January 4th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,152/20,146, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,261/20,146. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5 for us last Friday at Aqueduct…$1,111.75 on a $108 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Gulfstream…$2256.85 on a $48 ticket…

*4 on top winners on Sunday’s Aqueduct card…$7.30…$11.60…$14.80…$7.10…

*Picks will remain Free and Posted here through the weekend with the weather uncertainty…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Elite Forces 3-5 30
#1 Return the Ring 6-1 28 1st $24.60
#6 Necromancer 9-2 28
#5 President Z 6-1 27 3rd $7.90

Race 2:

#4 Run Devil 7-2 28 3rd $3.10
#7 Whistler’s Style 7-2 27 1st $5.90
#2 Freudian 5-2 27 4th
#3 Timed Out 6-1 26

Race 3:

#8 Beary Funny 4-5 17 1st $2.80
#4 Wafir 8-1 15 2nd $5.30 Ex $16.60
#2 Nobilis 5-1 14
#7 Munny for Nuthin 8-1 14 3rd $3.00

Race 4:

#5 Optic Way 2-1 31 2nd $4.30
#2 Bold Victory 9-5 30
#4 Portos 3-1 29 3rd $3.60
#7 Sittin On Go 10-1 27 1st $24.20

Race 5:

#3 Big Engine 2-1 29 2nd $3.00
#7 Quickflash 6-1 28
#4 Tommy Gun 5-1 27
#2 Market Alert 6-1 26 3rd $4.00

Race 6:

#7 She’s Awesome 2-1 28 2nd $3.00
#1a Divine Cross 4-1 28 4th
#6 Kid’s Last Laugh 7-2 27 1st $6.30
#3 Magniloquent 7-2 27

Race 7:

#3 Majestic Return 2-1 30 1st $2.80
#6 Sue Ellen Mishkin 4-1 29 scratched
#1 I’m Just Kiddin 9-2 28 4th
#2 Cousin Kristi 4-1 28 scratched

Race 8:

#7 Good Reunion 7-5 16 2nd
#4 The Mighty Don 3-1 14 4th
#5 Sin Nombre 5-1 13 3rd
#3 Chalky Cat 5-1 12 1st

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,1

Race 2: 4,7,2

Race 3: 8

Race 4: 5,2,4

Race 5: 3,7,4

$.50 Ticket: $27

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,7,2,3

Race 3: 8,4,2

Race 4: 5,2

Race 5: 3,7,4

$.50 Ticket: $36

Pick 6:

Race 3: 8

Race 4: 5,2

Race 5: 3,7

Race 6: 7,1a/1,6

Race 7: 3,6 *6 scratched using 3,1

Race 8: 7

$.50 Ticket: $24

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 5,2,4

Race 5: 3,7,4

Race 6: 7,1a/1,6

Race 7: 3,6 *6 scratched using 3,1

Race 8: 7,4,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 3,7,4,2

Race 6: 7,1a/1,6,3

Race 7: 3,6*6 scratched using 3,1

Race 8: 7,4,5,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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