A Winning Day at the Races!

July 28th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,837/21,235 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,779/21,235. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Reliable Source 5-2                20 1st $4.10
#2 My Shot 3-1                             20 4th
#7 Margot’s Angel 6-1                19 3rd $2.90
#6 Donor Advised 9-5                 19 scratched

Race 2:

#2 George’s Vice 5-2                   26
#4 Bern Rosey Bern 7-2              25 scratched
#1 Try It Again 7-2                      25 4th
#5 Golden Dagger 4-1                 24

Race 3:

#5 Fontanafredda 7-2                 28
#6 Shesalittle Edgy 8-5              27 1st $4.50
#1 Killy Start 6-1                         26 2nd $2.70
#3 Timed Out 6-1                        26 scratched

Race 4:

#2 Linarite 9-2                            29 2nd $6.80
#7 Enfuega 6-1                            28
#4 Delightful Dixie 9-2              28
#8 Fabulous Fox 3-1                   27

Race 5:

#7 Sedona 2-1                             33 3rd $2.80
#1 Crushed Ice 12-1                   32 4th
#5 Central Avenue 3-1               31 2nd $6.70
#3 Standoutsensation 6-1         31

Race 6:

#9 Coral Sea 6-1                        19
#3 Opulent Restraint 2-1         19 4th
#1 As Catch Can 10-1               18 3rd $6.70
#6 Good Long Cry 4-1               17 2nd $6.20

Race 7:

#8 No Nay Hudson 6-1             36
#1 Nobals 4-5                             36 4th
#4 Souper Quest 9-2                 35 1st $8.00
#5 Legends Can’t Die 15-1      34 scratched

Race 8:

#10 South Street 8-1               27
#2 Devil’s Cay 7-2                    26
#3 Agility 6-1                            25
#7 Blue Plate Special 6-1        25

Race 9:

#1 Ohana Honor 7-2               37
#2 Silver Knott (GB) 4-5         36
#7 Strong Tide 15-1                35
#5 Soldier Rising (GB) 4-1     34

Race 10:

#8 Sonic Speed 7-2                32
#7 Slapintheface 3-1             31
#1 Two’s a Crowd 8-1            30
#2 Laurel Valley 9-5              30

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,2,7,6

Race 2:  2,4,1 *4 scratched using 2,1,5

Race 3:  5,6

Race 4:  2,7,4,8

Race 5:  7,1,5

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,4,1,5

Race 3:  5,6

Race 4:  2,7,4,8

Race 5:  7,1,5,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 4 (4-8):

Race 4:  2,7,4,8

Race 5:  7,1,5,3

Race 6:  9,3,1,6

Race 7:  8,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 5:  7,1,5

Race 6:  9,3,1

Race 7:  8,1

Race 8:  10,2,3 *3 scratched using 10,2,7

Race 9:  1,2

Race 10: 8,7

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  9,3,1,6

Race 7:  8,1

Race 8:  10,2,3,7

Race 9:  1,2

Race 10: 8,7,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  8,1

Race 8:  10,2,3,7

Race 9:  1,2,7,5

Race 10: 8,7,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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