July 19th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,787/21,147 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,743/21,147. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*$36.80 on top winner & Late Pick 4 for us yesterday…$509.75 on a $48 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#8 No Evidence 5-2 19 3rd $2.80
#1 Governor Sam 8-5 18 1st $3.30
#7 Test Score 8-1 17 2nd $7.70 Tri $75.48
#4 After Taxes (IRE) 4-1 16 4th Spr $165

Race 2:

#4 Wings Like Eagles 7-2 29 4th
#8 Dea Matrona (FR) 3-1 28 2nd $5.10
#9 It’s Hot in Here (IRE) 9-2 28 1st $9.10
#2 Magic Eight Ball 5-1 27

Race 3:

#4 Timeout 2-1 34 3rd $2.20
#1 Unmatched Wisdom 4-5 33 1st $2.80
#2 Corporate Power 7-2 32 2nd $3.90
#5 Elephants Ear 12-1 31

Race 4:

#4 Rocco Strong 7-2 30 scratched
#7 Skylander 4-1 29 2nd $4.10
#9 First Glimpse 5-1 28 4th
#3 Six Percent 8-1 28 1st $15.80

Race 5:

#3 Positive Carry (IRE) 8-5 17 2nd $2.30
#8 Our Finest Hour (FR) 6-1 16 3rd $3.10
#1 Not Guilty 9-2 15 4th
#7 Redo 6-1 15

Race 6:

#4 Salt Spartan 12-1 18
#5 Joker On Fire 6-1 17
#2 Chasing Colton 9-2 17 3rd $4.50
#8 Saratoga Warrior 7-2 16

Race 7:

#4 Ribbons and Medals 12-1 29
#5 Emerald Forest 5-2 28
#10 Super Chief 7-2 28 scratched
#8 Critical Threat 6-1 27 1st $14.00

Race 8:

#7 Roswell 5-2 32 2nd $4.20
#9 Princess Madison 7-2 31 1st $6.40 Ex $27.80
#4 Sam’s Treasure 7-2 30 4th
#3 Cara’s Treasure 7-2 29 3rd $6.60 Spr $1,162

Race 9:

#10 Root Cause 5-2 30 1st $6.00
#5 Child of the Moon 4-1 29 2nd $3.50 Ex $22.60
#7 Determined Lilly 8-1 28 4th
#9 Epic Miss Justice 12-1 28

Race 10:

#4 Geopolitics 5-2 18 2nd $2.90
#10 Russalite 10-1 17
#3 Heart of the Night 4-1 17 3rd $3.00
#1 Ariana Rye 15-1 16

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 8,1,7

Race 2: 4,8,9,2

Race 3: 4,1

Race 4: 4,7,9 *4 scratched using 7,9,3

Race 5: 3,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,8,9,2

Race 3: 4,1,2

Race 4: 4,7,9 *4 scratched using 7,9,3

Race 5: 3,8,1,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,7,9,3

Race 5: 3,8,1

Race 6: 4,5,2,8

Race 7: 4,5,10 *10 scratched using 4,5,8

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 5: 3,8,1

Race 6: 4,5,2,8

Race 7: 4,5,10 *10 scratched using 4,5,8

Race 8: 7

Race 9: 10,5

Race 10: 4,10

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 4,5,2,8

Race 7: 4,5,10,8

Race 8: 7,9,4

Race 9: 10,5,7

Race 10: 4,10

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 4,5,10,8

Race 8: 7,9,4,3

Race 9: 10,5,7,9

Race 10: 4,10,3

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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