July 26th , 2017 Saratoga Stake Races

#3 Tiznoble 9-2                          30
#10 Azar 5-2                                28
#4 Silver Dagger 6-1                 26
#2 Tale of Fancy 8-1                   23

Off-Turf :

#3 Tiznoble 9-2
#15 Morning Buzz 7-2
#14 Taoiseach 3-1
#5 Lewis Vale 12-1

Race 3 :

#6 Laney 6-1                                28
#5 Dawn the Destoyer 3-1         27
#4 Dancing All Night 7-2           27
#2 Eloquent Riddle 5-2               26

Race 5 :

#2 Covenant 9-5                           25 *Best Bet
#1 Tapella 5-2                               19
#8 A Change of Heart 12-1         18
#7 Conspiring 6-1                         18

Race 7 :

#1 Spanish Harlem 9-2                27
#4 Josephine’s Moment 3-1        25
#7 Fuhriously Kissed 8-1             23
#2 Blue Prize (ARG) 5-2               22

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 : 11,3,4 off-turf : 9,6,4

Race 7 : 1,4,7

Race 8 : 3,12,2

Race 9 : 7,8,3 off-turf : 7,15,14

$.50 Ticket : $40.50

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

July 24th , 2017 Daily Comments

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