March 23rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,376/20,518 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,433/20,518. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Fair Grounds Picks/Plays Below…

Fair Grounds Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Orleans Tourist 12-1 14
#2 Navarrian 5-1 13
#7 Saint Gabriel 9-2 12 1st $21.80
#5 Alvarado Cat 4-1 12 4th

Race 2:

#9 Brian’s Iron Mike 3-1 32 1st $3.20
#7 My Pal Mattie 7-2 31 scratched
#2 Autumns Strong Man 8-1 30
#10 Swot Analysis 5-1 29 scratched

Race 3:

#3 Platinum Minit 9-2 29 1st $8.60 Dbl $15.60
#1 Accommodate Eva 5-2 28 scratched
#5 Clearly a Test 5-1 27 2nd $4.60 Ex $32.80
#2 Sister Ella 5-1 27

Race 4:

#8 Win for Speight 12-1 18
#11 War Siren (FR) 7-2 18 2nd $6.20
#7 Justify Perfection 8-1 17
#1 Without Cause 4-1 17 3rd $2.80

Race 5:

#4 Charnico 8-1 19
#2 House United 6-1 18 4th
#9 Coach Campbell 6-1 18
#6 Corporal 3-1 17

Race 6:

#10 Battle Scars 5-1 29
#8 Solid Country Gold 9-2 28
#2 Athens Moon 8-1 27
#5 Moment of Stardom 8-1 27

Race 7:

#3 Blue Eyed George 7-2 30 3rd $2.40
#2 El Dinero 5-2 29 1st $6.20
#7 Good and Stout 4-1 28 4th
#6 Sonofaship 5-1 27 2nd $5.20 Spr $392.80

Race 8:

#4 Watch This Birdie 8-1 33
#3 Join the Dance 10-1 32 2nd $21.80
#10 Delahaye 6-1 31 1st $9.00
#9 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 4-1 31

Race 9:

#1 Red Route One 6-1 36 1st $11.80
#5 Money Supply 9-2 35 3rd $3.60
#9 Best Actor 7-2 34
#3 Touchuponastar 3-1 34 2nd $4.60

Race 10:

#4 Beatbox 6-1 36 4th
#13 I’m Very Busy 4-1 35 1st $6.80
#2 Strong Quality 6-1 34
#3 Webslinger 9-2 33 3rd $2.80

Race 11:

#5 Tarifa 8-5 33 1st $5.00
#6 Intricate 2-1 32
#7 Our Pretty Woman 4-1 31 2nd $4.00
#4 Lucky Got Game 20-1 30 scratched

Race 12:

#12 Track Phantom 3-1 33
#3 Antiquarian 12-1 32
#2 Hall of Fame 8-1 32
#10 Common Defense 6-1 31

Fair Grounds Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,2,7,5

Race 2: 9,7,2,10 *7,10 scratched using 9,2,6

Race 3: 3,1 *1 scratched using 3,5

Race 4: 8,11,7

Race 5: 4,2,9

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 9,7 *7 scratched using 9,2

Race 3: 3,1,5,2

Race 4: 8,11,7,1

Race 5: 4,2,9,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 8,11,7,1

Race 5: 4,2,9,6

Race 6: 10,8,2

Race 7: 3,2

Race 8: 4,3,10,9

$.50 Ticket: $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 4,2,9,6

Race 6: 10,8,2,5

Race 7: 3,2,7

Race 8: 4,3,10,9

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 7: 3,2,7

Race 8: 4,3,10,9

Race 9: 1,5,9

Race 10: 4,13

Race 11: 5,6

Race 12: 12

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 4,3,10,9

Race 9: 1,5,9

Race 10: 4,13,2

Race 11: 5,6

Race 12: 12,3,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 1,5,9,3

Race 10: 4,13,2,3

Race 11: 5,6

Race 12: 12,3,2,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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