May 17th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,013/23,107 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,689/23,107. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early Pick 5/4 for us Thursday at Aqueduct…$559.50 on a $72 ticket…$127.50 on a $36 ticket…

*Late Pick 5/4 for us Thursday at Aqueduct…$485.75 on a $121.50 ticket…$105.87 on a $54 ticket…

*Early Pick 5 for us yesterday at Aqueduct…$215.25 on a $81 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us yesterday at Pimlico…$460.60 on a $64 ticket…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Pimlico Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 That’s Funny 1-1 15 1st $3.70
#4 Chocolatechocolate 7-2 14 2nd $3.30 Ex $12.20
#5 Lumenique 5-1 14 4th
#3 Have a Happy 10-1 13 scratched

Race 2:

#6 Eric From Miami 2-1 27 scratched
#8 Iron Man Ira 3-1 26 scratched
#4 Active Duty 6-1 26 1st $9.70 Dbl $23.00
#3 Provision 7-2 25 3rd $2.70

Race 3:

#7 Dear Moon 9-5 17 3rd $2.20
#6 Munnings Express 3-1 16 1st $7.90
#1 Cloudy Chance 5-2 15 4th
#2 Miss Im Pulsive 8-1 15 2nd $5.10 Spr $125.40

Race 4:

#2 Artemis Sound 5-1 32 2nd $3.00
#8 Kadena 15-1 31
#1a Save Us Melania 9-5 31 3rd $2.20
#6 Dolomite 2-1 30 1st $4.00

Race 5:

#5 Artistic Success 2-1 16
#6 St. Addie 4-1 15
#2 Observer 10-1 14
#7 Julita 5-1 13

Dirt Selections

#6 St. Addie 4-1 2nd $2.20
#7 Julita 5-1 1st $3.20
#2 Observer 10-1 scratched
#4 Endless Vow 10-1 scratched

Race 6:

#8 Hop Sing 5-2 20 1st $5.50
#2 Duration 3-1 19 2nd $2.90 Ex $11.20
#1 Makes Sense 7-2 19
#5 Summit Ridge 7-2 18

Race 7:

#5 Debt Limit (FR) 8-5 29 1st $3.50 Dbl $12.60
#8 Barnstorming 6-1 28 3rd $4.00
#3 Brigade Commander 5-2 27 2nd $3.30 Tri $51.48
#2 Ponant 9-2 27

Dirt Selections

#1 Blown Cover 4-1
#6 Register 12-1
#3 Brigade Commander 5-2
#10 Desperate Proposal 10-1
#1a Via Della Spiga 4-1

Race 8:

#4 Outtawaterbury 12-1 28
#2 Jhirsch 5-1 27 scratched
#7 Miztertonic 3-1 26 1st $8.60
#8 Mr Flowers 7-2 26 2nd $5.20

Dirt Selections

#6 Omey Island 10-1
#10 Always Be Smart 12-1
#12 Flat On 7-2
#11 Hero’s Medal 5-2
#5 Master Freud 8-1

Race 9:

#6 My Last Mission 9-2 33 3rd $4.00
#4 Crimson Light 3-1 32
#1 Elysian Meadows 9-2 31 4th
#5 Mighty Atlas 7-2 31

Race 10:

#9 Trail of Gold 6-1 29
#5 Red Burgundy 3-1 28 1st $8.60
#8 She’s Our Tiz 5-2 27 3rd $2.60
#1 Sail With the Wind 10-1 26 2nd $7.10

Dirt Selections

#11 Princess Mischief 8-5
#2 Walk With Me 15-1
#9 Trail of Gold 6-1
#4 Cara’s Dreamweaver 15-1

Race 11:

#10 Moonlight Ready 6-1 15
#7 Gattatiz 7-2 14
#9 Saipan 10-1 14
#1 Accelerated News 9-2 13

Dirt Selections

#13 Work Away 2-1
#10 Moonlight Ready 6-1
#3 Good Mission 9-2
#6 Moontown 8-1
#1 Accelerated News 9-2

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,4

Race 2: 6,8,4,3 *6,8 scratched using 4,3,2,7

Race 3: 7,6,1

Race 4: 2,8,1a/1,6

Race 5: 5,6 Dirt: 6,7

$.50 Ticket: $96 $115.87

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,8 *6,8 scratched using 4,3

Race 3: 7,6,1,2

Race 4: 2,8,1a/1, 6

Race 5: 5,6,2,7 Dirt: 6,7,2,4

$.50 Ticket: $64 $46.62

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 7,6,1

Race 4: 2,8,1a/1,6

Race 5: 5,6 Dirt: 6,7

Race 6: 8,2,1

Race 7: 5,8,3 Dirt: 1,6,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 2,8,1a/1,6

Race 5: 5,6,2,7 Dirt: 6,7,2,4

Race 6: 8,2,1

Race 7: 5,8,3 Dirt: 1,6,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 5,6,2,7 Dirt: 6,7,2,4

Race 6: 8,2,1

Race 7: 5,8,3 Dirt: 1,6,3

Race 8: 4,2,7 Dirt:6,10,12 *2 scratched using 4,7,8

Race 9: 6,4

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 6: 8,2,1

Race 7: 5,8,3 Dirt: 1,6,3

Race 8: 4,2,7 Dirt: 6,10,12 *2 scratched using 4,7,8

Race 9: 6

Race 10: 9,5,8 Dirt: 11,2,9

Race 11: 10,7 Dirt:13,3

$1.00 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 5,8,3,2 Dirt: 1,6,3,10

Race 8: 4,2,7,8 Dirt: 6,10,12,11

Race 9: 6,4

Race 10: 9,5,8 Dirt: 11,2,9

Race 11: 10,7,9 Dirt: 13,3,6

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 4,2,7,8 Dirt: 6,10,12,11

Race 9: 6,4,1

Race 10: 9,5,8,1 Dirt: 11,2,9,4

Race 11: 10,7,9 Dirt: 13,3,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pimlico Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Augusta Melody 9-5 31 1st $3.80
#7 Exploration 7-2 30 4th
#3 Sheriff Ronnie 8-1 29 scratched
#1 Band Camp 3-1 29 2nd $4.00

Race 2:

#9 Drop the Hammer 2-1 28
#11 Betula (GB) 9-2 27 2nd $6.20
#8 Fivecommatwo 20-1 26
#7 Swan House 7-2 26 3rd $4.60

Race 3:

#1 Last Man Standing 3-2 19 2nd $2.60
#3 Varney 6-5 18 1st $3.60
#7 Drill Baby 8-1 17 4th
#4 Energize 6-1 17 3rd $2.80

Race 4:

#4 Ninetyprcentmaddie 15-1 38 scratched
#6 Booth 7-5 38 1st $3.80
#5 Concrete Glory 2-1 37
#7 Epic Ride 5-1 36 2nd $2.60

Race 5:

#3 Glean 3-1 28 4th
#11 River Seine (IRE) 9-2 27
#9 Mischief Maxey 5-1 27
#4 Lilly Simone 10-1 26

Race 6:

#7 Striker Has Dial 5-2 37 2nd $3.60
#3 One Magic Philly 9-5 36 3rd $2.10
#5 Zeitlos 2-1 35 1st $8.40 Tri $43.80
#1 Apple Picker 8-1 33

Race 7:

#7 Three Havanas (GER) 5-2 35 4th
#1 Dana’s Beauty 6-1 34 scratched
#2 Queen of the Mud 4-1 33
#9 Way to Be Marie 3-1 32

Race 8:

#8 One Nine Hundred 7-2 34
#4 Normandy Coast 12-1 32 4th
#7 Faster Gator 6-1 32
#3 Ancient World 6-1 31 3rd $4.40

Race 9:

#4 Witty 10-1 36 1st $7.80
#5 Determined Kingdom 4-1 35 3rd $4.40
#2 No Nay Hudson (IRE) 5-2 34 2nd $3.60 Tri $159.60
#8 Mattingly 8-1 34

Race 10:

#6 Invictus 9-5 33 3rd $2.10
#1 Crudo 5-2 32 1st $9.40
#9 Just a Fair Shake 6-1 32 2nd $5.60 $69.00
#7 Hymn 4-1 31

Race 11:

#6 Soleil Volant 7-2 32 2nd $4.60
#7 Reagan’s Wit 5-2 32 1st $3.00 Ex $10.80
#3 Clock Tower 5-1 31 scratched
#5 End of Romance (IRE) 9-2 30

Race 12:

#13 Trikari 5-2 37
#6 Balnikhov (IRE) 9-2 36
#8 Crystal Quest 10-1 35
#1 Divin Propos (FR) 12-1 34

Race 13:

#6 River Thames 9-2 37
#1 Goal Oriented 6-1 36
#2 Journalism 8-5 35
#8 Clever Again 5-1 34

Race 14:

#9 DIAMOND GEM AA 7-5
#6 RB GRAND SLAM 3-1
#2 RB MOTHERLOAD 7-2
#5 WMA SMOKE SIGNAL 15-1

Pimlico Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,7,3,1

Race 2: 9,11,8,7

Race 3: 1,3

Race 4: 4,6,5 *4 scratched using 6,5,7

Race 5: 3,11,9

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 9,11,8,7

Race 3: 1,3

Race 4: 4,6,5,7

Race 5: 3,11,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 1,3,7

Race 4: 4,6,5 *4 scratched using 6,5,7

Race 5: 3,11,9,4

Race 6: 7,3,5

Race 7: 7,1,2,9

$.50 Ticket: $216

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,6,5,7

Race 5: 3,11,9,4

Race 6: 7,3,5,1

Race 7: 7,1,2 *1 scratched using 7,2,9

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,11,9,4

Race 6: 7,3,5

Race 7: 7,1,2,9

Race 8: 8,4,7

Race 9: 4,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $216

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 7,3,5

Race 7: 7,1,2,9

Race 8: 8,4,7,3

Race 9: 4,5,2

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7: 7,1,2,9

Race 8: 8,4,7,3

Race 9: 4,5,2

Race 10: 6,1

Race 11: 6,7,3 *3 scratched using 6,7,5

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 8: 8,4,7,3

Race 9: 4,5,2,8

Race 10: 6,1

Race 11: 6,7

Race 12: 13,6,8,1

Race 13: 6,1,2

$.20 Ticket: $153.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 9: 4,5,2,8

Race 10: 6,1,9

Race 11: 6,7,3 *3 scratched using 6,7,5

Race 12: 13,6

Race 13: 6,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (10-13):

Race 10: 6,1

Race 11: 6,7,3,5

Race 12: 13,6,8,1

Race 13: 6,1,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 11: 6,7,3,5

Race 12: 13,6,8,1

Race 13: 6,1,2,8

Race 14: 9,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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