A Winning Day at the Races!

March 20th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,539/16,072, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,152/16,072. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*We hit the Pick 6 and the Late Pick 5/4 on Friday’s Aqueduct Card…Pick 6 $14,476.50 on a $162 ticket…Pick 5 $726.75 on a $81 ticket…

*8 on top winners on Saturday’s Gulfstream Card…Both the Early and Late Pick 5 and Pick 4’s…Early Pick 5 $945 on a $108 ticket…Late Pick 5 $375.90 on a $108 ticket… Early Pick 4 $100.05 on a $36 ticket…Late Pick 4 $251.75 on a $64

*Sunday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Rational Choice 3-5               18 1st $2.50
#1 Higher Quality 5-2                 17 scratched
#6 Nothingtoseehere 8-1           15
#4 American Law 6-1                  14 2nd $2.60

Race 2:

#5 See Me Now 5-1                       17 4th
#2 Bunty Windermere 6-1          16
#7 Carbon 3-1                                15 1st $12.20
#3 Twist Just Right 4-1                15

Race 3:

#3 Truebelieve 2-1                        28 *Best Bet 2nd $3.20
#6 Wild Union 5-2                         26
#5 Brockmoninoff 4-1                   25 3rd $3.20
#7 Irish Giant 9-2                           25 4th

Race 4:

#6 Quickflash 4-1                          28 2nd $4.10
#2 Jerusalem Gates 9-2                27
#1 Breaking Stones 6-1                26
#3 Tough Tickets 3-1                    25 3rd $2.60

Race 5:

#1 Efficiency 9-5                             19 2nd $2.60
#5 Howe Street 5-2                         17 scratched
#7 Sugar Gray Leonard 4-1           16 3rd $3.00
#4 Torpedo Run 8-1                        15

Race 6:

#7 Awesome Aaron 4-5                   18 1st $2.90
#2 Check That Chip 2-1                  16 2nd $2.30
#6 Sharpoon 20-1                             15 4th
#3 Magic Miner 20-1                        14

Race 7:

#2 Pioneer Spirit 7-2                        32 2nd $3.70
#7 Little Menace 5-2                         31 1st $4.70 Ex $14.40
#5 Its All Relevant 6-1                      30 3rd $2.30 Tri $46
#4 Lil Commissioner 3-1                  30 scratched

Race 8:

#7 Cousteau 5-2                                  28 3rd $3.10
#3 Full Moon Fever 9-2                      27
#6 Dangerous Edge 8-1                      26
#1 Royal Number 3-1                          26 4th

Race 9:

#6 Chestertown 7-2                            33 2nd $4.50
#1 Brew Pub 30-1                                32
#2 Water’s Edge 9-2                            32 1st $10.20
#3 My Boy Tate 9-5                             31

Race 10:

#9 High School Crush 9-2                 27
#2 R Working Girl 5-2                        26 2nd $3.40
#4 Infringement 6-1                           26 4th
#6 Big Q 7-2                                          25 1st $5.60

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1 2

Race 2:  5,2,7,3 7

Race 3:  3,6 x

Race 4:  6,2,1,3 x

Race 5:  1,5 x

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,2,7,3 7

Race 3:  3,6 x

Race 4:  6,2,1,3 x

Race 5:  1,5 x

$.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 6:

Race 5: 1 x

Race 6:  7,2 7

Race 7:  2,7,5 7

Race 8:  7,3 x

Race 9:  6,1,2 2

Race 10: 9,2 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  7,2 7

Race 7:  2,7,5,4 7

Race 8:  7,3,6,1 x

Race 9:  6,1,2 2

Race 10: 9.2 x

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,7,5,4 7

Race 8:  7,3,6,1 x

Race 9:  6,1,2 2

Race 10: 9,2,4 x

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in

 


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