July 9th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• July 8, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9623/14611, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6444/14611. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays for closing weekend will be posted here on the Free Page with expected weather and surface uncertainty…Saratoga membership pricing will be posted Sunday…

*Changes will be made after scratches become available if there is even racing Friday with a storm on the way…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 By the Sey Shore 8-1              29
#9 Big Wonder 15-1                     28
#8 Zanno 5-2                                 27
#2 Promo Code 15-1                     27

Dirt Selections

#1a Wicked Indeed 8-5 1st $2.90
#1 Therisastormbrewin 8-5 2nd $3.10
#7 Tapizearance 9-2 4th
#2 Promo Code 15-1

Race 2 :

#4 Heirloom Kitten 2-1               30 2nd $2.50
#2 Supreme Aura 6-5                   29 1st $6.20
#1 Flat Out Beautiful 12-1          28 Ex $12.20
#6 Extrordinary Jerry 6-1            27 scratched

Race 3 :

#6 Miss Dracarys 6-1                    29
#1 Made In Italy (IRE) 5-2           29
#4 Halo City 15-1                           28
#5 Creative Legacy 30-1               27

Dirt Selections

#4 Halo City 15-1 2nd $2.20
#5 Creative Legacy 30-1 4th
#7 Pendolino 10-1 3rd

Race 4 :

#1a Cozzy’s Attitude 5-1               18 scratched
#2 Spettro 5-2                                 18 4th
#5 Rotknee 7-5                                17 2nd $2.80
#7 Resilient Courage 12-1             17

Race 5 :

#6 Spun for Lu Lu 15-1                  14
#9 April Antics 5-2                         14 1st $6.00
#7 Blind Sight 5-1                           13 scratched
#4 Hiya Harry 12-1                         12

Race 6 :

#8 Dreams of Tomorrow 9-5         33
#2 Mo Ready 4-1                             32
#7 Island Commish 12-1                31
#1 Principled Stand (GB) 2-1        30

Dirt Selections

#2x Blewitt 4-1 4th
#5 Lost in Rome 3-1 2nd $3.50
#2b Microsend 4-1 scratched
#2 Mo Ready 4-1 scratched
#3 Danny California 2-1 3rd $2.30

Race 7 :

#6 Danebury 5-2                              31
#4 Too Early 9-5                               30 2nd $2.50
#2 Three Jokers 4-1                         29 1st $7.30
#7 I Love Jaxson 15-1                      28 4th

Race 8 :

#1 Classic Lady 7-2                          32
#11 Flight Lady (IRE) 5-2               31
#10 Alwayz Late 10-1                      30
#6 Platinum Paynter 9-2                30

Dirt Selections

#1a Stand for the Flag 7-2
#4 Kilkea 12-1
#8 Foxtail 3-1
#3 Secure Connection 12-1

Race 9 :

#9 Giggle Factory 6-1                       28
#3 Zerenia 5-1                                    27
#2 Social Exclusion 6-1                    26
#7 Ms Boombastic 8-1                      26

Dirt Selections

#12 Sweet Larissa 4-1
#8 Seahorse d’Oro 8-1
#10 Freddymo Factor 5-1
#5 Cherokee Song 15-1
#1 She So Naughty 6-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  5,9,8,2 Dirt : 1a,1,7,2 1a

Race 2 :  4,2 2

Race 3 :  5,6,1,4 Dirt : 4,5,7 x

Race 4 :  1a,2,5 *1a scratched using 2,5,7 x

Race 5 :  6,9,7 9

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,2 2

Race 3 :  5,6,1,4 Dirt : 4,5,7 x

Race 4 :  1a,2,5,7 x

Race 5 :  6,9,7,4 9

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  1a,2,5*1a scratched using 2,5,7 x

Race 5 :  6,9,7 9

Race 6 :  8,2 Dirt : 2x,2b,2,5 x

Race 7 :  6,4 x

Race 8 :  1,11 Dirt : 1a,4

Race 9 :  9,3 Dirt : 12,8

$1.00 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  6,9,7,4 9

Race 6 :  8,2,7,1 Dirt : 2x,2b,2,5,3 x

Race 7 :  6,4 x

Race 8 :  1,11 Dirt : 1a,4

Race 9 :  9,3,2,7 Dirt : 12,8,10,5 *10,5 scratched using 12,8,1

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  8,2,7,1 Dirt : 2x,2b,2,5,3 x

Race 7 :  6,4 x

Race 8 :  1,11,10,6 Dirt : 1a,4,8,3

Race 9 :  9,3,2,7 Dirt : 12,8,10,5 *10,5 scratched using 12,8,1

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.