A Winning Day at the Races!

March 21st, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,368/20,502 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,425/20,502. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Sorority Prank 9-5                14
#4 Compute It 3-1                      13
#3 The Delaware Boyz 4-1        12
#1 Air Force Cross 6-1               11

Race 2:

#5 Anthracite 3-1                       27
#2 Unions Lights 3-1                  26
#3 Stop the Spread 8-1              25
#6 Nineteen Oysters 2-1            25

Race 3:

#7 Moonlit Weekend 7-5          15
#6 Montauk Mystique 2-1        14
#2 Maxing the Bank 15-1         12
#4 Debbie Darling 4-1               11

Race 4:

#7 Flip’s Dream 4-1                   16
#2 Saka Shocka 2-1                    16
#1 Twirling Vine 4-1                 15
#5 Z Dancer 5-1                          14

Race 5:

#5 Black Almighty 5-2               27
#4 Badlands Ruler 9-5               27
#2 In a Minute 10-1                    26
#1 Collected Special 4-1            25

Race 6:

#8 G Munning 5-2                       28
#5 Uncle George 8-5                   27
#1 Royal King 4-1                        27
#3 Sin Nombre 8-1                      26

Race 7:

#1 Quality Chic 9-5                     33
#6 Good Skate 6-1                       32
#4 Tabeguache 5-2                      31
#2 Olympic Dreams 5-2              31

Race 8:

#7 Amundson 5-1                        29
#3 Chuck Willis (IRE) 3-1           28
#1 Mister J T 8-1                           27
#2 Bustin Shout 9-2                     27

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,4,3

Race 2:  5,2,3,6

Race 3:  7,6

Race 4:  7,2,1

Race 5:  5,4,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,2,3,6

Race 3:  7,6

Race 4:  7,2,1,5

Race 5:  5,4,2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  7,6

Race 4:  7,2,1,5

Race 5:  5,4

Race 6:  8,5 *8 scratched using 5,1

Race 7:  1

Race 8:  7,3,1 *3 scratched using 7,1,2

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 7,2,1,5

Race 5:  5,4

Race 6:  8,5,1 *8 scratched using 5,1,3

Race 7:  1,6,4

Race 8:  7,3,1 *3 scratched using 7,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  5,4,2,1

Race 6:  8,5 *8 scratched using 5,1

Race 7:  1,6,4,2

Race 8:  7,3,1,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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