A Winning Day at the Races!

June 9th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,622/20,890 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,611/20,890. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us Thursday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $4,358.75 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $2,981.50 on a $48 ticket…

*Sunday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Proven Innocent 6-1
#1 West Newton (GB) 12-1
#5 Abaan 5-2
#3 Rampoldi Plan 7-2

Race 2:

#7 Kneedeepinsnow 3-1             31 scratched
#1a Excellent Timing 5-2           30 1st $5.70
#4 Nolo Contesto 10-1                29
#2 Emerald Forest 5-1                 28

Race 3:

#4 Doc Sullivan 5-2                     33 *Best Bet 1st $4.20 Dbl $16.40
#1 Antonio of Venice 6-5            32 scratched
#5 Grand Opening 8-1                 31 2nd $5.20 Ex $23
#6 That’s Money 4-1                    30 4th

Race 4:

#6 Speightful Lily 1-1                31 1st $2.50 Pk 3 $18.80
#5 Cap Ferrat 5-2                        29 scratched
#8 Scoring Chance 8-1               28 scratched
#7 Mommasgottagun 10-1        28 4th

Race 5:

#12 Unaudited 6-1                      15
#7 Dancinginthepark 8-1          15
#5 Az U Chase Me 9-2                14
#9 Big Ego 5-2                              14

Dirt Selections

#13 Mama’s Middle 9-2
#16 Saka Shocka 6-1 scratched
#9 Big Ego 5-2 2nd $3.50
#5 Az U Chase Me 9-2 1st $11.60
#2 Malibu Margarita 10-1 scratched

Race 6:

#2 Drake’s Passage 7-5              34 1st $3.80
#1 Sheriff Bianco 6-1                 32
#5 Donegal Surges 5-1               31 2nd $4.20
#6 Union Fleet 20-1                    30

Race 7:

#10 Rozay Summer 4-1             16
#4 Detonate 8-1                          15
#8 Rainingatthebeach 10-1      14
#3 Lucky and Gorgeous 10-1    14

Dirt Selections

#8 Rainingatthebeach 10-1 1st $7.30 Dbl $19.60
#6 Tour Jete 6-1 2nd $6.10 Ex $51
#1 Sendera 12-1 3rd $5.30 Tri $452
#3 Lucky and Gorgeous 10-1
#14 Tone of Silence 20-1

Race 8:

#8 Fingal’s Cave 2-1                   31
#6 Midtown Lights 6-1              29
#5 Bon Adieu 12-1                      283rd $8.00
#2 Venti Valentine 3-1               28 1st $7.90

Race 9:

#8 Gem Mint Ten 5-1                30
#4 Laurel Valley 7-2                   29
#2 The Paddock Pastor 6-1       29
#7 Bettrluckythangood 10-1     28

Dirt Selections

#11 Boss Three O Two 10-1 scratched
#16 Bad Larry 4-1 3rd $2.80
#12 Union Trail 15-1 1st $11.00
#1 Starquist 20-1
#6 Relate 8-1 scratched

Race 10:

#8 Overacting 9-2                      31
#5 Marvelous Maude 5-2          30
#9 Stonewall Star 6-1                29
#1 Silver Skillet 2-1                    29

Dirt Selections

#10 Tough Street 8-5 3rd $2.40
#9 Stonewall Star 6-1 2nd $3.30
#1 Silver Skillet 2-1 1st $8.40 Tri $60
#7 Sweetest Princess 20-1 4th Spr $178

Race 11:

#5 La Banquera 4-1                   32
#4 Sunday Girl 8-1                    30
#8 The Shoe Lady 10-1             29 4th
#1 P Mutter Pickle 8-1              28

Race 12:

#9 City Man 5-2                         36
#1 Spirit of St Louis 8-5           35
#12 Saratoga Flash 8-1             34
#8 Eye Witness 30-1                  33

Dirt Selections

#5 Maker’s Candy 15-1 3rd $2.60
#8 Eye Witness 30-1 scratched
#16 Jackson Heights 10-1
#2 Disarmed 30-1 2nd $8.90
#12 Saratoga Flash 8-1 scratched

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  7,1a/1,4,2

Race 3:  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,5

Race 4:  6

Race 5:  12,7,5,9 Dirt: 13,16,9,5

Race 6:  2,1,5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  4,1 *1 scratched using 4,5

Race 4:  6,5,8,7

Race 5:  12,7,5,9 Dirt: 13,16,9,5

Race 6:  2,1,5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  12,7,5,9 Dirt: 13,16,9,5

Race 6:  2,1

Race 7:  10,4,8,3 Dirt: 8,6,1,3

Race 8:  8,6

Race 9:  8,4,2 Dirt: 11,16,12,1

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  2,1 2

Race 7:  10,4,8,3 Dirt: 8,6,1,3 8

Race 8:  8,6,5,2 2

Race 9:  8,4,2,7 Dirt: 11,16,12,1 12 $150.75

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 7:  10,4,8,3 Dirt: 8,6,1,3

Race 8:  8

Race 9:  8,4,2 Dirt: 11,16,12 *11 scratched using 16,12,1

Race 10: 8,5 Dirt: 10,9

Race 11:  5,4,8

Race 12:  9,1 Dirt: 5,8 *8 scratched using 5,16

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  8,6,5,2

Race 9:  8,4 Dirt: 11,16 *11 scratched using 16,12

Race 10: 8,5,9,1 Dirt: 10,9,1,7

Race 11:  5,4,8,1

Race 12:  9,1 Dirt: 5,8 *8 scratched using 5,16

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  8,4 Dirt: 11,16 *11 scratched using 16,12

Race 10: 8,5,9,1 Dirt: 10,9,1,7

Race 11:  5,4,8,1

Race 12:  9,1,12,8 Dirt: 5,8,16,2 *8 scratched using 5,16,2,12

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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