A Winning Day at the Races!
December 7th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays
*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,050/19,990, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,185/19,990. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Still dealing with complications from Covid, hope to have Aqueduct Picks/Plays available all week…
*Trying a new twist today, we’ll call it “Longshot Thursday’s”…ML 1st & 2nd choices have been excluded from the picks…
*Visit the “Membership Page” to purchase a “Weekend Pass”…$23.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays below…
Aqueduct Selections
* 1st & 2nd Morning Line choices were thrown out in all races…
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Frau Diablo 6-1 15 1st $10.40
#6 Lightbulb Moment 9-2 14
#1 Risk Free 3-1 14 3rd $2.20
#4 Allegedly 15-1 13 4th
Race 2:
#4 Prince James 6-1 28 scratched
#1 Commanding General 8-1 27 scratched
#2 Ryan’s Cat 8-1 27 3rd $6.30
#6 Powerfully Built 5-1 26 4th
Race 3:
#3 Martingale 5-2 17 3rd
#1 Jayce and Liam 20-1 16 scratched
#5 Celestial Express 12-1 16 scratched
#6 Rye Tigress 10-1 15 4th
Race 4:
#1 Provision 10-1 26 4th
#7 Strong Light 8-1 26
#6 Thistle 4-1 25
#3 Hometown Hero 10-1 24
Race 5:
#1 Cinderella’s Cause 3-1 27 2nd $6.50
#5 Golden Rocket 9-2 27 1st $7.60 Ex $47.20
#6 Amity Island 15-1 26 4th
#4 Carbon 10-1 25
Race 6:
#7 Bussia 9-2 16 1st $13.80
#9 Ghostbustin 4-1 15 2nd $3.60 Ex $54.50
#6 Moonlit Weekend 10-1 15
#4 Red Jasmine 15-1 13
Race 7:
#4 Timed Out 5-1 27 1st $14.00 Dbl $114
#8 Slack Tide 5-1 26 4th
#1 Our Little Tiger 10-1 26
#6 Jackie the Joker 6-1 25
Race 8:
#4 Simply 8-1 31
#1 Zeebear 6-1 31 4th
#2 Factually Correct 8-1 30 1st $11.20
#5 Thrill of It 10-1 30
Race 9:
#9 Sharpaz 6-1 14 1st $9.70
#4 Chalky Cat 12-1 12 3rd $8.60
#13 Messi the Magician 8-1 12 4th
#2 Vaunted 8-1 11
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,6,1
Race 2: 4,1,2,6 *4,1 scratched using 2,6,5,3
Race 3: 3
Race 4: 1,7,6
Race 5: 1,5,6
$.50 Ticket: $54
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,1,2,6 *4,1 scratched using 2,6,5,3
Race 3: 3,1,5,6 *1,5 scratched using 3,6,4
Race 4: 1,7,6,3
Race 5: 1,5
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (3-6):
Race 3: 3,1,5,6 *1,5 scratched using 3,6,4
Race 4: 1,7,6,3
Race 5: 1,5,6
Race 6: 7,9,6
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 6:
Race 4: 1,7,6
Race 5: 1
Race 6: 7,9
Race 7: 4,8
Race 8: 4,1,2
Race 9: 9,4,13
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 1,5,6,4 5
Race 6: 7,9 7
Race 7: 4,8,1 4
Race 8: 4,1,2 2
Race 9: 9,4,13,2 9
$.50 Ticket: $144 $2,699
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 7,9,6 7
Race 7: 4,8,1,6 4
Race 8: 4,1,2 2
Race 9: 9,4,13,2 9
$.50 Ticket: $72 $724
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
December 8th, 2023 Daily Comments