May 12th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

• May 11, 2022
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 10,747/16,426, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,307/16,426. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Kerry 8-5                                    17 4th
#2 Ever a Rebel 1-1                        17 2nd $2.40
#5 I Like Boston 8-1                      16
#4 Valenzan Day 4-1                     15 1st $15.60

Race 2:

#6 Croatian 8-5                               27 4th
#5 Winning Drive 7-2                    26 2nd $5.50
#1 Direct Order 5-2                        26 1st $8.60
#3 Blood Moon 15-1                       25

Race 3:

#2 Manolito 4-1                               28
#6 Magnificent Chrome 9-2          27 2nd $4.60
#3 Brilliant Brooks 1-1                   27 1st $4.40
#4 Winter Son 15-1                         26

Race 4:

#1 Mrs Bell 6-1                                 14 3rd $2.50
#3 Merger of Equals 1-1                 13 1st $3.20
#2 Exact Change 7-2                       12 scratched
#4 Lindsay’s Laugh 5-1                   11

Race 5:

#11 Sweet Mission 10-1                   27
#1 Anonymously 5-2                        27 2nd $3.20
#7 Shasta Star 5-1                             26 1st $6.60
#4 Weekend Fun 3-1                         26

Race 6:

#1 Draw Off 7-2                                13 2nd $3.50
#5 Eudaimonia 7-2                           12 4th
#6 Dulce Gigante 8-1                       11 scratched
#3 Dini’s Destiny 15-1                     10 3rd $5.10

Race 7:

#2 Artemus Citylimits 5-2               34 2nd $2.40
#1 Fauci 3-1                                        33 3rd $2.40
#5 Maxwell Esquire 2-1                    32 1st $8.00
#4 Cucina 5-1                                     31

Race 8:

#2 Key Point 4-5                                 33 1st $2.90
#1 A Longlongtimeago 15-1            29
#7 Montebello 7-2                              29
#6 Win for Gold 8-1                           28 2nd $7.10

Race 9:

#12 Succulent 10-1                             15 scratched 
#7 Out of Sight 5-2                             15 1st $5.70
#8 Cape Cod Causeway 6-1               14
#6 Busy Morning 8-1                          13 3rd $7.30

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,2 x

Race 2:  6,5,1 1

Race 3:  2,6,3 3

Race 4:  1,3,2 *2 scratched using 1,3,4 3

Race 5:  11,1,7 7

$.50 Ticket:  $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,5,1 1

Race 3:  2,6,3 3

Race 4:  1,3,2,4 3

Race 5:  11,1,7,4 7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 6:

Race 4:  1,3,2,4 3

Race 5:  11,1,7 7

Race 6:  1,5 x

Race 7:  2,1 x

Race 8:  2 2

Race 9:  12,7,8 *12 scratched using 7,8,6 7

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  11,1,7,4 7

Race 6:  1,5,6 *6 scratched 1,5,3 x

Race 7:  2,1,5 5

Race 8:  2,1 2

Race 9:  12,7,8 *12 scratched using 7,8,6 7

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  1,5,6,3 x

Race 7:  2,1,5,4 5

Race 8:  2,1,7 2

Race 9:  12,7,8 *12 scratched using 7,8,6 7

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.