A Winning Day at the Races!
June 14th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,630/20,901 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,611/20,890. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…
*Late Pick 5/4 for us last Thursday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $4,358.75 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $2,981.50 on a $48 ticket…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#1 Morning Cup 7-2 27
#4 Ribbons and Medals 5-2 26
#6 Honorary Degree 10-1 25 1st $39.00
#5 First Deputy 4-1 25 3rd $4.00
Race 2:
#6 Bossy Pants 6-1 19 3rd $2.90
#7 Nanananabooboo 15-1 18
#1 Double Cappuccino 2-1 18 4th
#9 Complexion 4-1 17 1st $4.60
Race 3:
#4 English Castle 6-1 18
#3 Dakota Country 6-1 17 2nd $6.90
#1 Koru 3-1 16 4th
#9 Copernicus 8-1 16
Race 4:
#3 Giant’s Fire 5-2 27 4th
#6 Refuah 9-2 26 2nd $4.90
#7 Showdown King 3-1 26
#5 Sin Nombre 12-1 25 3rd $6.00
Race 5:
#5 Mauritius 2-1 30 1st $4.40
#7 Union Express 6-1 28 3rd $6.90
#1 St. Joe Louis (GB) 4-1 27 2nd $4.40 Tri $144.48
#3 Bear Funny 10-1 26 4th Spr $1,063
Race 6:
#5 Soloshot 3-1 31 1st $5.60 Dbl $12.20
#1 Sohana 4-1 30 4th
#2 Geopolitics 5-2 30 2nd $2.90
#8 Naughty Destiny 8-1 29
Race 7:
#4 Stormy’s Dreaming 12-1 18 4th
#10 Concorde Spirit 6-1 18 3rd $4.40
#9 He Has It All 2-1 17 2nd $3.10
#7 Clancy Fancy 12-1 16
Race 8:
#1 Lady Jasmine 7-2 28
#6 Silent Melody 4-1 27 4th
#10 Diamond Status 9-2 27
#7 Kannon Fire 6-1 26 3rd $7.00
Race 9:
#12 Bunny Honey 3-1 17
#2 Noble Disguise 8-1 16
#4 Miss City Girl 9-2 16
#6 Lu’s Redemption 8-1 15
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 1,4
Race 2: 6,7,1,9
Race 3: 4,3,1,9 Dirt: 1,13,2,7
Race 4: 3,6,7
Race 5: 5,7,1 Dirt: 15,3,7
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 6,7,1,9
Race 3: 4,3,1,9 Dirt: 1,13,2,7
Race 4: 3,6,7,5
Race 5: 5,7 Dirt: 15,3
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 4,3,1,9 Dirt: 1,13,2,7
Race 4: 3,6,7,5
Race 5: 5,7 Dirt: 15,3
Race 6: 5,1,2 Dirt: 2,1,5
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 4: 3,6,7
Race 5: 5 Dirt: 15
Race 6: 5,1,2 Dirt: 2,1,5
Race 7: 4,10,9,7
Race 8: 1,6,10 Dirt: 3,9,4
Race 9: 12 Dirt: 16
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 5,7,1,3 Dirt: 15,3,7,4
Race 6: 5,1,2 Dirt: 2
Race 7: 4,10,9
Race 8: 1,6,10 Dirt: 3,9,4
Race 9: 12,2,4 Dirt: 16,15,2
$.50 Ticket: $162
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 5,1,2 Dirt: 2,1,5
Race 7: 4,10,9,7
Race 8: 1,6,10 Dirt: 3,9,4
Race 9: 12,2,4 Dirt: 16,15,2
$.50 Ticket: $54
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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