July 9th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,048/16,826, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,507/16,826. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saratoga Meet Passes will be available for purchase Sunday, please visit the “Membership Page” for info…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Lookin Grand 7-2 16 4th
#3 Kimbo Dancer 8-1 14
#12 The Sleepychipmunk 10-1 13 3rd $8.70
#4 Addicted to You 6-1 12 2nd $5.90

Race 2:

#2 Zaevion 4-1 28 2nd $4.90
#1a Tale of Mineshaft 5-1 27 scratched
#8 Lil Commissioner 2-1 27 1st $10.20 Ex $41.40
#9 Trappezoid 3-1 26

Race 3:

#2 Photon 8-1 17
#5 Sweet Mystery 10-1 16 1st $19.40
#8 Royal Currency 5-2 15
#6 Eli Dancer 4-1 15

Race 4:

#5 Dynamic One 7-5 41 1st $3.80
#4 First Captain 8-5 39 2nd $2.60
#2 Max Player 5-1 37 4th
#1 Untreated 3-1 36 3rd $2.30

Race 5:

#9 Lonesome Fugitive (IRE) 7-2 36 4th
#7 Graded On a Curve 4-1 35
#5 Big Everest (GB) 9-2 33 1st $10.40
#1 Advanced Strategy 5-1 32

Race 6:

#4 Chasing Cara 4-1 30
#8 November Rain 7-2 29 1st $7.60
#7 Ruvies in Time 4-1 29
#6 Baba 5-1 28 2nd $8.10

Race 7:

#5 Consumer Spending 5-1 34 3rd $5.40
#3 Haughty 5-1 33
#1 McKulick (GB) 6-1 32 1st $12.80
#10 Concert Hall (IRE) 3-1 32 4th

Race 8:

#6 Hot Peppers 4-1 31 1st $10.60
#5 Pretty Birdie 2-1 30
#2 Smash Ticket 5-2 29 scratched
#4 Happy Soul 3-1 28 4th

Race 9:

#3 Napoleonic War 10-1 33
#13 Stone Age (IRE) 9-2 32 3rd $3.60
#11 Emmanuel 6-1 31 scratched
#7 Sy Dog 10-1 31

Race 10:

#7 Salt Cay 7-2 18
#4 Frank’s Art 8-1 16 1st $23.40
#3 Independent Paul 10-1 15
#12 Heymackit’sjack 6-1 15 4th

Race 11:

#11 B C Glory Days 8-1 27
#4 Giramonte 10-1 27 4th
#1a Civil Service 5-1 AE 26 scratched
#5 Sheriff Bianco 2-1 26 1st $6.50
#10 He’s Got It 12-1 25

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,3,12,4 x

Race 2: 2,1a/1,8,9 8

Race 3: 2,5,8 5

Race 4: 5,4 5

Race 5: 9,7,5 5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 2,1a/1,8,9 8

Race 3: 2,5,8,6 5

Race 4: 5,4 5

Race 5: 9,7,5,1 5

$.50 Ticket: $64 $418.50

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 5,4,2,1 5

Race 5: 9,7,5 5

Race 6: 4,8,7 8

Race 7: 5,3,1 1

Race 8: 6,5 6

$.50 Ticket: $108 $1650.25

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 9,7,5,1 5

Race 6: 4,8,7,6 8

Race 7: 5,3,1,10 1

Race 8: 6,5,2 6

$.50 Ticket: $96 $472

Pick 6:

Race 6: 4,8 8

Race 7: 5,3,1,10 1

Race 8: 6,5 6

Race 9: 3,13,11 *11 scratched using 3,13,7 x

Race 10: 7 x

Race 11: 11,4,1a *1a scratched using 11,4,5 5

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 5,3,1,1o 1

Race 8: 6,5,2,4 6

Race 9: 3,13,11 *11 scratched using 3,13,7 x

Race 10: 7 x

Race 11: 11,4,1a,5 5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 6,5,2,4 6

Race 9: 3,13,11 *11 scratched using 3,13,7 x

Race 10: 7,4,3 4

Race 11: 11,4,1a,5 5

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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