A Winning Day at the Races!

July 18th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,584/25,659 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,819/25,659. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga & Monmouth Park Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Greenwell 2-1                       20
#2 The Good Life 3-1                19 1st $8.80
#5 Jack’s Golden Goal 6-1        19 scratched
#1 Got Tough 12-1                     18 3rd $5.86

Race 2:

#4 Spoiler 3-1                             33 2nd $3.88
#5 Reynolds Channel 5-1         32 4th
#3 My Noble Knight 9-2           31 1st $7.86
#2 Pineapple Man 15-1             30

Race 3:

#1 Solo Jim 6-1                          28 1st $8.26
#8 Apollo Code 5-1                   27
#4 Come Full Circle 4-1           27 2nd $5.00
#3 Dinner Royale 6-1                26 4th

Race 4:

#4 Shape Note 7-2                    35 
#3 Bite and Strike 6-1              34
#5 Spiced Up 3-1                       33
#6 War Stride 6-1                      32

Dirt Selections

#4 Shape Note 7-2 1st $5.64 Dbl $21.42
#6 War Stride 6-1 2nd $5.44 Ex $25.22
#9 Vettriano 7-2 4th
#5 Spiced Up 3-1

Race 5:

#4 Portfolio Duration (GB) 5-2  37 3rd $2.82
#6 Segesta 3-1                               36 2nd $5.24
#3 Kathynmarissa 2-1                  35 1st $6.58 Tri $57.12
#1 Dynamic Pricing (IRE) 6-1     34

Dirt Selections

#5 Five G 20-1

Race 6:

#8 Five Wishes 9-2                   33
#5 Dr. Kapur 5-2                       32
#1 Tab At Zanzibar 4-1            31 1st $6.10
#3 Rock Music 12-1                  30 4th

Race 7:

#8 Key Colony Beach 12-1       20 2nd $5.30
#2 Energy Flows6-1                   20 3rd $3.42
#4 Have Hope 12-1                    19
#5 Fifth and Chestnut 10-1      18 scratched 

Race 8:

#2 Cy Fair 3-5                               36 1st $3.06
#3 Sapphire Beach (IRE) 5-2     34 2nd $2.58
#1 Quiet Street 8-1                      33 scratched
#5 Hark Theangelssing 12-1      32 4th

Dirt Selections

#8 Hot Currency 7-5
#7 Niche 2-1

Race 9:

#9 Gadget Play 7-2                    19 2nd $4.06
#3 Stimulate 4-1                        18 1st $7.58 Ex $37.72
#10 Noble Edition 9-2               18
#5 Mo the Merrier 8-1               17 4th

Race 10:

#5 Whittington Park 3-1            32 3rd $2.44
#3 Annexperience 8-5                 32 1st $3.52
#8 Three B’s 4-1 4-1                    31 scratched
#7 Elysian Meadows 6-1             30

Race 11:

#7 Iron Max 3-1                          32
#10 Smooth Breeze 5-2             31
#4 Mo Trump 10-1                      30
#6 Conman 8-1                            29

Dirt Selections

#1 El de Larry 20-1 4th
#12 Beary Funny 9-2 scratched
#9 Shared Success 15-1 3rd $9.08
#4 Mo Trump 10-1

Race 12:

#4 Red Velvet Cake 5-2              17
#9 Combat Move 7-2                   16
#2 Aperitif 7-2                              15
#6 Shake Em Off 15-1                 15

Dirt Selections

#4 Red Velvet Cake 5-2
#8 My Lil Army Girl 6-1 3rd $3.94
#1 My First Dinah 30-1 1st $30.58
#5 Galway Gurl 15-1 4th
#9 Combat Move 7-2 2nd $5.66

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,2

Race 2:  4,5,3

Race 3:  1,8,4,3

Race 4:  4,3,5 Dirt: 4,6,9 

Race 5:  4,6,3 Dirt 5

$.50 Ticket:  $108 $170.72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,5,3,2

Race 3:  1,8,4,3

Race 4:  4,3,5 Dirt: 4,6,9 

Race 5:  4,6,3 Dirt: 5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,8,4,3

Race 4:  4,3 Dirt: 4,6

Race 5:  4,6,3 Dirt: 5

Race 6:  8,5,1

Race 7:  8,2,4,5 *5 scratched using 8,2,4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,3,5,6 Dirt: 4,6,9,5

Race 5:  4,6,3 Dirt: 5

Race 6:  8,5,1

Race 7:  8,2,4,5 *5 scratched using 8,2,4,3

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  4,6,3 Dirt: 5

Race 6:  8,5,1

Race 7:  8,2,4,5 *5 scratched using 8,2,4,3

Race 8:  2,3 Dirt: 8,7

Race 9:  9,3,10

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  8,5,1

Race 7:  8,2,4,5 *5 scratched using 8,2,4,3

Race 8:  2,3 Dirt: 8,7

Race 9:  9,3,10,5

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 7:  8,2,4,5 *5 scratched using 8,2,4,3+

Race 8:  2 Dirt: 8

Race 9:  9,3,10

Race 10: 5,3

Race 11:  7,10 Dirt: 1,12 

Race 12:  4,9 Dirt: 4,8

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  2,3 Dirt: 8,7

Race 9:  9,3,10

Race 10: 5,3,8,7

Race 11:  7,10 Dirt: 1,12 

Race 12:  4,9,2 Dirt: 4,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  9,3,10,5

Race 10: 5,3,8

Race 11:  7,10,4 Dirt: 1,12,9 

Race 12:  4,9,2 Dirt: 4,8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Monmouth Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Tail Risk 9-5                          16 2nd $2.20
#4 Navesink Pirate 9-2             15
#3 Funky See Funky Do 4-1     14 1st $18.00
#7 Lumber Legacy 6-1               13 3rd $4.20

Dirt Selections

#7 Lumber Legacy 6-1
#10 Beck’s Dreamer 9-2
#4 Navesink Pirate 9-2

Race 2:

#8 Profound 3-1                       33 1st $7.80
#6 Thunderously 9-5               32 4th
#7 Dionysus 6-1                        31 scratched
#9 Admiral Mo 7-2                    30 3rd $3.20

Race 3:

#1 Bar Fourteen 3-1                29 3rd $3.20
#6 He’s Got This 10-1              28 scratched
#3 Six Fortyfive 7-2                  27 2nd $3.80
#9 Tocayo 5-2                            27 4th

Dirt Selections

#6 He’s Got This 10-1
#1 Bar Fourteen 3-1
#12 Fully Committed 5-1
#11 Brave Bear 4-1
#5 Asmodeus 15-1

Race 4:

#1 Money Game 5-2                  36 2nd $3.00
#4 Knightsbridge 7-5                 35 1st $3.00
#5 Skippylongstocking 3-2       34 3rd $2.10
#3 Alexander Helios 8-1            32 scratched 

Race 5:

#5 Midway Memories 5-2         29 1st $3.40
#3 Maximo Madness 6-1           28 4th
#10 Mid Summer 4-1                  27 3rd $2.60
#6 Jolly Jolene 8-1                       27

Dirt Selections 

#6 Jolly Jolene 8-1
#8 Blenheim Baby 12-1
#1 Butter Kisses 30-1
#2 Tavin 20-1

Race 6:

#7 Splendora 3-2                       36 1st $2.60
#6 Alpine Princess 7-2              35
#2 Lost Horizon 4-1                   33 2nd $5.00
#3 Dry Powder 6-1                      32

Race 7:

#1 Sweet Treasure 2-1               34
#3 City Girl (FR) 5-2                   33 3rd $2.20
#7 Long Ago (GB) 4-1                 32 2nd $7.40
#2 Grayosh 4-1                             31 1st $19.60

Dirt Selections 

#6 Five G 8-1
#5 Cheetah Lady 6-1

Race 8:

#11 Superfractor 2-1                  29 3rd $2.40
#3 Roma Art 5-1                          28
#4 Royal Performance 15-1       27
#9 Electric Eel 10-1                     27

Race 9:

#5 Alogon 5-2                             38
#1 Souper Quest 4-1                  37
#6 Nothing Better 3-1               36
#4 Kalahari Not Sorry 30-1       35

Dirt Selections 

#10 Card Trick 12-1 scratched
#4 Kalahari Not Sorry 30-1 scratched
#2 Alder 30-1 scratched
#1 Souper Quest 4-1 1st $2.80

Race 10:

#6 My Magic Wand 10-1           32 scratched
#9 Kilwin 2-1                              32 scratched
#5 Echo Sound 5-2                     31 1st $3.80
#4 Ms. Bucchero 4-1                  30

Race 11:

#4 Program Trading (GB) 2-1   36 1st $3.80
#7 Just a Touch 8-5                     35
#6 Uncle’s Gold 9-2                     33 2nd $4.40
#3 Echo Lane 7-2                         33 4th

Dirt Selections 

#7 Just a Touch 8-5

Race 12:

#6 Napoleon Solo 5-2               37 2nd $5.60
#2 Further Ado 2-1                    36
#4 The Puma 7-2                        34 4th
#5 Iron Honor 3-1                      33 3rd $4.20

Race 13:

#7 Double Neat 3-1                   30
#2 Copper Ghost (ON) 2-1       29
#4 Spanish Noble 7-2                28
#1 Tropandhagen 8-1                27

Dirt Selections 

#2 Copper Ghost (ON) 2-1 2nd $2.80
#3 Lucas’s Mischief 15-1 3rd $3.00
#5 Brighty 10-1 1st $18.00 Tri $101.80

Race 14:

#7 Dragonite 9-5                         29 1st $3.80
#5 Guapo Again (ARG) 3-1        28 3rd $2.40
#6 Charlie Mac Mac 12-1           27 scratched
#2 Tenebris 4-1                            26 scratched 

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,4,3,7 Dirt: 7,10,4

Race 2:  8,6

Race 3:  1,6,3,9 Dirt: 6,1,12,11

Race 4:  1,4,5

Race 5:  5,3,10

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,6

Race 3:  1,6,3,9 Dirt: 6,1,12,11

Race 4:  1,4,5,3

Race 5:  5,3,10,6 Dirt: 6,8,1,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,6,3,9 Dirt: 6,1,12,11

Race 4:  1,4,5

Race 5:  5,3,10 Dirt: 6,8,1

Race 6:  7,6

Race 7:  1,3 Dirt: 6,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  1,4,5

Race 5:  5,3,10 Dirt: 6,8,1

Race 6:  7,6

Race 7:  1,3,7 Dirt: 6,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $27

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  5,3,10,6 Dirt: 6,8,1,2

Race 6:  7,6

Race 7:  1,3 Dirt: 6,5

Race 8:  11,3,4,9

Race 9:  5,1,6 Dirt: 10,4,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  7,6

Race 7:  1,3,7,2 Dirt: 6,5

Race 8:  11,3,4,9

Race 9:  5,1,6,4 Dirt: 10,4,2,1

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  1,3,7 Dirt: 6,5

Race 8:  11,3,4,9

Race 9:  5,1,6 Dirt: 10,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,5 *6,9 scratched using 5,4,10

Race 11:  4,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 6:

Race 8:  11,3,4,9

Race 9:  5,1,6 Dirt: 10,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,5 *6,9 scratched using 5,4,10

Race 11:  4,7 Dirt: 7

Race 12:  6,2,4,5

Race 13:  7,2 Dirt: 2,3

  $.20 Ticket:  $115.20

Pick 4 (9-12):

Race 9:  5,1,6 Dirt: 10,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,5 *6,9 scratched using 5,4,10

Race 11:  4,7,6,3 Dirt: 7

Race 12:  6,2,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 10:  6,9,5,4 *6,9 scratched using 5,4,10,7

Race 11:  4,7,6,3 Dirt: 7

Race 12:  6,2

Race 13:  7,2 Dirt: 2,3

Race 14:  7,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 11:  4,7 Dirt: 7

Race 12:  6,2,4,5

Race 13:  7,2,4,1 Dirt: 2,3,5

Race 14:  7,5,6,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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