July 12th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,753/21,097 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,716/21,097. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Lord I Wonder 2-1 18
#5 Martingale 9-2 17
#2 Chanteuse 6-5 17
#3 Reliable Lady 7-2 16

Race 2:

#5 Stormquist 5-2 27
#7 Dillinger 2-1 26
#3 Paschal Moon 4-1 25
#4 Giant’s Fire 4-1 25

Race 3:

#1a Storm Ready 6-5 19
#6 Clever Mischief 8-1 18
#5 Tom Collins 5-1 17
#1 Steadfast Resolve 6-5 17

Dirt Selections

#11 Commander of Truth 2-1
#10 Military Road 1-1
#8 Praire Dunes 8-1
#9 Salacious 12-1

Race 4:

#4 Twenty Six Black 3-1 32
#5 Cigarette Boat 6-1 31
#3 Sesame Seed Bagel 8-1 30
#1 Inflation Nation (IRE) 6-1 30

Dirt Selections

#7 Tunisian Spring 2-1
#8 What’s Up Bro 5-2
#9 Super Chief 6-1
#3 Sesame Seed Bagel 8-1
#2 Aleah Aleah 20-1

Race 5:

#9 Saffa’s Day 5-2 33
#1a Kant Beat the Rock 8-1 32
#4 Gangly 7-2 32
#6 Chateau 5-1 31

Race 6:

#9 Replevin 12-1 18
#2 Reteko 9-2 18
#10 Classic Time 5-2 17
#5 Storm the Streets 10-1 17

Race 7:

#7 Mauritius 4-1 31
#5 Palace View (IRE) 9-2 30
#2 Gilded Craken 10-1 29
#4 Classic Creation 6-1 29

Dirt Selections

#14 Strapped 5-2
#15 Gun Maestro 9-2
#2 Gilded Craken 10-1
#16 Ski Country 8-1
#3 Devil’s Cay 10-1
#8 Leftembehind 6-1

Race 8:

#4 Striker Has Dial 3-1 31
#1 Miss Justify 3-1 30
#3 Courbe 6-1 30
#6 Bells Beach 5-2 29

Race 9:

#10 Star of Mystery 9-5 34
#4 Pipsy (IRE) 6-1 33
#7 Kairyu (IRE) 15-1 32
#5 Twirling Queen 8-1 31

Dirt Selections

#13 Golden Degree 7-2
#12 Do Gooder 9-2
#1 Toupie 8-1
#11 Value Area 4-1
#5 Twirling Queen

Race 10:

#8 Adventurous Spirit 5-2 17
#5 Beach Blanket 15-1 16
#6 Comanche Peak (GB) 6-1 15
#7 Over and Ollie 6-1 15

Dirt Selections

#9 Remember the Chief 8-1
#13 Always Be Smart 7-2
#11 Guile 12-1
#5 Beach Blanket 15-1
#14 Mano E Mano 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,5,2,3

Race 2: 5,7

Race 3: 1a/1,6,5 Dirt: 11,10,8

Race 4: 4,5,3,1 Dirt: 7,8,9,3

Race 5: 9,1a/1,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,7,3

Race 3: 1a/1,6,5 Dirt: 11,10,8

Race 4: 4,5,3,1 Dirt: 7,8,9,3

Race 5: 9,1a/1,4

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,5,3,1 Dirt: 7,8,9,3

Race 5: 9,1a/1,4,6

Race 6: 9,2,10,5

Race 7: 7,5 Dirt: 14,15

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 5: 9,1a/1,4

Race 6: 9,2,10,5

Race 7: 7,5 Dirt: 14,15

Race 8: 4,1

Race 9: 10 Dirt: 13

Race 10: 8,5,6 Dirt: 9,13,11

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 9,2,10,5

Race 7: 7,5,2,4 Dirt: 14,15,2,16

Race 8: 4,1,3,6

Race 9: 10,4 Dirt: 13,12

Race 10: 8,5,6 Dirt: 9,13,11

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 7,5,2,4 Dirt: 14,15,2,16

Race 8: 4,1,3,6

Race 9: 10,4 Dirt: 13,12

Race 10: 8,5,6,7 Dirt: 9,13,11,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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