July 20th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• July 19, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,646/19,328, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,869/19,328. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Wednesday/Thursday will be Free through the meet…Weekends will require the purchase of a pass…

*Visit the Membership Page to purchase a “Saratoga Weekend Pass” Thursday evening or Friday…$26.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Saratoga Picks/Plays & Saturday’s Monmouth Haskell Day Picks/Plays…

*Early Pick 5/4 for us yesterday…Pick 5 $5217.25 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 704.50 on a $48 ticket…

*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Sister Maha 7-2                         19 4th
#8 Portage 6-1                                18 1st $11.80
#1 Stunningly 4-1                          17 2nd $3.80
#2 Feathering 3-1                          17

Race 2:

#1 Walstib 5-2                                 18 scratched
#6 Catire Vizcaya 8-1                     17 2nd $4.20
#7 Antonio of Venice 8-5              16 1st $3.90 Ex $17.80
#3 Astronomico 8-1                        15 4th

Race 3:

#2 Giramonte 30-1                         28 scratched 
#6 Sandrone 5-1                              28
#5 Highly Flammable 3-1              27 1st $5.20
#8 Destin’s Mission 4-1                  27

Race 4:

#1 Mariah’s Fortune 12-1               29 4th
#6 Greatest Love 15-1                     28 3rd $4.60
#3 Pretti Xtreme 1-1                        28 1st $4.80
#2 With This Vow 3-1                      27

Race 5:

#8 Threewhitesoldiers 8-1             16 4th
#9 Rock Star Boy 7-2                       15
#5 Cowboy Luke 9-2                        14 scratched
#3 Crazy Mason 4-1                         14 1st $9.00

Race 6:

#9 Gemofaperformance 10-1         19
#4 Lamorna 8-1                                19 4th
#2 Parade Ring (IRE) 15-1              18 3rd $12.80
#1 San Pantaleo 10-1                       17

Race 7:

#1 Spirit of St Louis 1-1                   33 1st $3.00
#3 Agent Creed 6-1                           32 3rd $3.20 Ex $11.40
#2 Citizen K 5-2                                 31 4th Tri $31.20
#4 Conman 10-1                                30

Race 8:

#8 She Caught My Eye 7-2               31 2nd $3.40
#3 Knowing Glance 8-1                    30
#2 Know It All Audrey 5-2               29 3rd $2.80
#6 Invaluable 10-1                            28 4th

Race 9:

#10 Chasing the Crown 9-2             33 2nd $5.90
#1 Ari Gold 4-1                                   32
#7 Exact Estimate 7-2                       32
#6 Saratoga Flash 10-1                     31

Race 10:

#7 Ramblin’ Wreck 7-5                      33
#8 Twenty Six Black 5-2                   32
#2 Itsallcomintogetha 6-1                31
#1 Gem Mint Ten 6-1                        30

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,8,1,2 8

Race 2:  1,6,7 7

Race 3:  2,6,5,8 *2 scratched using 6,5,8,7 5

Race 4:  1,6,3 3

Race 5:  8,9,5 *5 scratched using 8,9,3 3

$.50 Tickets:  $216 $218

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,6,7,3 7

Race 3:  2,6,5,8 *2 scratched using 6,5,8,7 5

Race 4:  1,6,3,2 3

Race 5:  8,9,5 *5 scratched using 8,9,3 3

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  1,6,3,2 3

Race 5:  8,9,5,3 *5 scratched using 8,9,3,4 3

Race 6:  9,4,2,1 x

Race 7:  1,3,2 1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 6:

Race 5:  8,9,5,3 *5 scratched using 8,9,3,4 3

Race 6:  9,4,2,1 x

Race 7:  1 1

Race 8:  8,3,2

Race 9:  10,1,7

Race 10: 7

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  9,4,2,1 x

Race 7:  1,3,2 1

Race 8:  8,3,2

Race 9:  10,1,7

Race 10: 7,8

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  1,3,2 1

Race 8:  8,3,2,6

Race 9:  10,1,7,6

Race 10: 7,8,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.