May 9th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

• May 8, 2026
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,345/25,262 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,657/25,262. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*7 on top winners for us last Sunday at Aqueduct…

*Late Pick 4 for us Thursday at Aqueduct…$128.65 on a $40.50 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us Thursday at Aqueduct…$373.85 on a $108 ticket…

*Pick 6 for us Thursday at Aqueduct…$1,997.14 on a $108 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Indie Get Your Gun 3-1      18
#4 Karley B 9-5                          17
#6 Close the Loop 2-1              17
#3 Into the Unknown 12-1      16

Race 2:

#5 Arizona Territory 6-5          29
#6 Vekomasan 6-1                     28
#1 Print 3-1                                 27
#3 Woods 9-2                              27

Dirt Selections 

#1 Print 3-1
#2 Exhibition Only 6-1
#5 Arizona Territory 6-5
#3 Woods 9-2
#6 Vekomasan 6-1

Race 3:

#5 Shellac 8-5                          29
#6 Majestic Arc 10-1               28
#2 Tapwrits Temper 6-1         27
#4 Red Miller 5-2                     26

Race 4:

#6 Cosmic Candy Girl 5-2      28
#3 Dividend Recap 8-5            27
#5 Neshika 2-1                          27
#8 Full Pour 12-1                      26

Dirt Selections 

#8 Full Pour 12-1
#10 Top of the Table 7-2
#9 Blue Note 3-1
#6 Cosmic Candy Girl 5-2
#1 On a Summer Day 12-1

Race 5:

#3 Minute by Minute 3-1        31
#2 Army Gal 5-2                        30
#4 Next On Stage 6-1               29
#1 Kadena 9-2                            28

Race 6:

#2 Full Moon Madness 3-1     35
#5 One Nine Hundred 7-5       34
#1 Radio Red 5-1                       33
#3 Acoustic Ave 4-1                   32

Race 7:

#3 Eunomia 6-5                       34
#5 Inefficiency 3-1                  33
#1 Cassiar 10-1                         32
#6 Irish Maxima 5-1                32

Race 8:

#6 Cadenza 2-1                        33
#5 Alpenglow 8-1                     32
#4 Emblaze 4-1                         31
#1 One More Guitar 10-1        29

Dirt Selections 

#7 Just Philtored 5-1
#3 Kingsolver 6-1
#6 Cadenza 2-1
#4 Emblaze 4-1

Race 9:

#3 Growth Equity 6-5               34
#1 Trendsetter 3-1                    33
#5 Talk to Me Jimmy 9-5          33
#4 Bull by the Horns 8-1          32

Race 10:

#3 Arkhipov 9-5                        31
#7 Golden Channel 7-2           30
#1 Right to Vote 5-2                 30
#5 Ramblin’ Wreck 6-1            29

Dirt Selections 

#9 Fort Nelson 8-5
#4 Blown Cover 8-1
#7 Golden Channel 7-2
#6 My Mitole 10-1

Race 11:

#9 Ice House 3-1                     16
#1 High Leverage 5-1             15
#5 Super Dave 6-1                   15
#2 Music in Motion 4-1          14

Dirt Selections 

#9 Ice House 3-1
#2 Music in Motion 4-1
#5 Super Dave 6-1
#7 Gitole 12-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,4,6

Race 2:  5,6,1,3 Dirt: 1,2,5,3

Race 3:  5,6,2,4

Race 4:  6,3 Dirt: 8,10

Race 5:  3,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,6,1,3 Dirt: 1,2,5,3

Race 3:  5,6,2,4

Race 4:  6,3 Dirt: 8,10

Race 5:  3,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $32

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  5,6,2,4

Race 4:  6,3,5 Dirt: 8,10,9

Race 5:  3,2

Race 6:  2,5

Race 7:  3,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,3 Dirt: 8,10

Race 5:  3,2

Race 6:  2,5

Race 7:  3,5,1,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $16

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  3,2

Race 6:  2,5

Race 7:  3,5

Race 8:  6,5,4 Dirt: 7,3,6

Race 9:  3,1

  $.50 Ticket:  $24

Pick 6:

Race 6:  2,5

Race 7:  3

Race 8:  6 Dirt: 7

Race 9:  3,1

Race 10: 3,7,1 Dirt: 9,4,7

Race 11:  9,1,5 Dirt: 9,2,5

  $1.00 Ticket:  $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  3,5

Race 8:  6,5,4 Dirt: 7,3,6

Race 9:  3,1

Race 10: 3,7,1 Dirt: 9,4,7

Race 11:  9,1,5 Dirt: 9,2,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $54

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  6,5,4,1 Dirt: 7,3,6,4

Race 9:  3,1,5

Race 10: 3,7,1 Dirt: 9,4,7

Race 11:  9,1,5 Dirt: 9,2,5

  $.50 Ticket:  $54

Churchill Selections 

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Pop Paul 3-1                       27
#6 Landing Craft 5-2              26
#2 Muir Woods 8-1                 25
#3 Army Wildcatter 6-1         24

Race 2:

#9 Total Fabrication 6-1         12
#8 Frosty for Ever 4-1              11
#5 Click 8-5                               10
#3 Crystal Frost 8-1                   9

Race 3:

#1 Mirage 9-5                            28
#4 Consolidated 6-1                 27
#3 Truly Legit 8-1                     26
#2 Armed N Dangerous 3-1    25

Race 4:

#4 Skyro 3-1                              32
#1 Warrior Richard 5-2            31
#6 I Don’t Get It 9-5                 30
#7 Bestfriend Rocket 10-1       29

Race 5:

#4 Sigfrid 9-2                            18
#2 Supercharger 6-1                18
#3 Royal Causeway 8-1           17
#8 Comprehensive 3-2            16

Race 6:

#2 Stone County 4-1               14
#7 Rochester 12-1                    13
#8 Gentleman Jim 5-1             12
#5 Scuffle 9-2                            11

Race 7:

#3 Wrong Shoes 2-1                29
#6 Grand Luxx 7-2                   28
#9 What’s the Tea 8-1             27
#7 Empath 6-1                          26

Race 8:

#8 Sumood 7-2                          31
#3 Love’m Or Liam 4-1            30
#9 Cinister Cix 8-1                   29
#11 Sheriff Bart 6-1                  28

Race 9:

#1 Admiral Dennis 7-5            33
#6 Gould’s Gold 5-2                 32
#3 Timeout 8-1                         31
#2 Bernin Hot 6-1                     30

Race 10:

#1 Reb Five 4-1                         34
#8 Outfielder 8-5                      33
#2 Throckmorton 3-1               32
#6 Ketchum 20-1                       32

Race 11:

#12 Rockin Robin 4-1              18
#4 Lil Tipsy 8-1                         17
#7 Cognizant 10-1                    16
#3 Tanya’s Momentum 15-1   16

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6

Race 2:  9,8,5

Race 3:  1,4,3,2

Race 4:  4,1,6

Race 5:  4,2,3,8

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  9,8,5

Race 3:  1,4,3

Race 4:  4,1,6

Race 5:  4,2,3,8

  $.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  1,4,3,2

Race 4:  4,1,6

Race 5:  4,2,3,8

Race 6:  2,7,8

Race 7:  3,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  4,1,6

Race 5:  4,2,3,8

Race 6:  2,7,8,5

Race 7:  3,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  4,2,3,8

Race 6:  2,7,8,5

Race 7:  3,6

Race 8:  8,3,9,11

Race 9:  1,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 6:

Race 6:  2,7,8,5

Race 7:  3,6

Race 8:  8,3,9,11

Race 9:  1,6

Race 10: 1,8,2

Race 11:  12,4,7,3

  $.20 Ticket:  $153.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  3,6,9,7

Race 8:  8,3

Race 9:  1,6

Race 10: 1,8,2

Race 11:  12,4,7,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  8,3,9,11

Race 9:  1,6

Race 10: 1,8,2,6

Race 11:  12,4,7,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.