A Winning Day at the Races!

June 27th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,519/25,549 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,780/25,549. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Churchill Downs Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Best Impression 7-5               26
#1 Problematica 9-5                    25
#4 Thelastbulletsmine 5-1         24
#3 Open Soul Autism 6-1            24

Race 2:

#7 Two by Two by Two 8-5       16
#4 Spinning Class 1-1                15
#1 Mappy 5-1                               14
#3 Kef 30-1                                   13

Dirt Selections 

#7 Two by Two by Two 8-5
#2 Essence L Vee 12-1
#3 Kef 30-1
#1 Mappy 5-1

Race 3:

#4 Calling Card 2-1                  27
#2 Antietam 4-1                       26
#3 Ducky Medwick 5-2            25
#7 Whitby 8-1                            25

Race 4:

#8 Dot’s Dollar 2-1                   26
#6 Neuschwanstein 20-1         25
#4 Glint 8-1                                25
#3 Spirit Dragon 5-1                 24

Race 5:

#2 Archimedes 4-1                   28
#8 After Taxes (IRE) 6-5          28
#7 Swaging 9-2                          27
#4 Sports Hero 8-1                    26

Dirt Selections 

#9 Toga d’Oro 1-1
#7 Swaging 9-2
#3 Solomini’s World 20-1
#1 Hong Kong Phooey 15-1

Race 6:

#3 Starlight Dancer 5-2           28
#2 Brillante (FR) 6-5                 27
#4 On a Summer Day 9-2         26
#7 Y’allreadyforthis 15-1         26

Dirt Selections 

#9 Karey 5-2
#8 Amelia’s Echo 2-1
#5 Leslie’s Star 10-1
#6 Putonahappyface 5-1

Race 7:

#1 Salming 9-2                         27
#3 Bold Love 2-1                      27
#9 Sully 3-1                               26
#5 Constant Chaos 12-1         25

Race 8:

#3 Run Curtis Run 4-1             35
#5 Twisted Filigree 12-1          34
#2 Sacrosanct 5-1                      33
#1 Waralo 5-2                             32

Dirt Selections 

#2 Sacrosanct 5-1
#6 Bold Journey 7-2
#10 Light Man 5-1
#9 Counter Move 20-1

Race 9:

#7 Coquito 9-2                        32
#1 Aeolian 5-2                         31
#6 Romantic Dancer 6-1        30
#8 She’s Grand 6-1                  29

Race 10:

#8 Eliminate 3-1                      33
#2 Playing Tricks 5-2              32
#7 Otello 6-1                             31
#4 Mr. Papagiorgio 8-1            31

Race 11:

#1 Son of a Pharoah 12-1        18
#4 Super Dave 8-5                     17
#10 How Much Is Enough 8-1 17
#7 Bubster 9-2                            16

Dirt Selections 

Leaving as is…

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1

Race 2:  7,4 Dirt: 7,2

Race 3:  4,2,3

Race 4:  8,6,4,3

Race 5:  2,8,7 Dirt: 9,7,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,4 Dirt: 7,2

Race 3:  4,2,3

Race 4:  8,6,4,3

Race 5:  2,8,7 Dirt: 9,7,3

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  4,2,3

Race 4:  8,6,4,3

Race 5:  2,8,7 Dirt: 9,7,3

Race 6:  3,2 Dirt: 9,8

Race 7:  1,3,9

  $.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  8,6,4,3

Race 5:  2,8,7 Dirt: 9,7,3

Race 6:  3,2 Dirt: 9,8

Race 7:  1,3,9

  $.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  2,8,7 Dirt: 9,7,3

Race 6:  3,2 Dirt: 9,8

Race 7:  1,3,9

Race 8:  3,5,2,1 Dirt: 2,6,10,9

Race 9:  7,1

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 6:  3,2 Dirt: 9,8

Race 7:  1,3,9

Race 8:  3,5,2,1 Dirt: 2,6,10,9

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 8

Race 11:  1,4,10 Dirt: Leaving as is…

  $1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  1,3,9

Race 8:  3,5,2,1 Dirt: 2,6,10,9

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 8,2

Race 11:  1,4,10,7 Dirt: Leaving as is…

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  3,5,2,1 Dirt: 2,6,10,9

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 8,2,7

Race 11: 1,4,10,7 Dirt: Leaving as is…

  $.50 Ticket:  $48

Churchill Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Antivenom 5-1                    20
#9 Caribbean Warrior 12-1     19
#3 Salahudin 6-1                      18
#12 Celtic Mo 10-1                   18

Race 2:

#4 Preside 7-2                           19
#5 Direct Strike 7-5                  18
#10 Our Forefathers 6-1          17
#8 Sassmaster 6-1                     17

Race 3:

#9 Campobasso 3-1                  20
#11 Big Jake 9-2                         19
#10 Tagermeen 5-2                   19
#4 Pursuit of Freedom 8-1       18

Race 4:

#7 Final Story 4-5                      33
#5 Brave Pilot 5-1                      32
#8 Blackout Time 4-1                32
#2 Non Conforming 8-1            31

Race 5:

#9 Vive Veuve 5-2                      34
#1 Warming 6-1                         33
#8 Pin Up Betty 7-2                   33
#6 Just Basking 6-1                    32

Race 6:

#8 Bring the Smoke 3-1            33
#2 C K Wonder 8-1                     32
#4 Money Supply 9-2                 32
#7 Can’t Hush This 15-1            31

Race 7:

#3 Immersive 8-1                       36
#1 Splendora 4-5                        35
#5 Shred the Gnar 6-5               34
#2 Regaled 10-1                          33

Race 8:

#6 Alpyland 8-5                          33
#1 Immortalised (FR) 4-1         32
#2 Prepped 6-1                            31
#8 Bust Out 6-1                           30

Race 9:

#2 Cornucopian 1-1                   39
#6 Dr. Venkman 7-2                    38
#3 Harrodsburg 12-1                  37
#7 Built 4-1                                  36

Race 10:

#4 Chasing the Crown 9-2          37
#1 Silent Heart 10-1                     36
#2 Lagynos 5-2                              35
#6 Dresden Row 7-2                      34

Race 11:

#3 Sovereignty 6-5                      43
#2 White Abarrio 3-1                  42
#5 Magnitude 7-2                         41
#4 Baeza 6-1                                  39

Race 12:

#4 Final Accord 6-1                     32
#8 Ground Support 3-1               31
#6 Bohemian 10-1                       30
#3 East Jabip (IRE) 4-1                29

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,9,3,12

Race 2:  4,5

Race 3:  9,11,10

Race 4:  7,5,8

Race 5:  9,1,8

  $.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,5

Race 3:  9,11,10,4

Race 4:  7,5,8,2

Race 5:  9,1,8,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  9,11,10

Race 4:  7,5,8

Race 5:  9,1,8

Race 6:  8,2,4

Race 7:  3,1,5

   $.50 Ticket:  $121.50

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  7,5,8

Race 5:  9,1,8

Race 6:  8,2,4,7

Race 7:  3,1,5,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  9,1,8

Race 6:  8,2,4

Race 7:  3,1,5

Race 8:  6,1,2,8

Race 9:  2,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  8,2,4,7

Race 7:  3,1,5

Race 8:  6,1,2

Race 9:  2,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 6:

Race 7:  3,1,5

Race 8:  6,1,2,8

Race 9:  2

Race 10: 4,1,2,6

Race 11:  3,2,5

Race 12:  4,8,6,3

  $.20 Ticket:  $115.20

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  6,1,2,8

Race 9:  2,6

Race 10: 4,1,2,6

Race 11:  3,2

Race 12:  4,8,6,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  2,6

Race 10: 4,1,2,6

Race 11:  3,2,5,4

Race 12:  4,8,6,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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