July 3rd , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• July 3, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9612/14591, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6439/14591. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*With some expected weather uncertainty all content will posted on the Free Page through the July 4th weekend…Have a great holiday weekend everyone!!

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#3 Mondeuse 7-2                            15
#1 Bella Principessa 7-2                14
#7 Sweet Franny Lu 3-1                 13
#2 Escapewithfriends 12-1            11

Dirt Selections

#1a To the Tune 7-2 2nd $2.10
#2b Tales of Makenna 12-1
#7 Sweet Franny Lu 3-1 1st $5.40
#1 Bella Principessa 7-2 4th
#2 Escapewithfriends 12-1 scratched

Race 2 :

#4 Perfect Symphony 8-1                13
#5 Daggerboard 2-1                          13 1st $5.20
#9 Second Fortune 5-1                     12 4th
#6 Quick Return 5-2                          11 2nd $3.20

Race 3 :

#3 Work Out 3-1                                 30 *Best Bet
#1 Tiergan 7-5                                     28 1st $3.70
#5 Devil’s Code 3-1                             28 scratched
#4 Quickflash 7-2                                27 2nd $2.40

Race 4 :

#7 Apex Predator 6-1                           25 4th
#9 Taino 7-5                                           24
#2 Macho Boy 5-2                                 23 1st $4.90
#6 Combat Ribbon 15-1                       23

Race 5 :

#1 Regality 3-1                                       29 3rd $2.60
#7 Good Culture 2-1                              28 2nd $3.50
#5 Tallaj 4-1                                            27 4th
#2 Ajhar 7-2                                             26 scratched

Race 6 :

#7 Dreams of Tomorrow 3-1                 33
#10 Bodecream 4-1                                 32
#9 Chocolate Bar 8-1                              31
#1 Principled Stand (GB) 7-2                30

Dirt Selections

#14 Chris and Dave 5-2 2nd $3.90
#3 Alkhaatam 15-1 4th
#13 Morning Breez 6-1 scratched
#12 Vintage Hollywood 8-1

Race 7 :

#2 Vineyard Sound 8-1                       29 3rd $4.30
#6 Skipin On orchard 6-1                   29
#8 Storm Advisory 7-2                        28 4th
#4 Alcools 6-1                                       28 1st $11.40

Race 8 :

#9 Restored Order 8-1                         30
#2 Mira Mission 4-1                             29
#7 Space Launch 5-2                            28
#5 Sifting Sands (GB) 8-1                    28

Dirt Selections

#1a Ghazaaly 5-1
#3 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 6-1 1st $10.80
#6 Johnny Sack 7-2 3rd $3.40
#8 Founder 8-1 2nd $4.00

Race 9 :

#9 Viadera 4-5                                     35
#3 Princess Grace 3-1                         33
#1 Honey Cake (IRE) 4-1                    32
#7 Madita (GER) 8-1                            31

Dirt Selections

#4 Piedi Bianchi 12-1 2nd $3.10
#8 Velvet Crush 5-2 3rd
#5 Truth Hurts 10-1 1st $18.00
#2 Hogans Holiday 15-1

Race 10 :

#5 Max Player 10-1                             41 1st $25.60
#4 Mystic Guide 1-1                            40 2nd $2.90 Ex $69
#6 Happy Saver 6-5                             40 3rd $2.30 Tri $113
#1 Moretti 10-1                                    38 4th Spr $326.40

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  3,1,7 Dirt : 1a,2b,7 7

Race 2 :  4,5,9,6 5

Race 3 :  3,1 1

Race 4 :  7,9,2 2

Race 5 :  1,7 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,5,9,6 5

Race 3 :  3,1 1

Race 4 :  7,9,2,6 2

Race 5 :  1,7,5,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  1,7,5 x

Race 6 :  7,10,9 Dirt : 14,3,13 *13 scratched using 14,3,12 x

Race 7 :  2,6,8 x

Race 8 :  9,2,7 Dirt : 1a,3,6 3

Race 9 :  9 *9 scratched using 4 x

Race 10 : 5,4

$1.00 Ticket :  $162

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  7,10,9 Dirt : 14,3,13 *13 scratched using 14,3,12 x

Race 7 :  2,6,8 x

Race 8 :  9,2,7 Dirt : 1a,3,6 3

Race 9 :  9,3 *9 scratched using 4,8 x

Race 10 : 5,4,6

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  2,6,8,4 4

Race 8 :  9,2,7 Dirt : 1a,3,6 3

Race 9 :  9,3 *9 scratched using 4,8 x

Race 10 : 5,4,6

$.50 Ticket :  $36

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.