July 23rd , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• July 22, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Members, Saratoga will be the only track offered  Monday 7/24.

*Saturday Winners On Top : $4.80, $10.60, $9.10, $4.20, $3.00, $5.60, $9.00, $8.60, $7.20, $9.00 Exacta’s : $136, $503, $18, $32 Triple’s : $673, $66, $28, $67, $162 Super’s : $99,$232,$99,$485

Saratoga Selections

Race 3 :        Strength Variable :

#3 Weather Wiz 5-2                     26
#2 Mr Classical 8-5                      24
#5 Uncle Mojo 3-1                        24
#1 Powerful Ally 12-1                   21

Race 5 :

#3 Securitiz 9-2                             34
#1 Thebigfundamental 2-1         32
#2 Royal Posse 5-2                        29
#5 Fifth Title 20-1                         28

Race 8 :

#10 Votre Coeur 15-1                   25
#2 Learn Me Dance 4-1                25
#4 About That Base 7-2                24
#9 Bree’s Got Heart 8-1                23

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  10,2,4,9

Race 9 :  9,3,12

Race 10 : 2

Race 11 :  6,1,8,10

$.50 Ticket :  $24

Monmouth Selections

Race 3 : 

#5 Ok Kid 7-2                             20
#6 Bun Bun 2-1                          19
#2 Shack’s Legacy 4-1               17
#1 Mo Maddnes 6-1                   17

Race 6 :

#3 Vortex Road 3-1                    26
#1 Miss Jackson 7-2                   24
#6 Postino’s Idol 4-1                  20
#8 Fantastic Score 5-1               18

Del Mar Selections

Race 4 :

#5 Towards the Light 6-1           25
#6 Little Juanito 5-2                    25
#9 Way Gone 3-1                          21
#4 Red Lightning 5-1                   20

Race 5 :

#7 Royal Albert Hall (GB) 9-2     32
#6 Southern Freedom 8-1            30
#10 Little Scotty 8-1                       29
#4 Patentar (Fr) 7-2                        27

Website stats for the year :

• Winner in top three picks 68% of the time 1680/2462.
• Top choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1092/2462.

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

July 22nd , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• July 22, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

Saratoga Selections

Race 1 :   Strength Variable :

#1 Mr. Crow 9-5                    26
#6 New Moon 6-1                 23
#2 Marshall Plan 8-5            23
#5 Adulation 5-1                   21

Race 5 :

#3 Tap Daddy 5-1                  20
#4 Sporting Chance 7-2        19
#5 Get the Facts 9-2               17
#8 Machismo 5-2                    16

Race 8 :

#6 Gioia Stella 5-1                  34
#10 Stella Rose 8-1                 33
#1 Volatility Index 5-2            33
#5 Pricedtoperfection 3-1       31

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  6,10,1,5

Race 9 :  7,4,1

Race 10 : 2,3

Race 11 :  8,11,7

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Steve Moyer’s (Jimmy Jerken’s Assistant) “Best Bet” :

Race 2 :

#1 Daddy’s Home – Broke maiden at first asking against decent. Hooked stakes quality allowance in second start, freshened since. Goes for vaunted jock/trainer combo taking drop to $40,000, single today.

Monmouth

Race 5 :

#1 Bells Irish Fancy 3-1          27
#5 Billycrystalball 3-1             25
#4 Bow Town Cat 5-2               24
#7 Poochy 4-1                            21

Race 7 :

#6 Daring Bride 2-1                  26
#7 Tevere 5-1                             23
#3 Hopefaithjoy 7-2                  21
#4 Teufles and Roses 3-1         20

Del Mar

Race 1 :

#6 Giro Candito 3-1                   22
#1 Golden Atlantic 9-2              21
#2 Mr. Hale 5-1                           19
#8 Looks Good N a Tux 4-1      18

Race 2 :

#6 Cherubim 9-5                        28
#3 Pray Hard 2-1                         27
#1 Kaabraaj 6-1                            25
#5 Iron Bob 5-1                            23

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.