July 16th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• July 15, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,252/23,488 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,859/23,488. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Middle Pick 5 Races (3-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$967 on a $108 ticket…

*Middle Pick 5 Races (5-9) for us last Saturday at Saratoga…$232 on a $81 ticket…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#9 Blue Creek 9-2 1st $12.00
#8 China Beach 5-2 2nd $3.70 Ex $36.00
#1 Evie’s Prince 3-1 4th
#2 Beat Le Bon (FR) 8-1

Race 2:

#2 Maki Monarchy 8-1             19
#7 Dontworryboutnothn 7-2   18
#5 Irrelevant 4-1                        18
#3 The Closer 6-1                       17 scratched 

Race 3:

#1 Miles and Miles 2-1              27 4th
#3 Aero Star 5-2                          26 1st $10.40
#2 Three B’s 3-1                          26 2nd $2.60
#5 Just Clarity 8-1                       25

Race 4:

#4 Kaz Oil Changer 6-1             17 2nd $4.70
#2 Undisputed 3-1                      17 3rd $2.40
#3 Hello Beauty 5-1                    16 scratched 
#5 Iron Dome 8-5                        16 1st $3.60 Tri $50.48

Race 5:

#9 Funny Factor 20-1                18 4th
#11 Spirit of New York 4-1 AE 18 1st $12.60
#3 Super Dave 3-1                      17
#7 Wamo 6-1                               16
#2 Illmatic 7-2                             16

Race 6:

#10 Silent Melody 4-1               27 4th
#3 Starlight Dancer 8-1             26 2nd $3.80
#8 Sassy Princess 8-5                 26 1st $4.90
#5 Higher Force 10-1                  25

Race 7:

#3 Mainstream 9-5                     21
#1 Duration 2-1                           20 3rd $2.60
#2 Tap Into This 3-1                   19 1st $8.70
#5 Time Passes 10-1                   18 scratched 

Race 8:

#5 Alternate Reality 7-2            33 *Best Bet 4th
#8 Gilmore 4-1                            32 1st $7.50
#7 Chelonian 9-2                        31
#1 Double Your Money 9-2       30 3rd $3.00

Race 9:

#2 Mommy’s Turn 7-2                29 1st $7.00
#5 Charlotte’s Heart 9-2            28
#8 She’s Our Tiz 8-1                   28 4th
#7 Marvelous Madison 8-1        27

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  2,7,5,3

Race 3:  1,3,2

Race 4:  4,2,3,5

Race 5:  9,11,3

Race 6:  10,3,8

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  1,3,2

Race 4:  4,2,3,5

Race 5:  9,11,3,7

Race 6:  10,3,8

$.50 Ticket:  $72 $80.50

Pick 6:

Race 4:  4,2,3,5

Race 5:  9,11,3,7

Race 6:  10,3,8

Race 7:  3

Race 8:  5

Race 9:  2,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  9,11,3,7 11

Race 6:  10,3,8,5 8

Race 7:  3,1,2 2

Race 8:  5,8 8

Race 9:  2,5 2

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $847.75

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  10,3,8,5

Race 7:  3,1,2,5

Race 8:  5,8

Race 9:  2,5,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.