July 6th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,217/23,436 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,836/23,436. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Antonio of Venice 2-1 33 3rd $2.10
#5 One Nine Hundred 9-5 32 1st $5.10
#2 Gun It 7-2 31 4th
#4 Aggelos the Great 7-2 30 2nd $3.80 Spr $52

Race 2:

#6 Toga Twist 5-2 18 1st $4.90
#7 Valentine Crusader 7-2 17 2nd $2.70 Ex $9.40
#5 Max Money 9-2 17 3rd $3.30 Tri $34.40
#1 Sculcos Folly 4-1 16

Race 3:

#6 In Time (FR) 4-1 34 1st $6.30 Dbl $13.20
#7 Allamericanbeauty 5-1 33
#4 Sugaree (IRE) 6-1 32
#8 Holy Foley 6-1 32 2nd $5.90

Race 4:

#3 Peak 3-5 28 3rd $2.10
#5 O P Firecracker 6-1 27 1st $15.20
#1a Aint No Joke 15-1 26
#7 Aula 8-1 26

Race 5:

#4 Solo’s Fury 4-1 26 scratched
#6 Trade Imbalance 5-2 25 1st $6.70
#3 Sittin Chilly 3-1 25 3rd $2.90
#2 One Vision 20-1 24

Race 6:

#4 Leslie’s Star 7-2 28 4th
#3 Downtown Channel 5-1 27 1st $18.40
#7 Life Advice 9-2 27 2nd $4.70
#1 Competitive Threat 3-1 26 3rd $2.30 Spr $384

Race 7:

#1 Mighty Eriu (IRE) 2-1 28 2nd $3.30
#9 Lady d’Oro 9-2 28
#7 Elegant 8-1 27
#4 Will Not Be Swayed 3-1 26 4th

Race 8:

#4 Rithm Nic 2-1 29 2nd $3.00
#8 Forgiving Spirit 3-1 27 1st $12.60 Ex $33.00
#5 Takeschargesmiling 6-1 26
#2 Brew Pub 4-1 25 3rd $2.50

Race 9:

#10 Brigade Commander 5-2 30 1st $7.90
#1 Chevy Man 8-1 29 3rd $4.60
#5 Cognoscenti 3-1 28 4th
#2 Desperate Proposal 6-1 27 2nd $6.70 Spr $650

Race 10:

#10 Miss Uproar 5-1 27 4th
#1 Fifi La Fume 12-1 26 3rd $11.60
#5 Hangover Heaven 8-1 25 1st $23.60
#4 Light the Mira 9-2 25

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,5 5

Race 2: 6,7,5,1 6

Race 3: 6,7,4,8 6

Race 4: 3,5 5

Race 5: 4,6 *4 scratched using 6,3 6

$.50 Ticket: $64 $916.25

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,7,5,1 6

Race 3: 6,7,4,8 6

Race 4: 3,5 5

Race 5: 4,6,3 *4 scratched using 6,3,2 6

$.50 Ticket: $48 $190.25

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 6,7,4,8 6

Race 4: 3,5 5

Race 5: 4,6,3 *4 scratched using 6,3,2 6

Race 6: 4,3,7 3

Race 7: 1,9,7,4 x

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 3,5 5

Race 5: 4,6,3 *4 scratched using 6,3,2 6

Race 6: 4,3,7,1 3

Race 7: 1,9,7,4 x

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 5: 4,6,3 *4 scratched using 6,3,2 6

Race 6: 4,3,7 3

Race 7: 1 x

Race 8: 4,8 8

Race 9: 10 10

Race 10: 10,1,5,4 5

$1.00 Ticket: $72 $4,497.50

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 4,3,7,1 3

Race 7: 1,9,7,4 x

Race 8: 4,8 8

Race 9: 10,1,5 10

Race 10: 10,1,5,4 5

$.50 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 1,9,7,4 x

Race 8: 4,8 8

Race 9: 10,1,5,2 10

Race 10: 10,1,5,4 5

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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