A Winning Day at the Races!

July 8th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,044/16,817, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,505/16,817. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saratoga Meet Passes will be available for purchase Sunday, please visit the “Membership Page” for info…

*Friday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#8 Who Me 6-1                            16
#7 Captain Party 8-1                  15 3rd $5.70
#9 Makar 5-1                                15
#1 New York Panther 7-5           15 2nd $3.30

Race 2:

#3 Bye Bye 7-2                              32 3rd $2.60
#8 Mischievous Dream 6-1         31
#7 Bay Storm 7-5                          31 1st $3.70
#1 Ready To Venture (GB) 9-2   30 2nd $4.70

Race 3:

#4 Got the Gold 4-1                      27 2nd $3.40
#5 Centavo 6-1                              26 3rd $2.30
#2 Storm Shooter 8-5                   25 scratched
#8 Breaking Stones 7-2                25 1st $5.70 Tri $46.80

Race 4:

#3 Channel Maker 4-5                  34 1st $4.50
#2 Admission Office 5-2               33
#1 British Royalty 10-1                 32 4th
#4 Soldier Rising (GB) 9-2            31 2nd $3.40

Race 5:

#1 Cloud Forest 3-1                       18
#6 Gasoline 2-1                               17 4th
#3 Secret Cargo 9-2                        16
#4 Sidekick 7-2                                15 2nd $5.10

Race 6:

#3 Thismightbetheone 6-1            28
#7 Bustin Bullet 12-1                      27
#10 Stuck On Kitten 5-2                 26 4th
#4 Freedomofthepress 6-1             26

Race 7:

#3 Major Spin 6-1                            29
#4 Unique Unions 7-2                     28 3rd
#2 Agility 8-1                                    27
#9 Golquist 12-1                               26

Race 8:

#7 Regal Realm 8-1                          31
#4 Parnac (FR) 5-1                           30 4th
#6 Nazuna (IRE) 7-2                         29 1st
#9 Invincible Gal (GB) 2-1              28 3rd

Race 9:

#5 Chapel Road 6-1                          15
#4 Brennan’s War 8-1                       15
#10 Martinez 7-2                               14
#8 Majestic Johnson 6-1                  13

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  8,7,9,1/1a x

Race 2:  3,8,7 7

Race 3:  4,5,2 *2 scratched using 4,5,8 8

Race 4:  3,2 3

Race 5:  1,6,3 x

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,8,7,1 7

Race 3:  4,5,2,8 8

Race 4:  3,2 3

Race 5:  1,6,3,4 x

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3

Race 5:  1,6 x

Race 6:  3,7,10 x

Race 7:  3,4,2 x

Race 8:  7,4,6

Race 9:  5,4,10

$1.00 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  1,6,3,4 x

Race 6:  3,7,10,4 x

Race 7:  3,4,2 x

Race 8:  7,4,6

Race 9:  5,4

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  3,7,10,4 x

Race 7:  3,4,2,9 x

Race 8:  7,4,6

Race 9:  5,4,10

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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