March 1st, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,318/20,421 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,385/20,421. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners on last Saturday’s Oaklawn card…

*Early & Middle Pick 4 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$470.50 on a $64 ticket…$695.50 on a $96 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Mambagigi 5-2 12
#5 Account Receivable 6-1 11
#2 Snappin Buttons 2-1 11 1st $4.50
#6 War Terminatrix 8-1 10 4th

Race 2:

#5 Poppy’s Pride 9-5 28 scratched
#1a Striking Speed 8-5 27 2nd $2.80
#3 Swift Tap 8-1 26 3rd $2.80
#1 Sunrise Journey 8-5 26 scratched

Race 3:

#6 Classic Kingdom 12-1 16
#5 Le Bar 3-1 15 3rd $2.60
#3 Upside Potential 2-1 15 1st $6.10
#1 Gold ‘n’ Scarlet 6-1 14

Race 4:

#5 Natural Harbor 2-1 31 1st $5.80
#1 Kant Beat the Rock 5-2 30
#2 Blue Plate Special 4-1 29 3rd $4.60
#6 Borletti (IRE) 4-1 28 2nd $4.50

Race 5:

#6 Dreamawayseven 9-2 27 1st $6.60 Dbl $25.20
#4 Run Devil 5-2 27 2nd $2.80 Ex $17.40
#5 Sister Linda 8-1 26 scratched
#1 Good Penny 6-1 25 scratched

Race 6:

#2 Midnight Trouble 6-1 30
#3 Macallan 2-1 29 2nd $3.10
#1 Reddington 8-5 28 scratched
#4 Centavo 12-1 27

Race 7:

#1 Gentleman Joe 2-1 31
#2 Just Call Ray 6-1 30
#7 Lafitte’s Fleet 6-1 29
#5 Life Changer 7-2 29

Race 8:

#5 Rocco Strong 7-2 34
#1 Leading Contender 9-5 33
#8 Alternate Reality 12-1 32
#2 No Burn 4-1 31

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,5,2

Race 2: 5,1a/1 *5 scratched using 1a,3

Race 3: 6,5,3,1

Race 4: 5,1

Race 5: 6,4,5,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,1a/1 *5 scratched using 1a,3

Race 3: 6,5,3,1

Race 4: 5,1,2

Race 5: 6,4,5,1

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 6:

Race 3: 6,5,3

Race 4: 5,1

Race 5: 6,4

Race 6: 2,3,1 *1 scratched using 2,3,4

Race 7: 1

Race 8: 5,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 5,1,2

Race 5: 6,4,5,1

Race 6: 2,3,1 *1 scratched using 2,3,4

Race 7: 1,2,7,5

Race 8: 5,1

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 6,4,5,1

Race 6: 2,3,1 *1 scratched using 2,3,4

Race 7: 1,2,7,5

Race 8: 5,1

$.50 Ticket: $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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