July 11th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• July 9, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,745/21,086 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,713/21,086. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 I Am the Law 3-1                 33
#7 Empty Tomb 9-2                  32 1st $15.00
#6 Accidental Hero 6-1            31 4th
#9 People Force 8-1                  30

Race 2:

#1 No Show Sammy Jo 7-2      32
#1a Avenue Niel (IRE) 7-2       31
#3 Be Your Best (IRE) 3-1        30
#4 Aspen Grove (IRE) 7-5        30

Dirt Selections

#8 Amanda’s Folly 2-1 1st $3.20
#9 Toned Up 5-2 2nd
#7 Sweetest Princess 50-1 3rd

Race 3:

#4 Miss Maximus 4-1               15
#5 Dreaming of Carli 6-1         14
#3 Neigh Jude 7-2                     14
#7 Going for Glory 6-1             13 3rd $5.80

Race 4:

#2 Lady Milagro 8-1               36
#1a Lady Mia (FR) 5-1            35
#5 Sunday Shoes 10-1            34
#4 Run for the Hills 2-1         34

Dirt Selections

#7 Shootoutthelights 4-1
#9 Bustin Bay 7-2 4th
#2 Lady Milagro 8-1 2nd $10.20
#5 Sunday Shoes 10-1 scratched

Race 5:

#9 Concorde Spirit 6-1          17 scratched
#1 New York Scrappy 3-1      16
#7 Brown Eyed Cat 9-2          16 1st $7.90
#5 Crescendo’s Rein 6-1        15 scratched

Race 6:

#8 Mean Eileen 8-1               16 scratched
#1 Strong State 5-2               16 1st $4.10
#10 Honestly 15-1                 15
#6 My Vanilla 20-1                14

Race 7:

#9 Latest Edition 10-1         29
#7 Marco T 3-1                      29
#3 Solib 4-1                            28
#4 Mz Big Bucks 5-1             28

Dirt Selections

#11 Speightful Lily 8-5
#13 Mosienko 2-1 scratched
#10 Sunday Girl 6-1 1st $9.80
#4 Mz Big Bucks 5-1
#12 Bank On Anna 12-1 3rd $6.70

Race 8:

#4 Lakeside Getaway 5-1    30
#9 Elle Est Forte 7-2             29
#7 Spring Magic 4-1             28
#3 More Than Glory 8-1      28

Dirt Selections

#11 Just Music 2-1 3rd $2.40
#12 Miss Fashionista 5-2
#14 Shigeko 8-1 scratched
#13 Crushed Ice 6-1 1st $8.80

Race 9:

#3 Film Star 5-1                   37 3rd $5.30
#6 Rocket Can 9-2               36
#5 Warrior Johny 10-1        35 1st $21.00
#4 Artorius 8-1                     35

Race 10:

#5 Complexion 7-2               33
#10 Viggiedal 9-2                 32
#6 Carmen’s Candy Jar 6-1 31 4th
#3 Sherbini 9-2                     31 2nd $7.80

Race 11:

#5 Sugar Hook 8-1                17
#9 Kick a Buck 9-5                17
#4 Bourbon Outlaw 12-1     16
#6 El Alacran 15-1                15

Dirt Selections

#11 Bolt d’Plata 15-1
#15 Houlton 5-2
#16 Always Be Smart 9-2
#4 Bourbon Outlaw 12-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,7,6,9

Race 2:  1/1a,3,4 Dirt: 8,9,7

Race 3:  4,5,3

Race 4:  2,1a/1,5,4 Dirt: 7,9,2,5

Race 5:  9,1 *9 scratched using 1,7

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1/1a,3,4 Dirt: 8,9,7

Race 3:  4,5,3,7

Race 4:  2,1a/1,5,4 Dirt: 7,9,2,5

Race 5:  9,1,7 *9 scratched using 1,7,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,1a/1,5,4 Dirt: 7,9,2,5

Race 5:  9,1,7 *9 scratched using 1,7,10

Race 6:  8,1,10,6 *8 scratched using 1,10,6,2

Race 7:  9,7,3 Dirt: 11,13,10 *13 scratched using 11,10,4

Race 8:  4,9,7 Dirt: 11,12,14 *14 scratched using 11,12,13

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  9,1,7,5 *9 scratched using 1,7,10,4

Race 6:  8,1,10,6 *8 scratched using 1,10,6,2

Race 7:  9,7,3,4 Dirt: 11,13,10,4 *13 scratched using 11,10,4,12

Race 8:  4,9,7 Dirt: 11,12,14 *14 scratched using 11,12,13

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $186.75

Pick 6:

Race 6:  8,1,10,6 *8 scratched using 1,10,6,2

Race 7:  9,7,3,4 Dirt: 11,13,10,4 *13 scratched using 11,10,4,12

Race 8:  4,9 Dirt: 11,12

Race 9:  3,6

Race 10: 5

Race 11:  5,9 Dirt: 11,15 *15 scratched using 11,16

$1.00 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  9,7,3,4 Dirt: 11,13,10,4 *13 scratched using 11,10,4,12

Race 8:  4,9,7,3 Dirt: 11,12,14,13 *14 scratched using 11,12,13,6

Race 9:  3,6

Race 10: 5,10,6

Race 11:  5,9 Dirt: 11,15 *15 scratched using 11,16

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  4,9,7,3 Dirt: 11,12,14,13 *14 scratched using 11,12,13,6

Race 9:  3,6,5,4

Race 10: 5,10,6

Race 11:  5,9,4,6 Dirt: 11,15,16,4 *15,4 scratched using 11,16,3,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.