July 13th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• July 11, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,612/19,277, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,845/19,277. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Visit the Membership Page to purchase a “Saratoga Weekend Pass” Thursday afternoon or Friday…$24.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Toned Up 5-1                         29 scratched
#6 Sabra Tuff 3-1                        29 4th
#5 Bustin Bay 5-2                       28 1st $5.40
#1 Virtual Reality 3-1                27 2nd $3.70

Race 2:

#4 Soca 6-1                                  20
#6 Lady Moscato 3-1                 19 2nd $3.60
#2 Empire Island 5-2                 18 scratched
#7 Sugar Hi 8-1                           18 1st $6.30

Race 3:

#6 Saratoga Gaze 9-2                 28 3rd $3.80
#4 Smokin’ Hot Kitty 7-2           27 4th
#9 Linarite 5-1                             26 2nd $9.30
#8 Liana B 5-1                              25

Dirt Selections

#8 Liana B 5-1
#1 Fabulous Funny 6-1
#5 Mostly Harmless 12-1
#3 Diva Ready 10-1

Race 4:

#3 Poca Mucha 8-1                     33 2nd $6.60
#2 Sister Otoole 6-1                   32
#5 Salimah (IRE) 8-5                  32 1st $3.70
#1a Messidor (IRE) 5-2              31 4th

Dirt Selections

#7 Sixtythreecaliber 2-5
#3 Poca Mucha 8-1

Race 5:

#6 Portos 5-2                               32 3rd $2.50
#2 Dust Devil 4-1                        32 1st $5.70
#4 Olliemyboy 3-1                      31 scratched
#3 Pit Boss 15-1                          30

Race 6:

#4 Rough Draft 3-1                     34
#7 Phantom Smoke 6-1              33 4th 
#6 Yarrow 4-1                               32 1st $8.80
#2 Runningwscissors 8-5           31 2nd $3.20

Dirt Selections

#10 Radio Red 2-1
#12 Admundson 9-5
#11 Bronx Bomber 12-1
#5 Winners Laugh 12-1
#1 Foolish Ghost 10-1

Race 7:

#5 Sa Foradada 4-1                      31 *Best Bet 2nd $4.10
#10 Obrigada 3-1                         29
#8 Mursal 8-1                                28 3rd $8.10
#1 Into Happiness 8-1                 28 1st $16.00

Race 8:

#6 Unleash the Power 4-1          32 2nd $4.30
#2 Born a Gambler 6-1                31
#3 Front Man 10-1                       30 4th
#4 My Sea Cottage (IRE) 7-2      30 1st $5.60

Dirt Selections

#1 Thunderian 15-1
#9 Foliage 20-1
#8 American Grant 20-1
#5 Kingfish Stevens 5-1

Race 9:

#7 Wine On Tap 5-2                     33 4th
#1 Carmelina 5-1                          32
#5 Saratoga Secret 4-1                 31 2nd $4.90
#4 Status Seeker 12-1                   29 scratched

Race 10:

#4 Stone of Destiny 9-2               16
#7 Arisaema 5-2                            15
#2 Charisse 8-1                              15
#10 Here We Go Again 4-1          14

Dirt Selections

#7 Arisaema 5-2
#4 Stone of Destiny 9-2
#2 Charisse 8-1
#1 Power and Glory 20-1

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,6,5,1 5

Race 2:  4,6,2 x

Race 3:  6,4,9 Dirt: 8,1,5 x

Race 4:  3,2,5,1a/1 Dirt: 7,3 5

Race 5:  6,2 2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,6,2,7 7

Race 3:  6,4,9,8 Dirt: 8,1,5,3 x

Race 4:  3,2,5,1a/1 Dirt: 7,3 5

Race 5:  6,2 2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  6,2 2

Race 6:  4,7,6,2 Dirt: 10,12,11,5 6

Race 7:  5,10

Race 8:  6,2,3 Dirt: 1,9,8

Race 9:  7

Race 10: 4,7 Dirt: 7,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,7,6,2 Dirt: 10,12,11,5 6

Race 7:  5,10,8

Race 8:  6,2,3 Dirt: 1,9,8

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 4,7,2 Dirt: 7,4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  5,10

Race 8:  6,2,3,4 Dirt: 1,9,8,5

Race 9:  7,1,5,4

Race 10: 4,7,2,10 Dirt: 7,4,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.