A Winning Day at the Races!

May 10th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,980/23,058 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,664/23,058. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*6 on top winners last Sunday at Aqueduct

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Ten Cent Town 8-5              31
#1 Daufuskie Island 9-2           30 4th
#2 Braciole 10-1                         29 3rd $4.80
#6 Heavyweight Champs 5-1  29

Race 2:

#3 Far Bridge 3-5                      36 1st $2.60
#4 Capture the Flag 7-2           34 4th
#1 Anglophile 5-2                     34 2nd
#2 Padiddle 12-1                       32 3rd

Dirt Selections

#4 Capture the Flag 7-2
#2 Padiddle 12-1

Race 3:

#4 Silo Ridge 6-5                     28 1st $3.30
#7 Enduring Spirit 8-1            27
#2 J J’s Joker 3-1                       26
#5 Tarpaulin 5-1                      26 4th

Race 4:

#6 Hero’s Medal 6-1                 32 4th
#3 Keewaydin 8-5                     31 3rd $2.10
#4 Quick to Accuse 7-5            30 1st $4.50
#1 Waitlist 8-1                           29 2nd $6.00

Race 5:

#9 Empty Tomb 5-2                  29 scratched 
#5 High Tide 4-1                        28 scratched 
#4 Catch the Smoke 6-1           27 1st $6.50
#7 Centavo 12-1                         27

Race 6:

#10 Eighty Gold 8-1                   16
#1 Rhyton 2-1                              16
#8 Brenchley 8-1                         15
#5 Unity Dreams 12-1                15

Dirt Selections

#7 Van Vollenhoven 3-1 1st $3.80 Dbl $22.20
#5 Unity Dreams 12-1
#11 Sanzio 5-1 2nd $2.90
#1 Rhyton 2-1 scratched 
#2 Dead Aim 30-1

Race 7:

#3 Whatchatalkinabout 6-5      35 1st $4.00 Pk 3 $33.80
#4 Surveillance 4-1                     34 3rd $3.40
#5 Anarchist 7-2                          33
#1 Full Moon Madness 3-1        32 4th

Race 8:

#6 Itsallcomintogetha 7-2         34
#7 Bonus Move 6-1                     33
#1 Activist Investing (GB) 5-2  32
#4 Enlighten 3-1                          32

Dirt Selections

#3 Magical Ways 5-1 3rd $2.10
#10 Seeking Unity 3-1 1st $6.60
#9 Sagamore Mischief 5-1 2nd $7.90 Tri $93.48
#8 Unbridled Bomber 12-1

Race 9:

#6 Annascaul 9-2                      304th
#4 Love Cervere 5-1                  29 1st $12.00
#3 Disco Star 8-1                       29 3rd $5.60
#8 Hey Bertie 7-2                       28 2nd $4.60 Spr $1,240

Dirt Selections

#3 Disco Star 8-1
#6 Annascaul 9-2
#7 Lovely Emma 9-2
#10 Wisconsin Gal 30-1

Race 10:

#10 My Mane Squeeze 7-2      36 3rd $2.40
#11 Headline Numbers 6-1    34
#9 Gun Song 8-1                       33
#4 Sterling Silver 9-2               32 2nd $4.10

Race 11:

#8 Captain Cook 2-1               34 3rd $2.20
#4 Hill Road 5-2                       32 1st $6.10
#5 McAfee 8-1                          32 2nd $5.70 Tri $71
#1 Vassimo 5-1                         31

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,1,2,6

Race 2:  3,4 Dirt: 4,2

Race 3:  4,7,2

Race 4:  6,3,4

Race 5:  9,5 *9,5 scratched using 4,7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  3,4 Dirt: 4,2

Race 3:  4,7,2,5

Race 4:  6,3,4

Race 5:  9,5,4 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  4,7,2,5

Race 4:  6,3,4

Race 5:  9,5,4 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a

Race 6:  10,1,8 Dirt: 7,5,11

Race 7:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,3,4,1

Race 5:  9,5,4,7 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a,6

Race 6:  10,1,8,5 Dirt: 7,5,11,1

Race 7:  3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  9,5,4 *9,5 scratched using 4,7,1a

Race 6:  10,1,8 Dirt: 7,5,11

Race 7:  3,4,5

Race 8:  6,7,1 Dirt: 3,10,9

Race 9:  6,4,3,8

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Pick 6:

Race 6:  10,1,8 Dirt: 7,5,11

Race 7:  3

Race 8:  6,7,1 Dirt: 3,10,9

Race 9:  6,4,3 Dirt: 3,6,7

Race 10: 10,11

Race 11:  8,4

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7:  3,4,5

Race 8:  6,7,1,4 Dirt: 3,10,9,8

Race 9:  6,4,3,8 Dirt: 3,6,7,10

Race 10: 10,11

Race 11:  8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 8:  6,7,1,4 Dirt: 3,10,9,8

Race 9:  6,4,3,8 Dirt: 3,6,7,10

Race 10: 10,11,9,4

Race 11:  8,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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