July 11th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

• July 11, 2026
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,563/25,621 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,808/25,621. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Harbaugh 5-2                      19
#1 Midnight Still 6-5               19
#3 Decimation 7-2                   18
#2 Motawaali 15-1                   17

Race 2:

#7 Aerial Affair 3-1                   20
#8 Christopher Vedder 12-1    19
#5 Angel of Kirk 5-2                  18
#2 Hormesis 8-1                         18

Race 3:

#6 Speightful Lily 6-5              29
#1 Next On Stage 3-1               28
#4 Edistrudis 12-1                     27
#3 Gridlock 15-1                        27

Race 4:

#4 Intellect (FR) 4-1                 35
#1 Sounds Like a Plan 4-1       34
#3 Final Verdict 6-1                  33
#2 Sherlock’s Jewel 8-1            32

Race 5:

#3 Italian Soiree 7-2                36
#4 Sunna 2-1                             35
#6 In Our Time 5-2                   34
#2 Movin’ On Up 9-2                33

Race 6:

#6 Uptown Rosie 6-1               18
#4 Secret Connection 5-2       17
#3 Luck Penny 8-1                    17
#7 D’muehl 5-1                         16

Race 7:

#3 Walley World 5-1                 34
#4 Yinzer 3-1                              33
#1 Starship Titan 8-1                33
#2 Unit Economics (GB) 5-2     32

Race 8:

#8 Gypsy Art 4-1                        32
#5 Mission Improbable 8-1      31
#7 Grunge 10-1                           30
#9 No Evidence 8-1                    29

Race 9:

#2 Tricky Business 2-1             31
#7 Judge Boushay 3-1              30
#4 Toscano 5-2                          30
#6 Sunday Boy 6-1                    29

Race 10:

#1 Ole Crazy Bone 5-2             37
#2 Soleil Volant 12-1                36
#6 Minaret Station 2-1             35
#3 Desvio 12-1                           34

Race 11:

#5 Karsten 3-1                           17
#10 Coach Ryan 5-2                  16
#11 Maximum Heat 5-1           15
#9 Manor Park 10-1                  15

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,1,3

Race 2:  7,8,5,2

Race 3:  6,1

Race 4:  4,1,3

Race 5:  3,4,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,8,5,2

Race 3:  6,1

Race 4:  4,1,3,2

Race 5:  3,4,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  6,1,4,3

Race 4:  4,1

Race 5:  3,4,6

Race 6:  6,4,3

Race 7:  3,4,1,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,1,3,2

Race 5:  3,4

Race 6:  6,4,3,7

Race 7:  3,4,1,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  3,4

Race 6:  6,4,3,7

Race 7:  3,4,1,2

Race 8:  8,5,7,9

Race 9:  2,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,4,3

Race 7:  3,4,1

Race 8:  8,5,7,9

Race 9:  2,7

Race 10: 1

Race 11:  5,10

   $1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  3,4,1,2

Race 8:  8,5,7,9

Race 9:  2,7

Race 10: 1,2,6

Race 11:  5,10

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  8,5,7,9

Race 9:  2,7,4

Race 10: 1,2,6

Race 11:  5,10,11

  $.50 Ticket:  $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.