A Winning Day at the Races!

July 17th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

 

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,260/23,497 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,862/23,497. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*No “Membership” needed, all content will continue to be posted here daily through the Saratoga meet…

*Middle Pick 5 Races (3-7) for us last Saturday at Saratoga$967 on a $108 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us yesterday at Saratoga$847.75 on a $96 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Lou 7-2                                 29
#3 Glint 2-1                               28 4th
#2 Bob John Ray 8-1                27 scratched 
#4 Az U Chase Me 6-1             27 3rd $3.90

Race 2:

#4 Spirit of the Law 3-1           16
#9 Annexperience 7-2              15 1st $5.70
#2 Before the Wind 6-1            14 4th
#1a Montosoli 10-1                   14

Race 3:

#5 Leon Blue 5-2                       31 1st $15.60
#6 Smooth Breeze 7-5              30 2nd $2.20 Ex $22.20
#4 Outsource 4-1                      29 4th
#2 Sounds Like a Plan 9-2       28

Race 4:

#6 Ride Up 7-2                            29
#7 Schlomo 6-5                          28 2nd $2.80
#2 Macaw 9-2                              27 1st $8.30
#5 King Moonracer 10-1           26 scratched 

Race 5:

#8 Fiddling Felix 5-2                 15 2nd $2.80
#2 Aerate 5-1                              14
#4 Army Proud 9-2                    14 scratched 
#3 Tactical Trackstar 3-1          13 1st $8.10

Race 6:

#4 Trading Trouble 8-1             17 2nd $6.10
#7 Charlottesuniverse 3-1        16 4th
#8 Chardonnay Derby 6-1         16
#5 Sacred Goddess 7-2               15 1st $5.50

Race 7:

#2 Great Richie M 5-2                30 *Best Bet 1st $3.70
#1 Tetsu 6-1                                 28
#10 Divine Leader 5-1                27 scratched 
#6 Skylander 6-1                          26

Race 8:

#1 Waitlist 9-2                            34 4th
#3 Stars and Stripes 6-5            33 1st $3.90
#7 Lordship 8-1                           31
#6 Dr. Kraft 4-1                            31 scratched

Race 9:

#1 Brit’s Wit 6-1                         31 4th
#7 Enlighten 8-5                         31 2nd $2.40
#2 Just for Luck 6-1                    30
#10 Badge of War 10-1               29

Race 10:

#1 Orie 5-2                                  17 2nd $4.30
#7 Eighty Gold 8-1                     16
#12 Hello Newman 4-1              16 3rd $3.10
#11 Film Academy 3-1               15 1st $6.80

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,3

Race 2:  4,9,2,1a/1/1x

Race 3:  5,6

Race 4:  6,7,2

Race 5:  8,2,4,3 *4 scratched using 8,2,3,5

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,9,2,1a/1/1x 9

Race 3:  5,6 5

Race 4:  6,7,2 2

Race 5:  8,2,4,3 *4 scratched using 8,2,3,5 3

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $277.50

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  5,6,4 5

Race 4:  6,7,2 2

Race 5:  8,2,4,3 *4 scratched using 8,2,3,5 3

Race 6:  4,7,8,5 5

Race 7:  2

$.50 Ticket:  $144 $546.75

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,7,2 2

Race 5:  8,2,4 *4 scratched using 8,2,3 3

Race 6:  4,7,8,5 5

Race 7:  2,1 2

$.50 Ticket:  $36 $75.75

Pick 6:

Race 5:  8,2,4,3 *4 scratched using 8,2,3,5

Race 6:  4,7,8,5

Race 7:  2

Race 8:  1,3

Race 9:  1,7,2

Race 10: 1

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  4,7,8,5

Race 7:  2,1,10 *10 scratched using 2,1,6

Race 8:  1,3,7,6

Race 9:  1,7

Race 10: 1,7,12

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,1

Race 8:  1,3,7,6

Race 9:  1,7,2,10

Race 10: 1,7,12,11

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 


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