June 14th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,126/23,285 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,772/23,285. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5 for us last Friday at Saratoga…$1,488.50 on a $144 ticket…

*Early Pick 4 for us last Friday at Saratoga…$257.50 on a $64 ticket…

*5 on top winners last Sunday at Saratoga…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Monmouth Park Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#1 Farm House 7-5 16 1st $6.80
#2 Calling an Audible 9-5 15 2nd $2.60 Ex $12.80
#6 Esther’s Salad 10-1 13
#3 Immigration Law 9-2 12 4th

Race 2:

#5 Disco Star 3-5 30
#3 Boston’s Phinest 6-1 28
#2 Mischief Lady 5-2 28
#1 Storm Changer 9-2 27

Dirt Selections

#2 Mischief Lady 5-2 1st $4.50 Dbl $22.80
#1 Storm Changer 9-2 3rd $2.40
#3 Boston’s Phinest 6-1 2nd $5.50 Tri $62
#4 Royal Event 20-1

Race 3:

#1 Harlan’s Bond 5-2 27 3rd
#6 Fuligni 7-2 26
#4 Scarborough Fair 2-1 25 1st $4.10
#5 Dolce Sera 6-1 25 2nd $4.20

Race 4:

#5 Cold as Hell 2-1 32 3rd $2.40
#6 Gun It 3-1 31 1st $10.80
#3 Kunshan Bridge 6-1 30 4th
#2 Dot’s Dollar 4-1 30

Race 5:

#1 Aerate 6-5 17 scratched
#1a Sequential 6-5 16 2nd $2.90
#7 Down the Line 8-1 15
#3 Battle Anthem 8-1 14 4th

Race 6:

#4 Smooth Breeze 9-5 30
#2 Slapintheface 7-2 29
#5 Laurel Valley 5-2 28
#1 Baron of Sealand 4-1 27

Dirt Selections

#8 Wynstock 2-1 1st $6.00
#1 Baron of Sealand 4-1 4th
#7 Quiet Wisdom 20-1
#1a B D Saints 4-1

Race 7:

#2 Tiberius Mercurius 5-2 28 3rd $3.70
#8 Active Duty 5-1 27
#1 Winter’s Ghost 3-1 26
#7 He’s Got This 7-2 25 1st $6.60

Race 8:

#9 Macaw 4-1 26 1st $5.70
#7 Trade Imbalance 3-1 25 scratched
#5 Shakin the Belle 10-1 25
#2 Dialbolico 6-1 24 3rd $3.60

Race 9:

#2 Hola Gata 2-1 29
#1a Yo Leven 8-1 28
#9 Downtown Channel 6-1 28
#7 Turf Rocket 4-1 27

Dirt Selections

#1a Yo Leven 8-1
#11 Royal Bobbie 3-1
#1 Enigmatic 8-1
#5 Saucy Six 20-1
#4 Luckforyou 20-1

Race 10:

#9 Orie 4-1 16
#12 Cousin Ed 5-2 15
#1 Prince of Dance 8-1 14
#1a Oat Coutour 8-1 13

Dirt Selections

#7 Motel Patel 9-2
#3 Maybern 5-1
#15 Alzero 8-1
#13 Chris’s Song 5-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 1,2

Race 2: 5,3,2 Dirt: 2,1,3

Race 3: 1,6,4 *6 scratched using 1,4,5

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 1/1a

$.50 Ticket: $18

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5 Dirt: 2,1,3

Race 3: 1,6,4 *6 scratched using 1,4,5

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 1/1a

$.50 Ticket: $3

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 1,6,4 *6 scratched using 1,4,5Race 4: 5,6,3,2

Race 5: 1/1a,7,3

Race 6: 4,2,5 Dirt: 8,1/1a,7

Race 7: 2,8

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 5,6

Race 5: 1/1a,7,3

Race 6: 4,2,5 Dirt: 8,1/1a,7

Race 7: 2,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $27

Pick 6:

Race 5: 1/1a

Race 6: 4,2,5 Dirt: 8,1/1a,7

Race 7: 2,8,1

Race 8: 9,7 *7 scratched using 9,5

Race 9: 2 Dirt: 1a/1

Race 10: 9,12,1/1a Dirt: 7,3,15

$1.00 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 4,2,5 Dirt: 8,1/1a,7

Race 7: 2,8,1,7

Race 8: 9,7 *7 scratched using 9,5

Race 9: 2,1a/1,9 Dirt: 1a/1,11,5

Race 10: 9,12 Dirt: 7,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 2,8,1,7

Race 8: 9,7,5,2

Race 9: 2,1a/1,9,7 Dirt: 1a/1,11,5,4

Race 10: 9,12 Dirt: 7,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

Monmouth Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Vino Grigio 7-2 16
#5 Dangerous Driver 9-2 15 1st $4.00
#4 Tears in Rain 4-1 15 2nd $5.60
#3 Jace Is No Joke 8-1 14

Dirt Selections

#5 Dangerous Driver 9-2
#3 Jace is No Joke 8-1
#1 Merging Traffic 20-1
#2 Vino Grigio 7-2

Race 2:

#3 Sofster 5-2 26
#2 Peggysue I Love U 8-5 25 3rd $2.20
#7 Boss Lady Kim 12-1 24
#1 Duela Dent 6-1 23 1st $15.80

Race 3:

#9 Virtuosity 9-2 16 2nd $3.60
#7 Bob Mo 5-2 16 scratched
#3 Finkle 3-1 15 1st $4.60 Ex $15.60
#2 Ripton’s Music 6-1 14

Dirt Selections

#7 Bob Mo 5-2
#3 Finkle 3-1
#4 Pandemic Hero 9-2
#6 Big Ern McCracken 12-1

Race 4:

#8 Denying 3-1 27 4th
#2 Cupid’s Dude 7-2 26 1st $4.80
#4 Awesome Entry 20-1 25
#1 I Feelucky Tonite 5-2 24 2nd $2.60

Race 5:

#8 Runway Lights 7-2 26
#12 Shakrevenge 8-1 25
#2 Political Spin 6-1 24
#5 C C Girl 8-1 24

Dirt Selections

#13 Securitylightning 6-1
#14 Soul Secret 6-1 scratched
#2 Political Spin 6-1 3rd $3.60
#5 C C Girl 8-1 scratched

Race 6:

#7 Go Irish 5-2 28 *Best Bet 2nd $2.60
#3 J J Valentin 5-1 26 3rd $5.40
#2 Midnight Story 15-1 25 scratched
#1 Island Spirit 15-1 24

Race 7:

#1 Be Here 9-2 27
#6 Fatima’s Blessing 4-1 26
#5 Attrayant 6-1 25
#2 Drakon 6-1 25

Dirt Selections

#9 Talklessworkmore 8-1 1st $5.80
#4 Venezuelan Triumph 20-1 scratched
#8 Mailman Money 6-1 2nd $5.60 Ex $31.00
#13 Curlins Cruzin 30-1 scratched

Race 8:

#3 Garamond 8-5 34
#5 Bracket Buster 9-2 33 1st $9.60
#4 Valentinian 4-1 32 3rd $4.60
#2 Barbadian Runner 6-1 31 scratched

Race 9:

#8 Highestdistinction 8-1 34
#3 Redistricting (GB) 7-5 34 1st $2.60
#1 Kingmax (IRE) 7-2 33
#6 Otago 6-1 32 2nd $3.80

Dirt Selections

#7 Signator 8-1
#9 Brooklyn Guy 8-1

Race 10:

#3 Tuscan Sky 7-2 36
#9 Bishops Bay 6-5 35 1st $2.60
#4 Offaly Cool 6-1 34 scratched
#2 Trademark 6-1 33

Race 11:

#2 Five Towns (GB) 3-1 34
#6 Damaso 6-1 33
#3 Ozara (IRE) 7-2 32
#1 Maggie Go (ARG) 8-5 31

Race 12:

#3 Catherine Wheel 7-2 33
#7 Majestic Oops 9-2 32
#1 Occult 2-1 31
#4 Into Amore 5-1 30

Monmouth Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,5,4 Dirt: 5,3,1

Race 2: 3,2

Race 3: 9,7,3,2 Dirt: 7,3,4,6

Race 4: 8,2

Race 5: 12,2,5,9 Dirt: 13,14,2,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,2

Race 3: 9,7,3,2 Dirt: 7,3,4,6

Race 4: 8,2,4,1

Race 5: 12,2,5,9 Dirt: 13,14,2,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 8,2,4,1

Race 5: 12,2,5,9 Dirt: 13,14,2,5

Race 6: 7,3

Race 7: 1,6,5 Dirt: 9,4,8

Race 8: 3,5

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 12,2,5,9 Dirt: 13,14,2,5

Race 6: 7,3

Race 7: 1,6,5,2 Dirt: 9,4,8,13

Race 8: 3,5,4,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 1,6,5,2 Dirt: 9,4,8,13

Race 8: 3,5,4

Race 9: 8,3,1 Dirt: 7,9

Race 10: 3,9

Race 11: 2,6,3

Race 12: 3,7,1

$.20 Ticket: $129.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 3,5,4

Race 9: 8,3,1 Dirt: 7,9

Race 10: 3,9

Race 11: 2,6,3,1

Race 12: 3,7,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 8,3,1,6 Dirt: 7,9

Race 10: 3,9

Race 11: 2,6,3,1

Race 12: 3,7,1,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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