A Winning Day at the Races!

July 22nd , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :   Strength Variable :

#1 Mr. Crow 9-5                    26
#6 New Moon 6-1                 23
#2 Marshall Plan 8-5            23
#5 Adulation 5-1                   21

Race 5 :

#3 Tap Daddy 5-1                  20
#4 Sporting Chance 7-2        19
#5 Get the Facts 9-2               17
#8 Machismo 5-2                    16

Race 8 :

#6 Gioia Stella 5-1                  34
#10 Stella Rose 8-1                 33
#1 Volatility Index 5-2            33
#5 Pricedtoperfection 3-1       31

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  6,10,1,5

Race 9 :  7,4,1

Race 10 : 2,3

Race 11 :  8,11,7

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Steve Moyer’s (Jimmy Jerken’s Assistant) “Best Bet” :

Race 2 :

#1 Daddy’s Home – Broke maiden at first asking against decent. Hooked stakes quality allowance in second start, freshened since. Goes for vaunted jock/trainer combo taking drop to $40,000, single today.

Monmouth

Race 5 :

#1 Bells Irish Fancy 3-1          27
#5 Billycrystalball 3-1             25
#4 Bow Town Cat 5-2               24
#7 Poochy 4-1                            21

Race 7 :

#6 Daring Bride 2-1                  26
#7 Tevere 5-1                             23
#3 Hopefaithjoy 7-2                  21
#4 Teufles and Roses 3-1         20

Del Mar

Race 1 :

#6 Giro Candito 3-1                   22
#1 Golden Atlantic 9-2              21
#2 Mr. Hale 5-1                           19
#8 Looks Good N a Tux 4-1      18

Race 2 :

#6 Cherubim 9-5                        28
#3 Pray Hard 2-1                         27
#1 Kaabraaj 6-1                            25
#5 Iron Bob 5-1                            23

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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