 35
#3 Skylander 5-1 34
#5 Cascais 3-1 33
#2 Classic Legacy 10-1 32

Race 9:

#12 Counter Move 8-1 19
#7 Vekinda 6-5 18
#5 Merica’s Back 12-1 17
#2 Unbroken Chain 15-1 17

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1a/1,3

Race 2: 2,5

Race 3: 1,2,4

Race 4: 2,8,5

Race 5: 5,3,10 *3 scratched using 5,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $54

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,5

Race 3: 1,2,4

Race 4: 2,8,5

Race 5: 5,3,10 *3 scratched using 5,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $27

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3: 1,2

Race 4: 2,8,5,4

Race 5: 5,3,10,1

Race 6: 11,8,2,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 4: 2,8,5

Race 5: 5,3,10 *3 scratched using 5,10,1

Race 6: 11,8,2

Race 7: 9

Race 8: 11,3,5

Race 9: 12,7

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5: 5,3,10 *3 scratched using 5,10,1

Race 6: 11,8,2

Race 7: 9,4

Race 8: 11,3,5,2

Race 9: 12,7,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6: 11,8,2,1

Race 7: 9,4

Race 8: 11,3,5,2

Race 9: 12,7,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Tampa Bay Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Wonderfulvenezuela 6-1 26 2nd $8.60
#9 West Coast Song 3-1 25
#3 Highland Holiday 9-2 25 4th
#4 American Peaches 7-2 24

Race 2:

#10 Gilded Age 4-1 29
#9 Sonic Speed 5-2 29 4th
#4 Policy Option 9-2 28
#3 Lonely Ride 12-1 27

Race 3:

#1 Curlaine 7-2 19
#10 Cassiar 8-1 18 1st $27.60
#8 She’s a Gemma 6-1 18 2nd $6.60
#6 Kiss Me Slow 5-2 17

Race 4:

#6 Forward Deployed 8-5 18 3rd $2.40
#9 Carpe Diem (FR) 8-1 17
#2 Pretty Lavish (IRE) 3-1 16 1st $6.80
#1 Flip Flops 8-1 16 2nd $5.60

Race 5:

#2 Nutella Fella 2-1 33 1st $3.60
#4 Caramel Chip 5-2 31 2nd $3.60 Ex $11.60
#7 Life Is Precious 8-1 30 3rd $4.60 Tri $42.20
#5 Pure Class 5-1 29

Race 6:

#8 Miuccia 9-2 34
#4 Nic’s Style 7-5 34 1st $3.20
#6 Dazzling Blue 3-1 33 2nd $2.60
#1 Opus Forty Two 12-1 32

Race 7:

#1 Candytown 6-1 20
#8 McCorvey 3-1 19
#6 Van Ginkel 2-1 18
#3 Weekendsandwhiskey 3-1 18

Race 8:

#2 Seat At the Table 6-1 29
#8 Runaway Diva 10-1 29
#6 Lucky Combination 8-5 28
#1 Retired Kathy 10-1 27

Race 9:

#8 Cloe 8-1 32
#4 Her Laugh 5-2 31
#3 Italian Soiree 7-2 30
#5 Junta 12-1 30

Race 10:

#7 Lying by Omission 2-1 19
#11 Majestic Drive 6-1 18
#9 Portfolio Duration 9-5 18
#4 Mona L 8-1 17

Race 11:

#3 John Hancock 3-1 34
#7 Poster 4-1 34
#6 Owen Almighty 2-1 33
#2 Treaty of Rome 6-1 31

Race 12:

#12 Ehsaan 3-1 30
#10 Factor Analysis 8-5 29
#3 Noble Factor 10-1 28
#4 Heathguard 10-1 27

Tampa Bay Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,9,3,4

Race 2: 10,9,4

Race 3: 1,10,8,6

Race 4: 6,9,2

Race 5: 2,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 10,9,4,3

Race 3: 1,10,8,6

Race 4: 6,9,2,1

Race 5: 2,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 2,4

Race 6: 8,4,6

Race 7: 1,8,6,3

Race 8: 2,8,6,1

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 8,4,6

Race 7: 1,8,6,3

Race 8: 2,8,6,1

Race 9: 8,4,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 7: 1,8,6,3

Race 8: 2,8,6

Race 9: 8,4,3

Race 10: 7,11,9

Race 11: 3,7,6

Race 12: 12,10

$.20 Ticket: $129.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 2,8,6,1

Race 9: 8,4,3

Race 10: 7,11,9

Race 11: 3,7,6

Race 12: 12,10

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 8,4,3,5

Race 10: 7,11,9,4

Race 11: 3,7,6,2

Race 12: 12,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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