A Winning Day at the Races!

June 8th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,614/20,876 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,604/20,876. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues, will post Pick/Plays when able…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us Thursday at Saratoga…Pick 5 $4,358.75 on a $72 ticket…Pick 4 $2,981.50 on a $48 ticket…

 *Saturday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…

Saratoga Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#8 Classic Legacy 7-2                 32 4th
#1 Black Rain 9-2                        31 2nd $5.00
#3 General Partner 5-2              31 1st $4.10
#5 Quick to Accuse 7-2              30

Race 2:

#1a Source (GB) 7-2                   30 scratched
#5 Lady de Berry 4-1                  29
#6 Spaliday 3-1                           28 4th
#4 Storm Miami (IRE) 10-1       28 3rd $4.20

Race 3:

#5 Subrogate 5-1                        33 1st $11.60
#1 Billal 6-1                                 32 3rd $4.80
#8 Full Screen 7-2                       31
#6 Awesome Native 4-1             30 4th

Race 4:

#6 Gun It 6-1                                38
#4 Accretive 5-1                           37
#5 Gun Pilot 1-1                           37 3rd $2.30
#2 Rotknee 6-1                             36 4th

Race 5:

#3 Carl Spackler (IRE) 2-1         39
#7 Talk of the Nation 7-2           38 3rd $3.40
#2 Casa Creed 9-5                        37 4th
#6 Kubrick (IRE) 8-1                    36

Race 6:

#8 Bendoog 2-1                            40 2nd $2.80
#7 Crupi 3-1                                  39 1st $7.10 Ex $18
#4 Charge It 5-2                            37 scratched
#2 Kuchar 8-1                                36

Race 7:

#6 Raging Sea 9-2                       38 4th
#5 Idiomatic 3-5                          38 2nd $2.60
#4 Soul of an Angel 8-1              37
#1 Randomized 6-1                     36 1st $14.00

Race 8:

#7 Prince of Monaco 7-2             39 2nd $3.40
#4 Valentine Candy 6-1               38
#6 Reasoned Analysis 15-1         37 4th
#1 Book’em Danno 9-2                36 1st $7.70

Race 9:

#8 Cogburn 2-1                            42 1st $6.30
#2 Arzak 9-2                                 40 2nd $6.50 Ex $37.60
#6 Star of Mystery (GB) 6-1       39 3rd $4.00 Tri $165.48
#12 Mischief Magic (IRE) 8-1    38

Race 10:

#3 Post Time 7-2                           41 2nd $4.30
#2 National Treasure 8-5            40 1st $4.70 Ex $18.40
#6 White Abarrio 6-5                   40
#4 Blazing Sevens 8-1                  39

Race 11:

#5 Program Trading (GB) 5-2    39
#9 Measured Time (GB) 7-2       38 1st $8.20
#1 I’m Very Busy 9-2                   37
#6 Al Riffa (FR) 6-1                      36

Race 12:

#5 Antiquarian 12-1                   38
#9 Sierra Leone 9-5                     37 3rd $2.60
#10 Mindframe 7-2                      37 2nd $6.80
#3 Mystik Dan 5-1                       36

Race 13:

#4 In All My Dreams 7-2            17 4th
#11 North End Lady 5-1             16 2nd $5.00
#12 Alittlebitnaughty 8-1          15
#6 Autumn 9-2                             15 3rd $3.80

Race 14:

#2 Salt Spray (IRE) 4-1               19
#6 Yarrow 5-1                               18 3rd $3.40
#11 Mansa Musa (IRE) 5-2         18 1st $7.90
#9 Capture the Flag 10-1            17

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  8,1,3,5

Race 2:  1a/1,5,6

Race 3:  5,1,8

Race 4:  6,4,5

Race 5:  3,7,2

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1a/1,5,6,4

Race 3:  5,1,8,6

Race 4:  6,4,5,2

Race 5:  3,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  5,1,8,6

Race 4:  6,4,5

Race 5:  3,7,2

Race 6:  8,7

Race 7:  6,5

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,4,5,2

Race 5:  3,7,2,6

Race 6:  8,7

Race 7:  6,5,4,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64+

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  3,7,2

Race 6:  8,7,4

Race 7:  6,5,4,1

Race 8:  7,4,6,1

Race 9:  8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6:  8,7 7

Race 7:  6,5,4,1 1

Race 8:  7,4,6,1 1

Race 9:  8,2,6,12 8

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $178.25

Pick 6:

Race 7:  6,5

Race 8:  7,4,6,1

Race 9:  8

Race 10: 3,2,6

Race 11:  5,9,1

Race 12:  5,9,10

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Pick 5 (8-12):

Race 8:  7,4,6,1

Race 9:  8,2,6,12

Race 10: 3,2,6

Race 11:  5,9

Race 12:  5,9,10

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (9-12)

Race 9:  8,2

Race 10: 3,2,6,4

Race 11:  5,9,1,6

Race 12:  5,9,10,3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Late Pick 5:

Race 10:  3,2,6

Race 11:  5,9,1

Race 12:  5,9,10

Race 13:  4,11,12,6

Race 14:  2,6,11

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 11:  5,9

Race 12:  5,9,10,3

Race 13:  4,11,12,6

Race 14:  2,6,11,9

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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